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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Yup, the Cardinals are going to chase pitching and they are the closest city to his hometown outside of Atlanta, who is probably also in the market for pitching. Most guys who say 'it's not about the money' and actually mean it, tend to head back to their neck of the woods. Or at least their wives' neck of the woods. Not saying the Twins can't or won't re-sign him, but any thoughts of discounts to stay here is probably just daydreaming.
  2. nicksaviking
    Or he gets bored of a city every few years so he pulls up the tent, grabs his bindle and rides the rails to a new destination.
  3. nicksaviking
    That sounds too good to be true as a Twins fan. I have to think both he and his agent know he'll have guaranteed three year offers from plenty of other clubs, which means he can and should ask for five and eventually settle for four.
  4. nicksaviking
    I suspect any supply/demand issues regarding the shortstop market are only going to lead to minimal increase in return. I mean the Twins got him for a guy who wasn't even in their top 30 prospects. Even if the Twins now got some team's top 20-30 prospect, or a no-name reliever, would anyone care? I'm all for trading him, but in the offseason, I'd guess they wouldn't get anything of value for him unless he's part of a package. Add Farmer to a higher profile trade to bump up the return. That's the avenue I'd explore. Or wait until next year when Lee or Martin are ready to take his spot on the roster and see if a team is desperate due to injuries. Also, I do NOT want Michael Taylor back next year. Hanging on to Farmer seems like a way to free up Castro for part time CF duty which would make it more likely Taylor won't be back.
  5. nicksaviking
    Ain't signing here then. Minnesota law doesn't allow any single individual to own the entirety of a lakeshore.
  6. nicksaviking
    Doesn't bother me if the Twins brought him back, I'd be happy to see him. Just seems what he said about the A's owner would be a particularly sensitive subject for the Pohlad family. So it would be an applaudable move if they did hire him, as they'd basically be confronting their family's darkest moment. (I mean other than the time Carl built the family fortune by foreclosing on starving families the second a payment was past due during the depression)
  7. nicksaviking
    Falvey already declined to interview with Boston.
  8. nicksaviking
    Right, but broadcasters are employed by the teams, so it would be quite something if the Twins or any team hired him after he spoke out about one of their own.
  9. nicksaviking
    That would say a lot about the Twins if they did. Surely May knew he was going to be blacklisted after napalming a member of the Billionaire Boys Club for trying to do exactly what Carl Pohlad failed to do 20 some years ago.
  10. nicksaviking
    The depth for the starting rotation was great this year, but the 'depth' for the bats hurt the team this year. The Farmer/Solano/Taylor/Castro/Gallo/Vazquez crowd keeps the Julien/Wallner/Kirilloff/Jeffers crowd off of the field. The obvious difference is that adding depth like Lopez or Gray to the top of the rotation is like adding Carlos Correa to the lineup. While adding depth like Gallo or Taylor is like adding Bundy or Shoemaker to the back of the rotation. If they want offensive depth that will inevitably block the better talent, add it to the top part of the lineup, not the back of the lineup or the bench.
  11. nicksaviking
    Nice work on this. Obviously trades for our own young players will always be controversial. I'm with others, I'd trade Jeffers, but they better already have Garver or another offensively competent option ready to go. I don't want to promise an offensive black hole when the catcher is up all season. I'd move Castro as well, but not if it means bringing Michael Taylor back. His strikeouts were an underrated problem this year; can't bring him back if Buxton, Julien and Wallner are also starting. But I agree, Castro is likely to regress, if a utility player is at peak value, move him. I'd be happy to go back to the Reds, but I don't like Ashcroft and I'd bet the front office wouldn't either. This rotation is now, unbelievably, made up of strikeout artists. I think getting a pitch-to-contact groundball arm would be a poor fit at this time. As for Larnach, it's not like I've given up on him, but there are a half dozen young players I'd now rather see. Completely agree with moving him in a package deal.
  12. nicksaviking
    I mean, he can say what he wants about it not being about the money, but if the Twins are trying to get a 40% discount on his services, it's not the Twins decision, it's Sonny's. And he'd obviously decide no.
  13. nicksaviking
    I could totally see both sides working something out in their exclusive negotiation window, but I'm going to say walk, simply because lately, the organization has preferred to see how the market plays out before committing to big contracts. If Sonny truly isn't chasing top dollar, he'll probably be one of the first top end free agents to sign.
  14. nicksaviking
    Yes, though we here on TD often don't differentiate between the two, I always assumed Levine was still more or less a traditional GM who handled contracts and identified free agents and trade targets, while Falvey was the architect in charge of modernizing and overhauling the entirety of the baseball operations. Certainly there's tons of collaboration, but there are still some defined job responsibilities, even if we fans aren't explicitly privy to them.
  15. nicksaviking
    Whether or not you agree with what the poster is saying regarding the value of a strikeout, I think you're missing the reasoning for the strikeouts. It's not because the Twins are swinging and missing a ton, it's because they AREN'T swinging and there is a distinction. Julien and Wallner both see over 4 pitches per plate appearance, which is a lot. The goal isn't to get a good read on the pitcher so much as it is to make the pitcher throw more pitches and get him out of the game. So the strikeout itself doesn't have value, but the method does. I don't feel it provides enough value currently, but if they keep the method while either reducing the current players' strikeouts, or find players who can do so, then there is a lot of value in having a lineup that makes the opposing pitchers work more inefficiently than the other teams do.
  16. nicksaviking
    To get more at bats for Vazquez? That wouldn't interest me at all. I'd only be interested in finding extra spots for Jeffers to play if Camargo or Cossetti are crushing it and ready for a promotion. And from the sounds of it, Camargo would likely be the one playing a secondary position.
  17. nicksaviking
    A return to form for Miranda would be bigger than just about any free agent addition. His ability to limit strikeouts was sorely missed last year and would be a big help next.
  18. nicksaviking
    Julian seems like the best internal option. If the rest of the league overlooks Rhys Hoskins like this board is, I'd scoop him up though. Though he looks like a typical slugger, he only has a career 24% K rate. What would be appealing to the Twins, is he's also good at getting on base due to taking some elite at bats. For his career, he sees 4.41 pitches per plate appearance. For comparison, Ryan McMahon led the league this year at 4.38. With the Twins seemingly dead-set on taking as many pitches as possible, it seems like Hoskins is exactly what they are trying to do.
  19. nicksaviking
    I don't want Wallner to change anything, I want the Twins offense to change things overall. Hitting with runners in scoring position is the actual problem, but striking out with runners in scoring position and less than two outs is the biggest cause of that problem. I'm not blaming Wallner, there should be room for a couple of guys who strike out a ton. I'm just not sure there's room for three or four. Which means to fix it, entails tough decisions.
  20. nicksaviking
    There were no winners.
  21. nicksaviking
    I agree that replacing Gray is the top priority. I really like Wallner, but it's going to be hard to reconcile his spot if the team has any intent of fixing the strikeout problem. Gallo is obviously gone and Larnach is much more expendable. But most of this board seems to want Michael Taylor back, but his strikeouts and lack of walks really gutted that offense. The team is stuck with Buxton. Can they figure out an offense with he, Julien and Wallner all striking out over 30% of their plate appearances? Julien seems most likely to fix that, and also more integral to the team. Maybe they can make it work, but they have to stop fanning with runners in scoring position all the time. If Wallner is the answer to replacing Sonny Gray (a la Arraez in 2022) I'd be interested.
  22. nicksaviking
    And somehow the Cleveland defense has flown under the radar as being really, really good. They've given up fewer yards than any team in the history of the game through five games. The Vikings defense isn't going to keep them in many games.
  23. nicksaviking
    I don't think most of the injuries had anything to do with having a specific trainer, nor do I think the Twins were any more injury prone than other clubs. Looking at injury lists by teams, the Twins seem to be pretty middle of the road.
  24. nicksaviking
    Good for him. And honestly, I'd be happy when people around here stop referring to he and Falvey as though they are some kind of monstrosity conjoined by analytics who terrorize the offices at Target Field with their duel heads simultaneously reciting the +WPA of every player in the league.
  25. nicksaviking
    Last year I was more than happy filling out the rotation with the internal options, but then they traded for Lopez and it was the best move they did all year. They've traded for Odorizzi, Maeda, Gray, Paddock, Mahle and Lopez to be mid-to-top of the rotation arms. I don't care if it's via trade again or free agency, but it would be weird if they didn't go it again after it clearly paid off last year.
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