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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Nunez mixes poor defense and base running mistakes with a productive bat. There may not be a place for him on a playoff team but this Twins team needs him.
  2. jorgenswest
    Looking for a link I found something I didn't know. The difference in ten days a pay becomes smaller. Minor league salary must be at least 60% of the player’s combined minor league and Major League salary in the preceding season. http://www.sportslawblogger.com/baseball/salary-information/minor-league-salary/ If a player is in the minors when DFA'd (in order to clear a spot on the 40), I am not certain they get major league pay while DFA'd. Since both O'Rourke and Graham had options they could have been returned to the minors and then DFA'd. When the Yankees remove Graham fro the 40, it will likely be while he is in the minors. If it happens once this season, it should not matters. It hurts careers when the acquiring team DFA's them shortly after acquiring. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/05/another-look-at-flaws-in-the-waiver-system.html
  3. jorgenswest
    I believe that a day in the majors (maybe even in the previous season) guarantees the multiple year on the 40 man pay at the minor league level. I don't think his status with the Yankees changed his pay status. He would have received the same had he cleared and remained with the Twins. He did lose a chunk of his 26 year old season in limbo and will likely lose another chunk when removed from the 40 by the Yankees. This hurts players careers and there is no limit to how many times they can be DFA'd in the season. I don't understand your emphasis on getting the pay.
  4. jorgenswest
    Kepler has 85 AAA plate appearances. There shouldn't be any discussion about blocking him before he has a considerable stretch dominating at that level. If he is dominating that level at the All Star break I will buy into the argument that Santana, Arcia, Plouffe or Rosario are blocking him. The Twins have had enough guys go from AA to the majors only to have to send them back. Giving Kepler 200-250 plate appearances in the AAA isn't going to hurt his development. It is the wise path.
  5. jorgenswest
    Mientkiewicz is managing a last place team in AA. He did a good job the last two years when he had the best talent in his league. I am sure he would do fine if given the best talent in the AL.
  6. jorgenswest
    The Twins inability to recognize and develop pitching talent will keep this team from the playoffs into the future. Young under team control pitching is a key to any mid market team's success. Pitchers decline too quickly and suddenly in their careers to count on aging free agents signed to long term commitments to fill the holes. In addition, defensive talent and skill has not been a priority since 2011. They have ignored defensive reputations in the signings of Willingham, Doumit and Suzuki. They have thrown guys into the outfield with virtually no experience often giving up defense on both corners and in the case of Santana and Schafer centerfield also. Asking mediocre pitchers to get extra outs accelerates their pitch count and forces bullpen into games in the fifth and sixth inning. Any talent they have in the bullpen is overworked early and requires a revolving door on the 40 man. There is hope in their starting 9 but as they mature. It won't matter how young they are now if the pitching isn't with them.
  7. jorgenswest
    Really poor management of the 40. I think they have 39 on the 40 now. If I understand correctly, they perceived a one game need to add Mastroianni. He came up on Friday the day before two spots opened by Milone and Fien. Maestro sat on the bench that game and then started the next two going 0-7 with 4 strike outs. Why not keep Graham and bring up Mastro Saturday? They knew it would be a day. They could also have waited one more day before flipping Centeno and Murphy. They even could have put Perkin's on the 60 day DL. Has their valuation of Graham changed so much that he isn't worth waiting 1 day? They waited the entire season last year. Was their staff horribly wrong about him last year or are they wrong about him this year? The 40 man roster management of Graham and even Hicks earlier this season leaves serious question about the ability of those responsible for this roster.
  8. jorgenswest
    They can strengthen the lower minors. There are never enough starting pitchers or up the middle players. Plouffe, Dozier and Jepsen should merit a return of something that bolsters the depth in the lower minors. Maybe they get a return of a failed starting pitcher or catcher like the Cubs received in Arrieta. It would be a lottery ticket but they occasionally pay off though very rarely like Arrieta paid off. Most of the rest are aging players performing well below their contract. The best value they get there is someone taking the contract.
  9. jorgenswest
    Kepler, Buxton, Polanco and Meyer need a long stretch of success. Meyer's 3 or 4 starts wasn't near enough. Two months might be the floor on long enough. That takes them to about the the all star break. The Twins should trade Dozier and Plouffe if they can get a return with some value. They don't need a return for the trio aging long term contracts filling the bottom of their rotation. They made a mistake a few years ago when the Orioles claimed Willingham. The Twins should have let him go instead of insisting on a marginal prospect in return. If they give the Orioles the contract, they look for a solution in the winter. If any of Hughes, Santana or Nolasco is claimed they need to give serious consideration to letting them go for salary relief and no return in players. If those three are on the 40 this winter, they won't look for other solutions. This year can't be fixed. They can stop bouncing around their best assets. If sent to AAA to develop, they must be allowed time to develop. Next year is going to look a lot better if several of Rosario, Santana, Buxton, Kepler, Arcia, Murphy, Polanco, Chargois, Meyer, Burdi, Duffey and Berrios put together solid second halfs. That is the fix we can hope for.
  10. jorgenswest
    May's only recent injury was last year as a reliever. He also missed the future's game in the minors but not any real games. It was likely more about managing his innings than an injury. Quote from article last September. http://blogs.twincities.com/twins/2015/10/05/twinsights-bullpen-revelation-trevor-may-would-rather-start-in-2016/ He is more valuable if he can start. The Twins need starters beyond Duffey and Berrios. Putting him in the rotation this year makes sense.
  11. jorgenswest
    The Red Sox have no need to trade Swihart unless they get a significant return. He isn't out of options. They have a starting catcher coming off an injury. Why would they trade him for one of Minnesotas many back end starters?
  12. jorgenswest
    Everyone agree? Major league numbers stabilize for strike out rate, walk rate and ground ball rate somewhere past 100 batters faced. Pitch level data is probably earlier but that isn't very available for minor leaguers.
  13. jorgenswest
    Chargois may or may not be dominant. That would have to be assessed by the staff that sees him every day. It can not be supported by data until he has many mare batters faced.
  14. jorgenswest
    I sure hope the Twins aren't deciding whether a pitcher is dominant and ready based on a small number of batters faced.
  15. jorgenswest
    At this point I am glad they didn't give an over 30 guy like Tony Sipp a three year commitment. Maybe they have another win with him, but the last thing a going nowhere team needs is decline phase pitchers with multi year contracts.
  16. jorgenswest
    On Dozier... I don't think Dozier's contract will scare off anyone. Those three years of Dozier is close to what the Tigers paid for Pelfrey over two years. It is all about his performance. If he performs well, he has trade value and the Twins would be wise to keep him in his reasonable contract. If he doesn't play well, he has no value to the Twins or anyone else. On Polanco... Shouldn't teams have a clearer understanding of a players ability to defend at SS based on their minor league career? Polanco has nearly 3000 innings at shortstop in the minors. I get that hitting major league pitching is a huge jump from hitting in AAA. Is fielding a major league ground ball, catching a major league pop up, turning a major league double play or executing a major league cut off hugely different than their minor league versions? The Twins should have a pretty good idea now whether Polanco can play SS at the major league level. They shouldn't need to see him at this level. On the other hand, they apparently needed to see Plouffe at SS in the majors before realizing that he is not capable of that position. Can Polanco handle SS at the major league level? The Twins should already know. Can he hit major league pitching? Time will tell.
  17. jorgenswest
    I gave been following the Twins since Pascual was throwing to Battey. It is easy to enjoy each game and I listen or watch almost every game. It's a baseball game. What could be better? Every game brings strategy to ponder, young players with the possibility of bright futures and veterans who I have been following since they entered the organization. I will leave the pride filling to things under my control. It's baseball. Enjoy the game.
  18. jorgenswest
    Both guys have options. Any team with a spot on the 40 can claim them and send them to the minors. Later this season they will drop them from the 40 and hope they don't get claimed. It really can have a negative impact on their careers as with each DFA they are in a 10 day holding pattern. Alex Burnett was tossed around this way in 2013. He was in 4 organizations and pitched 17.2 innings across 5 teams. If the MLB cared about the livelihood of these men fighting to have a career, they would require the acquiring team to keep them on the 40 the remainder of the season.
  19. jorgenswest
    With other guys trying to go the steroid path, I appreciate the effort of Fien and Milone. They didn't enter professional baseball with high expectations and their hard work has led to major league success. I hope both find more success in the majors.
  20. jorgenswest
    Centeno and Kintzler will make no impact. If this move is to have impact it has to be someone like Chargois. Replacing two journeymen with two less experienced journeymen isn't going to move them towards .500 this year or impact the team in the future. It makes no sense if it is a Kintzler and Centeno. That move won't move the needle at all.
  21. jorgenswest
    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=29085
  22. jorgenswest
    I am not sure why pick the middle of a previous season unless some injury can be pointed to on that date that may have indicated a skill change. He happened to have a great May and June so it conveniently misses that data. His talent level is somewhere in between. He will likely be close to the league average 2B as he finishes out his prime seasons and years of control with the Twins. That is a useful player but not one that should be batting at the top of the lineup.
  23. jorgenswest
    Hopefully the extra spot on the 40 man roster is with Berrios in mind.
  24. jorgenswest
    Duffey can start the movement by pitching well and winning tomorrow.
  25. jorgenswest
    Perkin's hasn't returned to form since his stiff back of last season. Too often back trouble points to other problems with older players.
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