Seems about right on all fronts. I still don't trust Cleveland or Chicago to maintain a pace to catch the Twins given their inconsistency. I'd likely say that about all three of these teams in any order though, and give the advantage to the team in 1st.
Also not surprised that they didn't move the needle much on winning it all. While improved, the pitching still doesn't look good enough in my view and the bats are too inconsistent. The bats rely way too much on the long ball and I still don't think that's a recipe for success in the playoffs facing better pitching every game.