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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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How Big is the Twins Catching Problem?
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
For a guy who's only year as the starter saw him put up a .640 OPS? The value you seem to be putting on him would make him the Twins best player. The Blue Jays would ask for one of Lee or Duran, then hear a dial tone. Not that I really have interest in him anyway.- 62 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- sandy leon
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Minnesota Twins Extension Candidate: Joe Ryan
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I really like Joe Ryan, but I rarely like 33-year-old pitchers. Not dis-similar to the Kyle Gibson situation, but I think the Twins already have Ryan under contract for pretty much exactly as long as they want to have him under contract. -
Since when do the Twins give big contracts to free agent veteran pitchers? I like the contract structure listed above. The first four years are a huge commitment, but as the team clearly looks to be using low cost young players for at least the next couple of years, it won't be a problem until MAYBE year four. And ONLY year four. After that, the contract in comparison to the total spending won't be any different than Joe Mauer's, and Joe Mauer's was never once an issue.
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I don't want the White Sox to get useful players, but I had no interest. The Twins don't need to fill in the back of the rotation, I'd rather go with whomever is healthy among the Maeda/Mahle/Ober/Winder/Varland/SWR crowd than a guy like Clevinger. I'm sure they will sign some AAAA vet they can stick in St. Paul all summer in case of an emergency, but otherwise, they should only be looking at starters who can slot in above Gray and Ryan. From my estimation, there's only two or three of those such free agents this year.
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I'd be concerned about the dramatic drop in power last year, not to mention they already have multiple guys who likely need the 1B/DH spots. But I guess, if they miss on the shortstops and Rondon, they really have nowhere else to spend their money, so go for it. It would almost certainly be an overpay, but you don't get a trophy for allotting your payroll the most appropriately. The Twins have had quite a bit of success with these long-in-the-tooth legacy type hitters in the past.
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Rumor: Some Correa Rumors, Twins Offering Multiple Packages
nicksaviking replied to CRF's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
https://www.mlb.com/dodgers/news/dodgers-needs-in-2022-23-offseason The Dodgers too aren’t expected to go after the four shortstops. So far, the rumors this off season are working in the Twins favor. -
Rumor: Some Correa Rumors, Twins Offering Multiple Packages
nicksaviking replied to CRF's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The fact that the Yankees have been tied to just about every top free agent EXCEPT for the four shortstops is a great sign. Seems likely they're all-systems-go with their prospects. -
Rumor: Toronto Rumored to be Shopping Danny Jansen
nicksaviking replied to Doctor Gast's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Seems to me the rule of thumb is, that if I'd eagerly make the deal, it's way too good for the Twins. I'm not sure how much I'd actually want to give up for only two more years of control of a guy who's only year being the starting catcher was outright awful though. -
Rumor: Some Correa Rumors, Twins Offering Multiple Packages
nicksaviking replied to CRF's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Boras won't be doing anything Correa doesn't want him to do. If Correa wants to squeeze every dime out of the highest bidder by signing late, Boras will help him do that. If Correa wants to go somewhere particular but get as much money as he can from that club, Boras will help him do that. If Correa's top priority is getting the best deal he can early in the off season so he doesn't have to think about it all winter, he'll help him do that too. When you pay an agent that much, he's more than happy to take the blame for any unpopular prerogative the player may have. -
Minnesota Twins Extension Candidate: Luis Arraez
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Rod Carew was putting up an OPS over .900 in his prime. These aren't remotely similar players -
Minnesota Twins Extension Candidate: Luis Arraez
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mark Grace and Joh Olerud had career OPS's over .800, Olerud's was well above .800. Not to mention they were two great defensive first basemen. I'm really not trying to 'power shame' Arraez, his ceiling seems closer to Dave Magadan. -
Minnesota Twins Extension Candidate: Luis Arraez
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Right, I don't really care to buy out free agent years. His natural arbitration schedule works for me, and with his lack of power, it will probably be pretty affordable so an extension seems unnecessary. -
Minnesota Twins Extension Candidate: Luis Arraez
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I like Arraez, but I think it would be a bad move to tie up the DH position long term for a guy who couldn't even put up an .800 OPS in a career year. It tends to only take one down year for the welcome to wear thin for slap-hitters. Three more years sounds about right, unless they get a good offer for him. -
Rumor: Twins Showing Interest in OF Mitch Haniger
nicksaviking replied to Vanimal46's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Corner OF is near the bottom of my offseason wish list. -
The Twins have multiple starters in similar boats. I'm just fine waiting for Maeda, Mahle, Ober and Winder to show their stuff and evaluate their velocity and stamina in spring training. Preferably this wait-and-see plan would also entail getting at least one more rotation lock via free agency to join Ryan and Gray. Two more would be nicer. Edit: Ok, it's been awhile since I looked, and outside of the three HOF starters who certainly won't come here, I don't know that there's more than two, maybe three free agent pitchers I'd want. Two of those four rostered pitchers better have their act together come April.
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Twins Trade Gio Urshela to the Los Angeles Angels
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yeah, I was thinking if Marwin too. Whether it was Farmer or Urshela, I didn’t peg this player as a starter anyway. But dang, the Twins and Reds sharing an office these days? They do a lot of swapping.- 108 replies
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- gio urshela
- carlos correa
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Twins Trade Gio Urshela to the Los Angeles Angels
nicksaviking replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
In a vacuum I don't like it, Urshela has value. But since we're not in a vacuum, there are plenty of signs that portend this is a great move. This team has so much available money to spend in free agency now. I mean, they have large-market kind of money to spend. Also, it should be noted that moving him all but hands the job to the young player who Carlos Correa appeared to adore the most. A player who he all but demanded not be traded at the deadline.- 108 replies
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- gio urshela
- carlos correa
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Funny how if you do those rankings by USEFULLNESS, Urshela is probably 2nd only to Arraez. With that lens, I keep him, but only if he's willing and able to do the Eduardo Escobar/Marwin Gonzalez super utility bit, because I don't want him dedicated solely to 3B next year. Also, if the Twins absolutely won't get one of the top four shortstops, then there's no reason to clear payroll, and, he'd probably be my 5th choice to actually man the position. Way ahead of any of the other free agent shortstops anyway. He was capable of playing the position in New York.
- 29 replies
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- emilio pagan
- chris paddack
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Maybe, but anyone interested in Kepler is probably interested in Hanigar themselves. Unless the Twins eat salary, the buyer's on the hook for 9.5M with Kepler while the hypothetical AAV of Hanigar was $13M, who I think is the significantly better player.
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- mitch haniger
- byron buxton
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Yeah, I really do like Hanigar, but he struggles to stay on the field. I could see the league cooling on him though because of that and perhaps he'll end up needing to do a 1-year make-good deal to rebuild his value.
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- mitch haniger
- byron buxton
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That would be great if they know they have to change their approach. I mean, I want Correa back, but I'm also warming to the idea of the other shortstops, Bogaerts in particular. If Correa is planning on being the last to sign, then the Twins have to sign one of the others so as not risk ending up empty handed, in which case, the Twins offer at this point means nothing in the long run. But, after not getting the offer he wanted last year, maybe Correa too plans on changing his approach and will sign early. Edit: Another thought, if the Twins offer is good, but not good enough, AND it's being leaked, maybe they're just trying ring the dinner bell for the other shortstops who were already assumed to get less than Correa.
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Twins Add Four to their 40-Man Roster
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was looking forward to Isola, but that was with the assumption that the team still thought they could make a passable (or unpassable) catcher out of him, ala Jeffers and Garver. I now assume they do not. With that in mind, honestly, this list has the least anxiety filled Rule V snubs I remember in a long time. Even if the players they got in return didn't pan out, moving guys like Steer and Gipson-Long made these decisions much easier. Trading from the following year's pool of Rule V adds should be an annual impetus at the trade deadline.- 52 replies
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- edouard julien
- matt canterino
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After his misadventures backpacking through San Diego and Milwaukee, I presume Taylor Rodgers is camped outside Target Field begging to have his old room back.
- 26 replies
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- michael fulmer
- taylor rogers
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You refuse to acknowledge that the Twins roster is unique in that they have no reason NOT to sign a free agent that takes up a high percentage of the payroll. They don’t have many holes to fill and are sitting at about 90M. Your theory for roster building puts them at what, a 110M payroll ONLY for the sake of enabling your ludicrous 25% maxim? Hey fans, we CAN go to $140M but we’re cutting budget because ….. well you’re too stupid to understand. It’s hard not to recognize that every year you preach this same nonsense, until the Twins tell you that they don’t need you to defend them and they don’t agree with you by signing a Donaldson or a Correa, at which point you stop your bellyaching until the next off season.

