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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. I like the idea of Vargas starting in AAA and letting the DH position move around a bit, with Grossman getting some platoon time there. Eventually, I think Park gets put back on the 40 man.
  2. The obvious reason they drafted Jay was that they thought he could make the transition to the rotation, as did many draft gurus.
  3. I'm not sure this is particularly insightful considering the last ten years covers a large group of prospects still in the minors and most of those were the high draft picks. I do agree that the Johnson drafts have been bad - particularly the stretch from 08-11 - but it's a bit early to really make any final decision (as you have) on, frankly, 2012 forward.
  4. The Pohlad's aren't going to spend big in free agency. Until they do it once, I don't think we should give them the benefit of the doubt that they'll do it. The new FO - particularly Falvey - come from orgs that didn't really rely on free agency. It's not a surprise that the Twins wanted that in their FO. Our bigger worry is that they won't pony up the money to keep these young position players around in a few years.
  5. Well, I hope Castro really helps our pitchers. Should be interesting to see if Gibson, especially, gets some low strikes.
  6. Nice to hear about Berrios. 62 pitches for five innings is pretty good.
  7. Oh, wow, man. I mean, that was a tough chance with Dems in the White House. No chance at all now. We'd need another 2008 for that to happen.
  8. Well, yeah. Depends on how old you are. I'm in my early 40s so the short term ebb and flow of the market isn't too scary for me - but I also said that in 08 when we held a lot of Wachovia stock (remember them?) and citibank. Uff-da. So we're watching a bit more closely this time but generally I don't worry about timing the market so much as having a smart(ish) portfolio, meaning buying boring index funds when appropriate.
  9. Bukauskas is a pretty exciting guy but other places have noted some concern with his effort/delivery. With 35 and 37, it's also possible (likely?) that a pitcher slotted for the top 15 gets injured (like Giolito or Aiken) or has a crap season (Alec Hanson) and the Twins might be able to take a gamble that way, as well.
  10. Dang. Hope he comes back next year better than ever.
  11. Ahh, skimmed that. Well, let's hope so. I probably agree that Romero's upside is higher (I was pretty low on De Leon in the first place) but his floor is much, much lower.
  12. Oh, sure. But that's a few different regimes/draft coordinators. Things really changed under Deron Johnson. And "safe" college arms, to me, sounded like the control specialist college pitchers Radcliff drafted - Slowey, Baker, Duensing et al. Completely different from the high upside velocity/high risk reliever strategy of Johnson.
  13. I'm not sure that's true at all. Their drafts since 2012 have been some HS OF with tools but also several HS arms and some non-typical college arms (lots of relievers). Actually, looking at picks taken in the top 100 of each of those drafts only 5 players qualify as a "safe" college arm or HS OF - Buxton, Eades, Kiriloff, Babadoo and Jax. Lots and lots of college relievers and a fair number of HS SS were nabbed as well.
  14. What are the chances that Bakauskas can clean up his delivery enough to be a starter at the ML level? If we could sign him #1 at #4 money ...
  15. I think you're reading a bit much into this. The international signings under Smith were great and he pushed ownership to pay a record amount for Sano. That's all great. The point I was trying to make with Romero was that Romero wasn't a huge financial signing but a scout pushed for him. As for Ryan, not sure why we're set on dragging him into this but since we've just seen the 2009 international signing guys make the majors, we'll probably have a few years before we can see the 2012+ groups. As for why people are somewhat dissatisfied with Smith is because he inherited a pretty young ML team and made some trades that didn't work out in either the short term or the long term.
  16. Yeah, they've certainly had their misses, too.
  17. ? I suppose we could argue that Ryan would have passed on Sano et al but we've seen his international signings as well so I'm not sure that's a huge point. And while Sano is a huge get, I'm not sure guys like Diaz, Javier et al won't be equal to or better than guys signed under Smith. It just takes a while to grade out the classes when most of them are signed at 16. But Ryan probably wouldn't have traded away Garza or Ramos either, so ...
  18. In all honesty, he deserves credit for pushing in Latin America and continuing to do so after he was dismissed as GM but the credit for Romero (and a guy like Thorpe) belongs to the individual scouts that said this kid was worth a quarter of a million dollars. I don't know who that guy was but he did good.
  19. I like Romero a lot. Probably wouldn't have him #1 but six months from now it might look like the obvious decision. It's also a nice reminder that both Romero and Thrope were relatively unheralded international signings in 2011 that look pretty exciting.
  20. Man, Matusz. Remember when he was an absolutely untouchable pitching prospect? He followed that up with a solid but unspectacular rookie season and then kind of stumbled.
  21. Perkins 08 season isn't a horrible comp but I think Gonsalves would have better peripherals and, if fip matters to you, a better fip.
  22. I like Gonsalves but I'm not sure he's more than a legit 4/5 type pitcher. That's not a bad thing. He might be a 95-105 ERA+ type with 180 ip or so for a few years in the majors once he gets acclimated. But I like Romero, Stewart and Jay more than him and if Thorpe can get healthy, I like Thorpe more, too.
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