Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

snap4birds

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    141

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by snap4birds

  1. snap4birds
    Maybe the best outcome would be if the Twins were able to re-coup some money from an insurance policy on him. If they have one. If I were running an insurance company, I don't think I'd underwrite MLB pitchers....... Has anyone really successfully come back from TOS? It seems like the dreaded "Rotator Cuff Surgery" of the 1970's.
  2. snap4birds
    Thanks for the link. I hope the Rays have fired whoever is responsible for their 2011 draft. Just released 1st rounder, 2 supplemental 1st and a 2nd round pick.....but then I looked up their draft from that year. Holy cow, that's just 4 of their top 11 picks. They had 3 first rounders, and 7 supplemental first round picks. And 2 2nd rounders. Pretty horrible results https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?team_ID=TBD&year_ID=2011&query_type=franch_year&from_type_jc=0&from_type_hs=0&from_type_4y=0&from_type_unk=0
  3. snap4birds
    Here is a little background on Astudillo. One blogger is very disappointed the Twins got him.... https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2017/11/30/16709008/willians-astudillo-free-agent-twins-please-i-dont-ask-for-much
  4. snap4birds
    MiLB.com lists Graterol as 6'-1", 180. Does that qualify as "big & strong"? For a pitcher, I'd figure that as 6'-4", 220 and up.... He's 19, so I'd doubt he grows taller, but he'll surely add some weight/strength. But the plane a 6'-1" pitcher operates on is different from 6'-4" and up. Looks like some high ceilings in this grouping.
  5. snap4birds
    Any reference to Ball Four earns a "Like" from me. I love that book!
  6. snap4birds
    This was something I was curious about after the end of the 2017 season. Would Falvine proceed as if they were 'sticking to the process' of building a long-term success (meaning they would hoard prospects) at the expense of improvement for 2018? Or would they pursue trades for immediate help, pursue free agents, etc? It appears they are going for immediate help (stories about pursuing top free agent SP, leaving spots open on the 40 man). This tells me they feel the org has the talent and depth needed to compete for the World Series in 2018 (with an addition or 2). The 'false positive 2015 season' is what me wonder about this. The Twins were in it until the end, but it felt like a fluke. 2017 started out feeling a little like 2015 (negative run differential for a winning record around the trade deadline?). Plus I see a lot of stories/references to "The Process" in sports nowadays. I hear about it more in NBA stories-the 76ers, Darryl Morey, etc. So I wasn't exactly sure how these new management guys would proceed. So I think it's encouraging to see the hints we've seen so far this offseason. Now comes the hard part of closing on some deals....
  7. snap4birds
    Not every vision problem is correctable. I'm guessing the Twins doctors found a real issue, and Marte will end up signing with someone else for half a million or so. If he signs with some other team for anything close to $3 million, then you'd have to question what the Twins did, or question the judgment of the other team.
  8. snap4birds
    Nope. Boras is asking for 7/210 for JD, no way he'd stoop to 8/200. Here is where I heard those numbers, about halfway through the article http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/goold-will-marlins-pain-be-cardinals-gain/article_3b5a961d-3b7c-533c-aec2-ba3c4fb478a8.html I'm just kidding here. I don't think he'll get close to those numbers. But I've been surprised by contracts before. MLBTraderumors predicted JD for 6/150 to the Red Sox.
  9. snap4birds
    And Mateo washed out of baseball after 5 years of bouncing around the rookie leagues.
  10. snap4birds
    Could be keratoconus....Tommy Pham of the Cardinals has it. He has to check his eyesight multiple times during a game, and change contacts frequently. This is a longshot...but supposedly 1 in 2000 people have the condition. So it's not exactly uncommon. And it makes it much more difficult for Pham to play baseball.
  11. snap4birds
    Hellickson is from Des Moines. Minnesota would be the perfect place for him to re-establish his value. Good defense, close to family..... He was pretty successful in the AL East in the past, but never with a high strikeout percentage or anything close to domination. I could see this happening.....
  12. snap4birds
    I think the angst over Ervin isn't that he had a career year, it's based on his age and the effects of Father Time (who remains undefeated). I'm no stat-head, but I believe if you find a starting pitcher who had one of his best years at age 34, then look at the following year or 2, you are going to be a little nervous counting on him to come close to repeating 2017. If you're counting on a youngster like Berrios to improve with age and experience, you have to acknowledge the likelihood of decline on a pitcher turning 35 in December. The problem for the Twins is that it isn't easy to find a top of the rotation starter, this will be a big test for Falvine.
  13. snap4birds
    The #1 'similar pitcher through age 24' (on Baseball-Reference) for Lamet is Ryan Rupe. So he shouldn't cost much. Maybe a C- prospect. But #9 on the list is Bob Gibson, so the Twins will have to trade Gordon, Lewis and Gonsalves for him. Plus Duensing, of course. I'd be kind of scared of the high BB %. He just seems kind of raw. Turned 25 in July. I guess they're is room and time for improvement, but I'm not sure he really helps the Twins much in 2018. Jake Arrieta was #6 on the list, so maybe that is a sign that a quick turnaround is a possibilty with him. Maybe the Twins should hire Chris Bosio, I believe he was credited with turning Arrieta from a mostly failed prospect into an all-star.
  14. snap4birds
    I thought it would be interesting to see where Sano would rank at your proposed salaries, so I looked up this salary info on spotrac. Since 2022 would be the 1st possible year for Sano on a FA contract, I looked at that year & your projected salary of 16 million. There will be 63 players making 16 million or more in 2018. There are 12 players signed to contracts for 16 million or more in 2022 at this point. If he were to sign this contract, it seems like he'd be somewhere around 70th to 80th in 2022 in the salary rankings. Granted there is a lot of value in locking in that much guaranteed salary this far away (the rest of us can only dream....). And he might be locking in some extra money in those arb years. But I'm thinking Sano wouldn't want to restrict himself to this degree. Most professional athletes are pretty confident in their abilities. (There are 10 contracts for 20 million or more in 2022, and 4 of 25 million or more. 2022 is the last year spotrac has data for....)
  15. snap4birds
    The players union would push strongly for this, even if the players existing contracts were reduced by 3.7%. Reason being the addition of 2 teams automatically turns 25 AAAA-type players into major-leaguers, with the accompanying higher salaries. And I'm guessing most players would welcome the reduction in games, even if they took a slight hit in the pocketbook.
  16. snap4birds
    Per this article, Lynn is looking for 5 years, 100 million plus. That is why he is available, the Cardinals actually need some stability to their rotation, but don't want to pay that much. My guess is, the Twins won't either. Several teams will probably wait for that price to come down, the question is will some big-spending team take the risk? http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/birdland/quick-hits-derrick-goold-on-the-cardinals/collection_0d4da0e4-8e8c-5f2e-9bbb-197bb11d5f65.html
  17. snap4birds
    I think comparing Nolasco to Lynn is a disservice to Lynn. Looking at WAR on Baseball-Reference, Lynn has 5 full seasons and his lowest WAR is 1.8. Nolasco has 10 full seasons and has topped 1.8 WAR once. Lynn is by no means an ace, but I feel pretty confident he'll produce a total of 6 WAR in the next 2 seasons, after that..... I'd also predict Lynn produces better results than Ervin Santana in 2018 (just guessing that Undefeated Father Time starts to catch up to big Erv). If you can sign Lynn to a 4 year deal averaging somewhere around 15-18 million, I think you do it. If some teams get desperate and offer more than that, or guarantee the 5th year, I think you have to walk away.
  18. snap4birds
    But are all the non-Gardenhire players/executives/ball persons/concessionaires now infected? Don't you have to do a clean sweep to make sure?
  19. snap4birds
    SABR has him at #23 (if I counted right, they have NL & AL on separate pages) at -5.6 DRS. Disclaimer: I have no idea if one is more right than the other or if he will be a DH next year. Even if he is 23rd, with the way he hits I'd say that is acceptable, if he prefers to play 3rd over DH, I'd keep running him out there. http://sabr.org/sdi/2017-08-27#AL3B
  20. snap4birds
    I haven't re-read Souhan's article....but wasn't there a reference to Sano's weight fluctuating during the season? I'm no kinesiologist, but I think there is a pretty low limit on the amount of 'good weight' that can be added in a short time frame. So if Sano was at 260 in spring training, but is pushing 290 now, it's almost guaranteed that the gain is mostly 'bad weight'. I'm kind of surprised no nutritional/fitness trainers have hopped in to discuss this (or maybe I missed it). I read the original article more as a warning long-term.
  21. snap4birds
    I think the trade of Leake means the Cardinals are going to try to re-sign Lynn. A month ago, it seemed they had too many SP's to re-sign Lynn, so they'd either trade him at the deadline or give him a QO & take the draft pick. Lance might still go thru free agency (Boras client?), but this shows just how hard it is to get even a #3 pitcher in FA. I consider Lance to be a very decent #3. If he's your 4th or 5th best starter, you've got a playoff team (assuming they stay relatively healthy).
  22. snap4birds
    With a big list like this, I wonder if it wouldn't help to break it up into 'age groups'. Say 16-20, 21-24, 24+ or something like that. When they're younger, you're looking for high ceiling talents, when they're 24+, you're hoping they're knocking at the door or already contributing to the MLB team. And no one would question why you have Jean Carlos Arias ahead of Travis Harrison, or Brusdar Graterol ahead of Trevor Hildenberger.... To me, that seems to be the hardest part about a list like this, how do you compare someone who's been in the org for 5 years against someone in the rookie leagues...
  23. snap4birds
    And it would give Judge a chance to catch up to Sano in the strikeout 'race'...kind of like sitting out the last game of the season to protect a batting title. Only in reverse, sort of...
  24. snap4birds
    Wasn't there a story confirming that they have insurance on Hughes? Wouldn't Pohlad be saving money if he retired due to injury? I'd kind of think this is the most likely scenario at this point.....
  25. snap4birds
    Or Oswaldo Arcia.
×
×
  • Create New...