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    Why Did the Twins Prefer Travis Adams Over Pierson Ohl?

    Pierson Ohl, one of the reliever candidates who auditioned after the deadline last year, has been sent out in a minor trade. Another one remains in Travis Adams, despite looking less impressive in his opportunities. What do the Twins see in Adams?

    Nick Nelson

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    After they traded a majority of their bullpen at the trade deadline last year, the Twins had a bunch of bullpen innings to cover in the final two months. Many of those went to marginal veteran placeholders like Thomas Hatch, Michael Tonkin, Erasmo Ramirez and Genesis Cabrera. More intriguing to follow were internally-developed arms Travis Adams and Pierson Ohl, who ranked 6th and 7th in pitching appearances for the Twins after July 31st.

    While hardly top prospects or household names, Adams and Ohl seemed like credible contenders to carve out a role in Minnesota's reconstructed relief corps. As unremarkable minor-league starters whose stuff and results showed potential to jump in shorter stints, both looked similar enough to many of the pitchers who previously broke through in the Twins bullpen — including the remaining ringleader Cole Sands.

    Ohl was recently designated for assignment to make room on the 40-man roster, and on Wednesday he was traded alongside Edouard Julien to the Rockies. Adams remains on the 40-man, for now, and he's one of only six pitchers with any real experience as major-league relievers. That doesn't guarantee Adams will stick around through the spring, but the front office has continually shown an auspicious level of faith in the right-hander. I find myself wondering why.

    Let's compare Adams with the now-departed Ohl to try and figure out what's driving the team's confidence.

    Similar Track Records in the Twins System
    Adams and Ohl are both 26 years old. Both were drafted out of college in 2021 — Adams in the sixth round, Ohl in the 14th. In the minor leagues they posted similar numbers, although Ohl was a little better across the board in terms of performance. Here are their totals in five minor-league seasons:

    • Adams: 407.1 IP, 4.44 ERA, 8.6 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 1.27 WHIP
    • Ohl: 394 IP, 3.61 ERA, 8.6 K/9, 1.3 BB/9, 1.13 WHIP

    Neither really ever emerged on the top prospect radar, although they'd occasionally pop up on longer lists and in sleeper conversations. Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic had Ohl ranked 25th on his 2024 preseason list, with Adams unranked, and then in 2025 had Adams ranked in the same spot with Ohl falling out of the top 40.

    This flip-flop points to an upward trend for Adams in the 2024 season (3.90 ERA in 127 IP at AA/AAA) and a downward one from Ohl (4.68 ERA in 102 IP at AA). It was enough to get Adams added to the 40-man roster afterward while Ohl went undrafted in the Rule 5. This also meant Adams was first in line for a major-league shot, debuting in early July of 2025 while Ohl had to wait until the end of the month.

    During their limited time in the majors last year, much like during the balance of their minor-league careers ... Ohl sure looked like the better pitcher.

    Ohl Outperforms Adams During MLB Bullpen Audition
    Let's be clear: neither of these guys was good in 2025. Ohl posted a 5.10 ERA in his 30 innings of work, although it came along with a 27-to-7 K/BB ratio and respectable 4.20 FIP. Meanwhile, Adams put up a brutal 7.49 ERA in 33 ⅔ innings, sprinkling in repeated blow-up spots. He averaged nearly a strikeout per inning but also walked 10.8% of opposing hitters, roughly double the rate of Ohl.

     

    What's really interesting is the way the usage of these two pitchers evolved in tandem. Early on they were used in extended, inning-eating roles, even making occasional spot starts. When the calendar flipped to September, and the Twins seemingly got a little more serious about trying to evaluate what they had, both were used almost exclusively in shorter, higher-effort, one-inning stints.

    Between July and August, Adams and Ohl threw 40-plus pitches in 13 of their 15 appearances. In September, they made 17 combined appearances and only one of those included more than 40 pitches thrown. It was Ohl's first outing of the month, in which he gave up four earned runs. From then on, his numbers: 8 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, 1 BB, 5 H. Among Twins relievers he ranked second only to Kody Funderburk in September WPA. On the surface, it was everything you'd want to see from a guy making his case to contend for a job in the 2026 bullpen.

     

    Adams didn't fare so well in the shorter September stints. His numbers: 10.1 IP, 9 ER, 10 K, 5 BB, 9 H. He couldn't be trusted to come in and pitch through an inning, much less do so cleanly. 

    So Why Did the Twins Prefer Adams?
    I realize we are working with very small samples in the analysis above. I'm not trying to overblow the significance. But Adams has been outperformed by Ohl over the breadth of their careers so far, and especially in last September's mini-audition. Nonetheless, Ohl was first out the door. When you look at the repertoires it is a little easier to see why. 

    Ohl's approach is built around excellent control and a standout changeup that he threw a ton (37%), but he doesn't have much in terms of a third or fourth pitch. His 91-MPH fastball is in the 15th percentile for velo and got blasted for a .370 batting average. It's tough to succeed in relief without at least a decent fastball as your base, especially without an assortment of secondaries you can credibly mix in. 

    Adams' heater is nothing special but he throws it in the mid-90s and it held its own (.351 xwOBA vs. 432 for Ohl). He's got five different pitches he threw at least 10% of the time with the Twins, including a slider that shows real promise. You squint at him and you can see the raw profile that eventually turned into Sands, or even Griffin Jax.

    Regardless, Adams hasn't ever performed all that well in the minors and he got bashed in the majors. Despite an evident stuff advantage over Ohl, he was worse by almost any metric, including chase rate and strikeout rate.

     

    You might be saying, "Nick, I can't believe you've spent all this time weighing the merits of two borderline MLB arms like these," and you'd have a fair point. But it's been that kind of offseason, and as a result, there's a lot of pressure to get these decisions right. Even if the Twins add another veteran reliever or two, pitchers like Adams are going to get opportunities, and dark horses will need to emerge. 

    For now, the Twins are committed to sticking with Adams in that mix, while Ohl moves on to see how his signature changeup plays in the Colorado altitude. While I'd like to believe they made the right choice, their history with keeping the right fringy relief pitchers is hardly infallible.

     

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    26 minutes ago, Nick Nelson said:

     

    Then you've got a pool of starters who could eventually be transitioned to relief, but likely not before Opening Day: Festa, Matthews, Bradley, Abel

    And these are the remaining pitchers on the 40-man: Adams, Prielipp, Morris, Raya, Rojas, Klein. Adams is the only one from that group with any MLB experience, or really any relief pitching experience. Do we think it's likely that 3 others leapfrog him?

     

    2 of the 4 starters in the bullpen. One of the other 4 will leapfrog Adams. The other real possibility is what players they sign in the next 2 months. Adams and Raya from the list would be the DFA candidates unless they decide to remove another position player. When the price gets low enough there will be a couple ore signings. 

    1 hour ago, Danchat said:

    To add on to your list, there will probably be some minor league deal vets gunning for those last spots in the pen (Dobnak surprised us by cracking the starting pen last year, Daniel Duarte in 2024, etc). We've seen them make the team right out of the gate before.

    I think the point is Adams will be the Dobnak of this spring: experienced but not really that talented and a bridge to the young/injured guys when they are ready.

    1 hour ago, Nick Nelson said:

    Adams is the only one from that group with any MLB experience, or really any relief pitching experience. Do we think it's likely that 3 others leapfrog him.

    Considering how bad Adams was, I certainly hope so. If the others can't beat a 7.49 ERA, then why were they added to the roster?

    Putting Adams on the 40-man roster to avoid the Rule 5 draft looks like a mistake.

    42 minutes ago, old nurse said:

    Adams and Raya from the list would be the DFA candidates unless they decide to remove another position player.

    They aren't DFAing Raya without giving him a full chance in the pen, not with redundancies like the army of corner OF, both Grey and Kreidler, and a guy like Jackson who would very likely pass through waivers.

    3 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    Considering how bad Adams was, I certainly hope so. If the others can't beat a 7.49 ERA, then why were they added to the roster?

    Putting Adams on the 40-man roster to avoid the Rule 5 draft looks like a mistake.

    Adams can go for all I care, they have enough of these kinds of guys they can experiment with.

    But just about every one of the good bullpen arms they've developed over the last couple of decades didn't pop in relief until after they stopped dabbling with starting or being a 'long man' all together. The year(s) they spend straddling the fence at the majors or in AAA almost always were bad. Jax, Varland, Sands, Perkins, May, Duffey. I want to see what these guys look like one full year after completely giving up pitching extended innings. 

    This discussion highlights the situation the front office put themselves in with the bullpen selloff. Unless you are willing to sign expensive established free agent relievers, you have to find them thru trades or from your own farm system. Most relievers are failed starters. Since major league starters are more valuable than relievers, teams want to give promising pitchers enough chances to prove they are unlikely to succeed as starters.  That is precisely where the Twins are with a whole raft of young pitchers.

    In the case of Ohl and Adams, the Twins may of waited too long to convert them to one inning relievers. They ended up releasing/trading Ohl before finding out if he could succeed in that role. That could happen with Adams as well.

    Ohl had reached his peak and it wasn't going to play in MLB. The number of guys with only a change and no other offerings is vanishingly small. You can name them (Doug Jones, Jamie Moyer) because they're so unusual.  Adams still has to condense his repertoire down to a solid core and focus on throwing his best 20-25 pitches in each outing, but he's already stopped thinking about the second time through the lineup. @nicksaviking has a point in that going to the pen really does involve a head shift and some actual learning of what does and doesn't work in that role. It's going to take a little time to guide Festa or whoever though that process.

    4 hours ago, Jeff K said:

    Neither are difference makers.  And "Iron Glove" Julien won't be missed either.

    100% agree with this. This is not even a "lesser of 2 evils" conversation. 2 average minor league guys with extremely limited major league promise. Ohl's reliance on the change up makes him only a bullpen guy in my opinion. Adam's might get 12 outs to start a game but.....

    8 hours ago, Nick Nelson said:

    If I thought this was true I'd probably be a lot less invested in this discussion but I currently think Adams is a major odds-on favorite to make the Opening Day bullpen, as would Ohl if he were still here.

    For an 8-man bullpen you've got the following 5 semi-locks due to experience: Sands, Rogers, Funderburk, Topa, Orze

    Then you've got a pool of starters who could eventually be transitioned to relief, but likely not before Opening Day: Festa, Matthews, Bradley, Abel

    And these are the remaining pitchers on the 40-man: Adams, Prielipp, Morris, Raya, Rojas, Klein. Adams is the only one from that group with any MLB experience, or really any relief pitching experience. Do we think it's likely that 3 others leapfrog him?

    In terms of overall expected impact in 2025, Adams is fairly low. In terms of immediacy of impact, he's fairly high. And that matters because the Twins have to find a way to avoid digging themselves into irrelevance before others have a chance to step in.

    Absolutely think that 3 guys will leapfrog him.

    Of the FOUR depth starters (#5-#8) Festa seems like a very probable guy to be in the PEN, controlled innings coming off injury, prior to Opening Day.

    If the Top 4 guys are healthy, I think the Team chooses to be competitive and they move Matthews to the Closer role.

    This leaves Bradley & Abel along with Morris & Rojas for starter depth.

    I think Prielipp needs innings monitoring for another year with his fragile health…. can monitor his innings and get “production” from the PEN.

    By adding Raya & Klein to the mix, there are 5 total guys that have a solid chance to be in front of Adams. Then there’s the unknown of additional FA’s and n the PEN?




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