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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Eris
    Fangraphs interview https://blogs.fangraphs.com/matt-wisler-on-learning-and-developing-his-signature-slider/
  2. Eris
    An alternative way of looking at the question is have the Twins gotten value for the glut of outfielders they have in their system. The answer is clearly no. Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson could be added to this conversation as well although I don’t know if either would have resigned and Lynn had the worst season of his career with the Twins. The discussion on which players to protect has to be viewed in the context of whether or not a team is a contender. When not contending, Baddoo would have been kept over Cave. Hindsight is a wonderful lens into the world. Was Baddoo available to be put on the alternative site in 2020. That was their opportunity to evaluate Baddoo’s readiness. Aaron Whitefield was on the taxi squad. Celestino has been on 40 man roster for two years. But he looks way overmatched. What was the criteria for keeping Celestino over Baddoo. Baddoo is a currently a slightly below average defender and maybe doesn’t profile as a true center fielder.
  3. Eris
    Danny Thompson (called up to replace an injured Rod Carew). This was the year I started listening to the Twins. John Castino for his defensive hustle.
  4. Eris
    Chapman’s spin rate is also dropping. Notable in that decreasing spin rates may have played a role in the Twins most memorable win of the season. https://www.google.com/amp/s/empiresportsmedia.com/new-york-yankees/yankees-chapmans-velocity-and-spin-rate-were-both-significantly-down-in-thursdays-loss/amp/
  5. Eris
    This is the most detailed article that I have found. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.rotoballer.com/spin-rate-fallers-after-mlb-substance-rule-change/893118%3famp=1 This graph is also interesting. Edited this graph was posted above by @Vanimal46 https://www.yardbarker.com/mlb/articles/this_graph_shows_how_much_mlb_rules_enforcement_has_affected_spin_rates/s1_127_35195162
  6. Eris
    There is already a rule in place that allows umpires to eject a pitcher who intentionally hits a batter. The Fangraphs chart is interesting but it is missing supporting data. Are pitchers throwing inside more than they did decades ago. Are batters standing further from the plate or are they crowding the plate.
  7. Eris
    I don’t think spending money is really the issue. Some players don’t want to come here (Marcus Semien). They have gotten poor performance from some they did pay (Donaldson, Sano, Kepler, Colome).
  8. Eris
    Entering the season the Twins were in need of a backup outfielder who could play a serviceable CF because of Buxton’s injury history. The Twins had Cave, Kepler, Celestino, Wade, and Baddoo. Wade was traded, Baddoo lost to rule 5, both Cave and Kepler were hurt, Celestino look very unprepared when given the opportunity. Both Wade and Baddoo have outplayed the others on this list. Although injuries to both Kepler and Cave could not have been predicted, they both struggled in 2020. One of Wade or Baddoo should have been retained. The Twins don’t have the luxury of making to many mistakes in personnel decisions. I get that the Twins have too many outfielders, especially if you include Rooker, Lewis, and Arraez. Maybe the best option would have been to sign a Jarrod Dyson type of player to have an a legit CF to backup Buxton. Fortunately for the Twins, Gordon looks to be decent CFer (albeit with a below average arm).
  9. Eris
    There was time many years ago when the Twins thought they had expendable catching depth as well. We should revisit the Wilson Ramos trade before we discuss trading another catcher. Keeping Mitch Garver as a 1B / catcher / DH is the best option. (This was mentioned by @stringer bellHe is also under team control for 3 more seasons.
  10. Eris
    “All three relievers have struggled mightily this year, but specifically using Dobnak and Shoemakers as relievers and leaving them out there when they were clearly struggling to get outs was interesting. “ Because the bullpen is burned up. The only way the Twins will have a respectable record at seasons ends is if every pitcher starts contributing. Yes, that means when a pitcher is expected to throw 2 or 3 innings he needs to throw 2 or 3 innings even if the results aren’t there.
  11. Eris
    Well that a horrible at bat by Sano. Swung at 3 pitches well out of the strike zone.
  12. Eris
    I am curious about the decision to put Gordon in CF over Gilberto Celestino. Not that I am unhappy about it and hope that Gordon can learn how to play the OF like Jarrod Dyson. But with Gordon having no OF experience it seems the safe choice would have Larnach with a strong arm in RF, Gordon in LF and keeping Celestino in CF.
  13. Eris
    They used the slot money they saved by taking Lewis, to sign Blayne Enlow. Considering the Twins stretch of bad luck/poor decisions in drafting pitchers in the first round, selecting Lewis seemed reasonable. My concerns would be on reports of poor swing mechanics that aren’t being corrected. (Like another top pick who plays CF) I also agree with @Danchat above that the continued selection of bat first high strikeout prone hitters could use an adjustment either by drafting more pitchers or players with defensive value https://blogs.fangraphs.com/sunday-notes-twins-prospect-royce-lewis-has-a-cacophonous-swing-and-a-sky-high-ceiling/
  14. Eris
    He is on to something that doesn’t seem to be emphasized in today’s pitchers. He must have close to a 45 mph speed differential between his fastball and off speed pitch. That difference can be effectively utilized to keep hitters off balance and get outs. In his younger years Zach Greinke had about a 25 mph difference between his fastball and curveball, which at that time was the largest differential in the MLB.
  15. Eris
    I thought the Twins had a rule about 1 inning pitch counts. After 35 pitches in one inning the pitcher’s day was over.
  16. Eris
    I did not see this elsewhere in the forum. This is an article by Joel Sherman of the NY Post that suggests that many pitchers are cheating and he outlines what he thinks baseball should do about this. https://nypost.com/2021/06/02/mlb-must-put-a-stop-to-cheating-substances-epidemic-sherman/ From the article. “Then pick a start date, like July 1, to state that umpires are being ordered to aggressively check for foreign substances, and if one is proven to be used, then not just the pitcher, but the pitching coach, manager and head of baseball operations too will all be suspended for 10 games (the length Michael Pineda was suspended in 2014 for having pine tar on his neck).”
  17. Eris
    Alex Colome deserves to be on the list as he is single handedly responsible for 4 losses. He was also the Twins big bullpen acquisition for the winter. In addition to many of the names mentioned above, I would have Ryan Jeffers on this list. He went from being in the pre-season RoY discussion to playing himself off the roster with a nearly 50% K rate. The consequences are that we have lost several games with passed balls or WP with Garver that a decent defensive catcher would have corralled. It is really approaching total system failure. The number of regular starters and pitchers who are meeting expectations are rather low
  18. Eris
    It looks like the euphoria is over. Against KC, today 3K, 7 LOB. A batting average that is nearing the O’s Chris Davis recent years of futility. It is really frustrating to see Sano flailing at sliders low and outside.
  19. Eris
    Garlick was a defensive substitution in the bottom of the 7th after Kepler reinjured this hamstring. To describe him as a pinch hitter in the 10th is not the most accurate description.
  20. Eris
    I think so. The Twins were able to convince the umpire(s) to give Jorge Alcala extra warm-up time despite LaRussa's disagreement. Therefore assume that Maeda is at least somewhat hurt. (There are likely consequences for lying to umpires under these circumstances as well although I do not know what they would be).
  21. Eris
    Aaron Hicks to undergo wrist surgery. Likely season ending. https://nypost.com/2021/05/21/aaron-hicks-yankees-season-likely-over-with-wrist-surgery/
  22. Eris
    Going Deep: Early Returns on Elevated Four-Seam Fastballs - Pitcher List This is my opinion and I have no data to support. Another factor that likely influences the current pitching advantage is that the launch angle / extreme flyball craze started in around 2015 and 2016. It took pitchers and coaches awhile to respond to the change. The effective strategy was throw high 4 seam FB. But historically, pitchers were not taught to throw high in the zone fastballs, they have been taught to do the opposite which is to throw low fastballs. Therefore, it took awhile to learn (not sure if learn is the best descriptor) to throw high fastballs so they minimized the risk of missing down from the intended high in the zone target (as missing down would be a meatball). Now pitchers have had about 3-4 years to practice/perfect their high 4 seam FB. Two people who benefited from launch angles and extreme pull hitting are Brian Dozier and Daniel Murphy. The both had two years with a surging ISO and that was it. They are both out of baseball now. Dozier is 34 and Murphy is 36. Kepler had a one year surge in ISO (2019).
  23. Eris
    Several factors that benefit the pitchers. The quest to hit home runs has given MLB a lot of dead pull hitters focusing on launch angles. This has resulted in decreased batting averages and increased strikeouts. Both of which will statistically contribute to an increased number of no hitters. Defensive shifts and high 4 seam FB also contribute to neutralizing dead pull hitters. (See Garver and Kepler) Also, the no hitters are not random. From the NY Post: “The six no-hitters have been at the hands of just three teams, twice each: the Rangers, Mariners and Indians. Cleveland and Seattle are 29th and 30th in team batting average, while Texas is 14th. It’s possible they are the outliers — at least until the next no-hitter is thrown.” One of the obvious solutions to the no hitters is to reward players who hit to all fields for high averages. (Morneau, Maurer, Puckett, Cruz) In the minors, MLB is experimenting with banning of defensive shifts. This is IMHO the wrong approach as we are rewarding one dimensional hitting. This is one of the reasons I am excited to see Kirilloff and Larnach. They have the potential to be .300 hitters and can hit to all fields with power.
  24. Eris

    On Narrative

    Eris commented on Chris Hanel's blog entry in TwinkiePower's Blog

    This team was built / trained / coached to hit home runs. In 2019 they led the league in home runs and (I think) percentage of runs scored by home runs. In addition to bad luck, the Twins are very poor in situational hitting. This shows by horrible results with runners in scoring position. How many times do the Twins have a runner on second with no one out and fail to score. This aspect of their game is depressing.
  25. Eris
    I don’t understand the transactions today. Bailey Ober was already on the 40 man as was Stashak. Therefore, it was not necessary to DFA Derrick Law unless there is another transaction that has not been announced. Is this correct.
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