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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. I disliked the pick at the time simply because The Big Ten really struggles to produce MLB starters. Now both Povich and Hajjar look ready to prove me wrong.
  2. Since the day the team drafted him, he’s tinkered with his approach, swing and mechanics. Many guys couldn’t handle as many changes as he’s made. I feel very comfortable with his bat adjusting as needed. Same as always, I’m really only concerned about his health
  3. Yeah, assuming Jones, Holliday, Green and Lee don't fall, Collier is my choice should he be there. Maybe I need to get on the Termarr Johnson bandwagon too, his size is just hard to get over for me.
  4. You were thinking Randy Bush too huh? Joking aside, few players have ever been as predictably consistent as Bush and Larkin. Dang good and year-in-year-out reliable bench bats. But yeah, bench bats aren't really 'core' material. No one's mentioning Nick Gordon and Gilbert Celestino this time around.
  5. I honestly don’t think Jim Pohlad would balk at that price tag. Not saying the Twins would or should take that salary on as there are bigger fish to fry, but if Falvey told him it was the best move, I think he’d do it. Of course if we wanted to paint Pohlad in that dollars and cents light, there are likely few players who would move the needle of casual Twins fans like the return of fan-favorite Nelson Cruz. Not 7M worth, but certainly his presence would produce some dividends.
  6. Contreras Iis like a fun idea, but catcher just seems like the one position where it might backfire trying to bring a new guy into the equation. Half of his job is to understand and build a rapport with the 13 or so pitchers on the team. Seems like a task that works better in February and March.
  7. He has an OPS of .691 and he ONLY DHs. The Twins 24-year-olds Kirilloff, Celestino, Arraez, Larnach and Lewis all have done better than that. The only youngsters that haven't topped that mark are Jeffers, Jermaine Palacios in his measly 8 games and Jose Miranda who will probably eclipse that number if he gets a hit today. I like Cruz and I've already said it's not the worst idea in the world, but complaining about young players when the team is winning BECAUSE of the young players isn't a great look.
  8. What makes you think a 42-year-old can? I count 13 42-year-olds (batters) who've had at least 100 PA this century. The odds of Cruz succeeding look worse than the odds that a 24-year-old in AAA succeeding.
  9. I don't like the undersized players. If he does have power potential, OK, I'd play along, though at this stage, it's usually hard to predict. A high contact slap hitter at #8 though? No thanks. A slap hitter typically has to hit his absolute ceiling to be a long-time starting MLB player, if you have XBH potential there's much more wiggle room. As for the speed, that's great, I'd rather have a fast player than a slow player. But Buxton has two SB this year. As a team the Twins only have 14 combined, and it's not like the team is great about trying to take extra bases either.
  10. If they wanted a bat, they could probably find a more impactful one. Though to be fair, if the Twins ate all of the salary including the buyout, he'd probably cost no player of note. So in terms of sacrificed prospect equity, that might be hard to top. Though one thing that would move the needle for me regarding this hypothetical is if Cruz is at DH, the team could and should make Sanchez the primary catcher. Getting Jeffers' non-existent bat out of the lineup regularly would be a great auxiliary benefit.
  11. Mostly just interested in the bullpen, but if getting another starter would help boot Bundy from the rotation, or move Archer to the pen upon his return, I'd have some interest. Pablo Lopez is controlled for another 2.5 years, so he's kind of a different animal. He should cost way, way more, and I don't know that Miami is even open to dealing him at this time. I'd be interested if they were. No on Kelly and no on Montas. Kelly has no track record for this kind of success and he can't strike anyone out. Montas' production away from the Oakland Coliseum doesn't come close to matching what his asking price will be. Mahle on the other hand is lights out away from Cincinnati; his road numbers make him look like he could be significantly undervalued. Castillo does seem like the kind of productive prestige name that might send a message to the players and fans that the organization is committed to winning this year, even if I personally think the rest of the young staff needs another year for this team to actually compete for a championship.
  12. His problem is his 13.2% BB rate. Why is it DOUBLE his career average? The last few years the organization has seemed to prioritize low walk rates from the bullpen, yet Pagan is out there missing pitches left and right (and up and down). What has happened? Clearly the front office didn't expect this. If that can be fixed, I guess hold tight with him because his stuff is good, but he shouldn't be a late inning guy. He's never been good in high leverage situations. For his career his high leverage OPS is .839. He looks just fine otherwise.
  13. He’s stepped up and made many of us second guess our initial thoughts. But to be fair to those of us who were willing to sacrifice Gordon for Lewis, using that May 18th date in the OP, Lewis only had THREE xbh at the time. He looked like another slap hitter. It shouldn’t have been that stunning of an idea. I’d be quite confident it crossed the minds of those in charge.
  14. While I’m not as steadfast as Ashbury, I agree about not taking a catcher just because you need a catcher. A HOF catcher is a huge advantage, but one of those get drafted once a decade, maybe even longer. But if you don’t get one of those rare gems, you’re not getting much of an advantage. The difference between an average catcher and a poor catcher is pretty minimal. Partly because of the reduced number of games, and partly because except for those few HOFer’s they're just not great hitters.
  15. Good to hear. If he’s turned the corner the team needs him in the bullpen though.
  16. I'd not include Winder, but otherwise, I think everyone's over-rating the Twins prospects. Does the UCL situation scare me? I suppose mildly, but he's under control for 3.5 years. Supposing he does go under the knife at some point, 2 - 2.5 years of service is still pretty good for a pitcher of his caliber.
  17. I don’t think I’d look at starting pitchers based on their ability to go deep into games, because it seems to me, going deep into games is an organizational prerogative, not a pitcher skill qualification.
  18. I'm not washing my hands of Strotman yet. Many of these guys take a year to adjust to bullpen life.
  19. The front office has seemed to make a subtle bullpen change the last couple of years, as it seems they have prioritized command. While Pagan and Thielbar have struggled with free passes this year, they haven’t in the past. Just my guess, but several of these high walk arms may not interest the club too much.
  20. Looking at Marquez, maybe I could like him if I squint. His velocity is still good. Strikeouts probably increase upon a move as the Twins likely decrease his sinker usage. Oddly he has an issue with wild pitches, but not walks. That’s probably a product of that silly sinker too though. Would the Twins take on that salary for him though? The Rockies still owe him about 22M. They’d likely not be able to get much of a return to clear him off their books.
  21. I don’t know why Miami would sell low on Rogers. He’s affordable and they can pick any time in the next three years to move him. Unless they know he’s broken for good, surely they’d wait until he rebounds. No interest in Marquez or Hendricks. I’d rather see the young arms. I’d trust the young arms more too.
  22. Yup, couldn't agree more. Sands doesn't look to have dominant stuff as a starter, but it might play up as a reliever. It will be a bummer if Balazovic can't make it as a starter, but those injuries are adding up; might need to make the switch if only to preserve him, like has happened with Duran. I've failed to understand the Henriquez hype. Admittedly his BB/K numbers have always been good, but he hasn't put up anything resembling an excellent stretch since Rookie League. Even so, the guy is 5'10" and 150lbs; that's not a starter, he's going to be in the pen in almost every scenario. Time to push the next batch to the surface. Then, hopefully the batch after that (?Headrick, SGL, Povich, Festa, Stankowiz, Legumina, Mooney?) is ready for the same push next year. There are enough guys on the conveyor belt I don't think we need to be stopping it to repair the guys in front. Just pull them off, let the next guy up proceed, and if the team is lucky enough fix the older guys, put them right back in line.
  23. This year and for his career, Tyler Mahle is really good when he doesn't pitch in Cincinnati. This year and for his career, Frankie Montas is average at best when he doesn't pitch in Oakland. I'd much rather have Mahle; that he'd likely cost less is a bonus.
  24. I wonder if Gossett's reassignment to Witchita indicates that SWR or Varland will get bumped to St. Paul once Winder rejoins the Twins. The Saints stash of starters the big club needs in case of emergency has been really poor all season long. It would be really nice to get the guys with potential up to that level.
  25. I could see Miranda being dealt, but not for a rental starter. I'd rather put together a bigger (albeit more painful) package for a Miami pitcher or Zac Gallan or someone who'll be around for a while during this run. Still, really, really don't like Montas though.
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