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A Quick Analysis of the Rest of 2015


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The Twins' four-game sweep of the Orioles has kept them very much alive in the 2015 wild card chase. On Tuesday, they start a big three-game series with another contender in the Tampa Bay Rays. A series win would put two games between the Twins and Rays and keep the Twins within a couple games, at worst, of the final wild card spot.

 

This comes after a big fall in the first three weeks of August. It honestly looked like Terry Ryan had just given up on the 2015 season. There are some things to note that are positive going forward however.

 

1. Miguel Sano is very good.

2. Byron Buxton is up with the Twins and he should start to come around (though a move to the bottom of the order would seem justified).

3. Aaron Hicks will be back soon. This will mean a full starting lineup for the *first time all season.*

4. Kennys Vargas looks like a key roster piece to be added soon.

5. The bullpen--which was becoming a full-blown disaster--could re-emerge with some new faces and the return to form of older reliables. There are six guys involved here. Glen Perkins and Casey Fien returning to their "true" selves is one part. Trevor May's dominance in his 2015 role as a setup man is another. Kevin Jepsen being a Casey Fein clone/RH specialist is another. Finally, the proper use of Ryan O'Rourke and newly acquired Neal Cotts against lefties is the last piece. I don't care about JR Graham or Brian Duensing. Hopefully, both of them will "get injured" for the playoffs.

6. Three out of five starters pitching well in any five-game stretch isn't bad. We won't know who they are going to be ahead of time, but they can get this done.

 

There are remaining things to question: Are the Twins going to commit to 11 pitchers in the playoffs instead of 12? Will Josmil Pinto return to get some at bats this September? What about Danny Santana? Will we get to see Max Kepler and/or Jose Berrios?

 

It's been a sudden roller coaster ride, but the Twins have a chance to right this ship. The Yankees, Rangers, and Angels are in the way, and the Twins will need to pass two of them, but it can happen, obviously. Odds are that one of those three is going to falter anyway (my money is on the Rangers there). I still have hope for the playoffs this year.

7 Comments


Recommended Comments

nytwinsfan

Posted

I basically agree with this. I would bring up Kepler Sept. 1 and platoon him with Hunter until Hicks gets back, at which time I would platoon him with Hicks and leave Hunter as a bench bat, leader, platoon player with Mauer (moving Sano to 1B when Hunter hits against lefties and Mauer sits). Give the old guys a few extra days off and maybe that will improve their production. I'd also bring Polanco up on Sept. 1 and give him time and both SS and 2B (does anyone else think Dozier could use a day off every other week-- he has worn down the second half two years and a row now). I'd also bring up Vargas Sept. 1 as a bench bat, occasional starter. I'd bring up Berrios Sept. 1 to pitch out of the bullpen, since he's getting closer and closer to the innings limit. I doubt the Twins will do that though. I wouldn't bring up Danny Santana, except maybe just to use him as a pinch runner. I doubt Pinto is ready for the majors. Unless he is absolutely raking, I'd leave him in the minors. I wouldn't bring up Arcia. To all of you calling for him to be called up, are you insane? He is a mess right now. Maybe if he starts raking the next two weeks, but otherwise no way.

stringer bell

Posted

Agree with many points. I doubt that Kepler gets a look until the Southern playoffs are over. Vargas should be back soon. Dozier does need more time off. Polanco is not a true shortstop any more than Nunez. Berrios won't be up until sometime in 2016. The rotation needs to pick it up, the only guy who has a quality start lately.

Shane Wahl

Posted

Remember, barring DL situations, players have to be on the 25-man roster before Sept. 1st to be eligible for the playoffs. Clearly, Graham or Duensing (maybe both) will be "getting an injury" for there to be 14 position players in the playoffs.

Shane Wahl

Posted

Dozier needs time off. Suzuki needs time off.

 

Vargas and Polanco are two likely contributors, both of whom might be considered for the playoff roster.

 

Something must be physically wrong with Arcia.

nytwinsfan

Posted

 

Dozier needs time off. Suzuki needs time off.

 

Vargas and Polanco are two likely contributors, both of whom might be considered for the playoff roster.

 

Something must be physically wrong with Arcia.

Well since the brain is part of the physical body, I agree.

howieramone2

Posted

I'm guessing Polanco, Kepler, and Berrios will remain in the minors until their teams are eliminated. I could see Vargas being called up as a spare bat.

 

I'm curious to see if Arcia, Pinto, Meyer, and even Santana are called up at all. In somewhat similar situations both Hicks and Dozier were not called up.

Shane Wahl

Posted

They have to want Pinto and Santana to get some at bats. One or both might be DL-replacements for the playoffs (you never know when Santana's speed could come in handy).

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