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snap4birds

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Everything posted by snap4birds

  1. snap4birds
    Or is it the case that he doesn't have 'lights out' stuff, so he tries to be too fine and catch the corners? I don't watch the games or scout or anything, but I've wondered if that is why Stewart walks so many.
  2. snap4birds
    Not anymore. The Padres have taken guys out of A ball in the past. Allen Cordoba hadn't even appeared in high-A, just rookie league in 2016 and they drafted him, kept him on the ML roster in 2017 and he spent this past year down in A ball. They also drafted Luis Perdomo after his highest level was the FSL (high A). If a team knows it's tanking, and they see someone with promise, what do they have to lose if they have a roster spot open?
  3. snap4birds
    I think the Twins need a few 'stars'. They have enough pieces to fill in if they have a couple ~5-6 WAR players. I'd say Sano, Buxton, Berrios are the most likely, and Romero, Kiriloff, Lewis, Graterol on the horizon as possibles. It was pretty much a wasted year for Sano & Buxton, so no one wants to put too much hope into those 2. And hoping for any prospects to step up, after the struggles of Sano & Buxton, feels like waiting for the Great Pumpkin to show up. And no team is going to trade a star for a package of prospects, unless you include 2 or 3 of the 4 I listed above, which would not make much sense for the Twins at this stage. If you put 8 guys on the field and they're all ~2 WAR players, and your pitching staff isn't lights out, you're going to be hoping for a wild card spot, and drafting around 10-15. Stuck in the middle. I think the Twins have no choice but to do everything possible to get Sano & Buxton back on track. If that fails, then Kiriloff and Lewis are their next focus.
  4. snap4birds
    Easy solution to that-just have his agent negotiate bonuses for games started. As on "opener" he could probably have 50 or so
  5. snap4birds
    For those of you advocating picking up a 1B/DH through trade or free agency, I think Jose Martinez is an excellent candidate. He is 29 and won't hit free agency for several years, so you get his prime/decline years. He's a very good hitter, with better career splits against RHP so far. His WAR is reduced by his poor fielding at 1B, so he fits better as a DH/RF/1B in that order. He could be acquired pretty cheaply, too. He's a better fit for the AL. The Cardinals have a little roster crunch approaching, so they'd be looking for someone that doesn't have to go on the 40 man for at least one year (https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2018/8/30/17799042/40-spots-40-players). But if you're of the opinion that the Twins shouldn't have a semi-regular DH, then he's not your guy. He's just that bad on defense, apparently.
  6. snap4birds
    To sum up this game and game thread: Sometimes you're the windshield, sometimes you're the bug.
  7. snap4birds
    I wonder if some team will take this to the next step-to limit all of your pitchers to 1 or 2 innings at all times? Since they are more effective in short bursts? I tried figuring out how this would work, I think you'd have to cycle through a bunch of guys from your minor league team. And I've always thought it would be more stressful to pitch in a high number of games, it seems relievers tend to burn out more than starters. I have no statistics to back any of this up, and I don't think I'd like to see it. But I can see the Rays trying it, maybe for the last month of the season when they have an expanded roster.
  8. snap4birds
    It seems like it's harder to get teams to give up good prospects. (Or maybe we're just more aware of their warts now with all the scouting resources/websites.) I used to be impressed to hear a prospect was in BA's top 100, now if they're not top 50 I figure they're pretty questionable. Plus, there is some value to making players earn their salary. Especially with younger players, they need to see that the really successful players work HARD at their craft. If you're just advancing youngsters to the MLB level without them earning the promotion, you're risking them learning the process to reach their ceiling. On the other hand, every game you win could be costing you a spot or 2 in next year's draft, so there is that .
  9. snap4birds
    Mitch Garver: solid glove. Did Sickels just blow all of his credibility?
  10. snap4birds
    I agree on Sano and Buxton. How they progress, and how the Twins handle them, is going to go a long way in the success or failure of this front office. If the minor league stints work out & they come back next year producing ~5 WAR, it won't be too hard for the Twins to fill in the other spots on the roster to make a run. If they continue to struggle, Falvey & Levine will have to decide how long of a leash to give them. And that probably means more of a 'total reboot'.
  11. snap4birds
    I think it's because of his salary. It seems there were several ranked higher that they mentioned had salaries of $6 million or less. They did mention if the Twins are willing to eat some of his salary, he'd be higher on the list.
  12. snap4birds
    Yeah, not sure the Cardinals need another SP. And I'm not sure Kelly will hit enough at the MLB level. But I do see the Cardinals being willing to trade him, and he's supposedly very good defensively. He might be worth a shot for the Twins if they can figure out a trade. I'm not sure what that would be.
  13. snap4birds
    So, first you say that you flip-flop, then you say you're not really flip-flopping? Isn't that a flip-flop ? I think that's how my posts usually go. First I state a position, then I look at the other side of the same argument and contradict myself. That's why I usually don't post them
  14. snap4birds
    Looking at the chart, I'd guess the "payroll bloat" would start in 2020 trying to re-stock the starting rotation. Would definitely need Romero, Gonsalves, et al to eat up some of those spots.
  15. snap4birds
    How many Twins will be in the All Star game? Berrios? Rosario? Escobar? A good team has at least 5 candidates producing like these 3. 2 of these candidates are surprising to me. If Buxton and Sano aren't in this list at this time next year, there are going to be a lot more surprises needed for the Twins to compete. It's a lot easier to fill in with guys like Odorizzi, Rodney, Jaime Garcia, etc. when you have a few studs to carry the heavy load.
  16. snap4birds
    Good thing your auto-correct didn't choose Mitterwald. No way Motter tops George's 6.1 career bWAR. And while Mitterand was a leftist, I think Mitterwald mostly hit to right field. The spray charts for that era are notoriously unreliable, though.
  17. snap4birds
    Thanks for the explanation on that....I was confused by that before on a different player.
  18. snap4birds
    I wonder how long Sano has to stay in the minors before his free agency is pushed back a year? Baseball-reference says he has 2.095 years of service as of 1/2018. I don't know the intricacies of how that is calculated (180 days = a full year so he had 2 years and 17 days at the beginning of the year???).
  19. snap4birds
    http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/23708727/10-hyped-players-running-become-stars No surprise that 2 Twins are listed here. At least Buxton and Sano are younger than several of the other candidates.
  20. snap4birds
    I hate to nitpick, but Wacha went 19th overall, not in the 20's. But I'm seeing some comparisons between him & Kowar. Wacha supposedly fell because he had a limited repertoire, I believe the same as Kowar-fastball/changeup. And I lied. I LOVE to nitpick :-).
  21. snap4birds
    ESPN had an article over the winter that said the Twins averaged over 6 runs per game over that same time period. The article stated that rate is basically unsustainable, so expect some regression. Boy were they right. Now I expect some regression the other way. Dozier will heat up. Polanco will hit when he gets back, Kepler will improve against RHP (but probably drop some against LHP but that is OK since there are more RHP), and if Buxton ever gets healthy there is no way he can be as bad as he has been. You get some of the table-setters on base more often and then the middle of the lineup finds it a lot easier. The only question is, when does the change start? If it's not until August again it might be too late.
  22. snap4birds
    I hope yours was the one on the right????
  23. snap4birds
    OK, that's true. But do you think MLB teams have figured out some way of valuing those draft picks? I'd say if your team hasn't done so, they're negligent.
  24. snap4birds
    I think it's legitimate to look at the #74 picks to gauge the value of the pick. NFL teams have a whole table where they value every pick, it's based on the value of the picks in previous years. Of course, there is no perfect system. But if you look at past 74 picks, you get a good approximation of what is available. If you feel this year's draft is a strong draft, maybe you'd look at the past #71 picks or whatever. Anyway, no one mentioned that Akil Baddoo was a #74 pick. If the Twins had included Baddoo instead of the pick, the pitchforks and torches would be out right now..... We'll never know who the Twins would have picked at that spot, or if they would have used some of the bonus money on another pick or whatever. The Twins system is pretty deep right now, if they were bottom of the league and traded away a pick, that would be more concerning.
  25. snap4birds
    I'm a Cardinal fan. My impression of him is that he is what they called back in the day "a red a$$". He's a bulldog that doesn't like to miss a start or come out of the game if he thinks he's still throwing well. I think it's good to have a guy like that going out there every 5th day. I'm kind of shocked that he's struggled so much. He's not an ace/#1, but he's a professional pitcher.
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