(Optomistic) Projection of Remaining Schedule

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The Twins have 34 games remaining and currently have the sixth best record in the American League, which would qualify them for a Wild Card if the season ended today. I expect that the five teams ahead of the Twins will all make the playoffs, so my favorite team has a narrow window to make postseason. 

Here is my schedule breakdown and optimistic projection for the Twins (hint: they win the AL Central on the last day). Bad teams: the Twins play three team who have a less than 1% chance of advancing to postseason (Angels, Athletics, Giants). I have this as 7-3 with three series wins. Division foes: Fifteen games--six each against Chicago and Detroit and three against Cleveland (9-6,. 4-2 Chicago, 3-3 Detroit and 2-1 Cleveland) This would give the Twins the tiebreaker over all three of their divisional opponents. Six games against good teams (San Diego and New York Yankees) 3-3, win the home series go 1-2 this weekend. Finally, a three game series with another below .500 contender (Texas) 2-1 and an overall record of 84-78. I project Chicago going 18-18 in their final 36 games and finishing in a flatfooted tie with the Twins (Twins win tiebreaker). Detroit and Cleveland fall short and the other Wild Card contenders (Toronto, Baltimore, Texas, Seattle) also fail to get to 84 wins.