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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. Cannot argue with Berrios, everything about him makes me hope he turns into a star. Right now though, my favorite prospect would be Thorpe or Gonsalves. Morneau would have been my favorite of all time (or at least since I've been following prospects).
  2. Average can fluctuate a bit over a career as there's not a huge difference in terms of the number of hits between a .300 hitter and a .270 hitter, but you'll see a guy struggle in his first couple of seasons and then eventually settle in on some consistency, (baring injury). You don't see that progression with defensive metrics at all.
  3. I'd agree with both, but if I were a betting man, I'd place more money on Arcia than Gibson. Arcia had an OPS greater than .800 the second half of the season, and his minor league track record is pretty impressive. He could hit close to .300 and still get around 30 home runs (though his OBP will probably hold down the OPS numbers), and I think he's going to do that... especially once three's a core in place with Sano, Buxton, Rosario, and Vargas to complement guys like Mauer and Dozier. With Gibson, the big step forward is if he can get his K rate up closer to what it was in the minors. He was striking out between 8 and 9 batters per 9 IP in AAA, and if he gets his ML K rate up closer to 7 to go with the grounders, he'll be a pretty valuable pitcher.
  4. The Twins didn't really have a choice in buying on SP. Their system was pretty bereft of SP talent for the last few years as only Gibson has turned into something. They have some higher ceiling talent at the lower levels and now have some decent talent moving into the upper levels, but it takes 5 starters and as is true with pitching prospects, many never make it. They had to buy SP. I tend to think it would have been better served to go out and get the top one (say Anibel Sanchez or Max Scherzer), but when you need to get several starters, going out and getting guys like Hughes, Nolasco, and Santana make sense given that they just didn't need one guy, they needed a rotation. This was probably the best means to get one. I personally tend to think that stolen bases are overrated, though going from 1st to 3rd or even 1st/2nd to home on a base hit is valuable. You are accurate in going for high OBP guys, but truthfully, that can be taught to some extent. Both Vargas and Sano have done a pretty decent job of that in the minors. Arcia, while needing some work there, was not terrible either.
  5. He's 23. He can still move. He's not Vargas out there.
  6. Honestly, I don't trust defensive metrics, and when they say they take 3 seasons to even be reliable (which if I remember correctly is how UZR works), I'm even more skeptical. I do think that the Twins could have looked for better defensive options than Hunter, as the team needed a LF. It's pretty clear they think Rosario or maybe even Hicks can be the answer there, as I would have expected a 2 or 3 year deal for someone given that there's very little else in the pipeline for the high minors (though Harrison and Walker should be auditioning in AA for 2015). Like it or not, Hunter is a 1 year filler who I'm guessing they expect to teach some of the younger guys a thing or two about how to play OF defense, even if he is physically incapable of playing it well anymore. Not sure I like that, but that's what it is. I think the frustrating thing here is that the Twins may end up being .500 this season, and OF defense is going to be a big reason why they are just pretenders and not contenders. I might be a tad optimistic, but I think this team is much closer than the record last year indicated.
  7. Side note, and slightly off topic, but this season should be a real good indicator on how much of our management frustrations were on Gardy and how much were on Ryan. It will be real interesting to see what changes with Gardy no longer managing the team.
  8. I think Dave is right here. Pelfrey will be in the pen most likely baring total melt downs from Meyer, May, and Milone. I think the front runners right now are May and Milone (and I'm rooting for May). I somewhat expect Milone to be the first guy up if someone is hurt unless Meyer figures out the walk issue and is dominating AAA like May was last year. I think, if anything, this season is going to tell us the future of Kyle Gibson. If he manages to bring up the K rate and improve on a pretty good first full year, it will make for a nice dilemma for management. Because right now (with a similar season as last year), I think that Gibson will likely be traded next season to make room for Meyer (especially with Berrios, Rogers, and Duffy all knocking on the door)
  9. I'll drink to that, though I think it's a bit overly optimistic
  10. I still prefer guys who can miss bats to go with that speedy OF. That said, Arcia in particular should be a lot better than he is defensively. He's young, athletic, and not exactly a slow plodder. I'm not a fan of the Torii signing, but while he's not a premium defender anymore, he should know quite a bit about the nuances of good defense, and I hope that he's able to impart a lot of that on to Arcia and Hicks in particular.
  11. yeah, don't have a problem only having 2 Cs on the 40 man, but there had better be a guy in the minors worthing DFAing someone else for. I'm perfectly fine with that guy being Fryer in AAA. Guys like Herrman and Fryer are pretty easy to come by. That said, I'd be really disappointed if the Twins don't even view Pinto as a backup.
  12. The chatty chatty princess is all grown up?
  13. Honestly, I extend him, though I think he'd come much cheaper than people seem to think... That's my 2 cents. He has one more year making the minimum.
  14. I'd add that he got off to a pretty rough start. His first four starts were bad. Second were average. He was well above average from there on out. The overall numbers looked pretty good (minus the walks), and he largely corrected that as the season wore on.
  15. Hicks does have one more option I believe.
  16. I'll be disappointed if Fryer makes the team ahead of Pinto. Catcher is demanding enough that Suzuki and Pinto and go in a 90/70 game split and Pinto get some additional time as an occasional DH. I would ask him to take some grounders in spring and be able to play 1B in a pinch.
  17. Seems like a bargain compared to what they were rumored to be spending on that Korean pitcher. I'm guessing that means there's zero chance he sticks at SS and not nearly as high a chance as people would like about the bat sticking.
  18. If Plouffe held off Sano, that means Plouffe likely had a good year. I'm fine with that as he'd be a nice trade asset.
  19. FWIW, I don't think Moncada will cost 80-100... I think it will be closer to 50 after tax.
  20. is it official that Thorpe is out for 2015, or are you assuming he's going to get TJ?
  21. I'm hoping that with Gardenhire out of the picture, the only reason we have a 3rd catcher is b/c we have 3 Cs that can rake and play other positions. I'd keep an extra reliever or an extra PH otherwise.
  22. I have to admit I didn't think Hughes would even be interested in this given the season he had. In that, I think this was a no brainer.
  23. Honestly, I'll be more disappointed if May is not with the Twins this spring. Meyer was walking way too many guys in AAA and needs to refine his control a bit. While I expect to see him in MN this year (baring injury), I really think the Twins should let May get first crack at that last spot.
  24. I don't think you are the only one on his bandwagon. There are a number of people on this board who really like him. I think the big difference is that while we all recognize he has undeniable talent, most of us recognize that he's got a few big issues that need to be mitigated if he's going to even make it to the big leagues, namely contact. He strikes out too much and walks way too little. Whether that is due to a hole in his swing or a lack of plate discipline (or both), I'm not sure. But bottom line is that right now, he has no chance of making the team and very little chance of being a productive major leaguer in 2015. I don't see how it's a slight to not invite him in this situation. He has a lot more work to do than guys like Buxton and Sano, and he's showed far less success than either of them in his league relative to age. Don't get me wrong, if he figures out the contact problems, he could be an absolute stud. He's still a very good prospect, but at the end of the day, he's not ready.
  25. I'll say what I've said several times. This wasn't an accident.
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