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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    I am not surprised the FA signings have failed, they were never going to be great. Bell is streaky and when he can get hot he can be great. Similar to Clemons they can get hot and carry a team, but their slumps can be just as bad the opposite way. The starting pitching has been amazing, outside of SWR, even the call ups. The pen has been up and down, as most pens are. We have got some surprises on offense by Lee, Larnach, and Martin, but the bad way for Wallner and Lewis. What I am happy about is that the FO is willing to make moves, that old FO may not have. Specifically, the DFA of Topa, demotion of Wallner and Lewis. I would expect if Bell does not step up and get hot soon, he will be next on the DFA.
  2. Trov
    There is a lot more to it than just that. Service time, options, 40 man roster rules, waivers, DFA rules all affect how you manage not only the 40 man roster, but the 26 man roster. Also, development/playing time, and rolls of active players play a part as well. For example, Culpepper is not on the 40 man roster. To add him to it you need to remove someone or put them on the 60 day IL. If you remove them from 40 man roster, then they get put on waivers for any team to claim them. If it is not their first time, they can opt to be a FA as well. This means you lose them. In some cases, that may not be a big deal, but lets say Twins want to call up Culpepper, and DFA Lewis to make room on 40 man roster for him. Odds are Lewis would get taken on a waiver claim. Maybe losing Lewis on a waiver claim would not be a big deal. However, it could backfire. Also, what if Culpepper does terrible? What if he gets hurt? Then we need to reach deeper into the system with a possible lessor prospect. 40 man roster moves should not be done on a whim. They have long lasting affects.
  3. Trov
    When you look at the whole draft there has been no real great players. Even some of the all-stars taken later in draft are only all-stars by mostly defaults by nature of needing one. This was just a bad draft it looks like. No real long term all-star or possible HOF type guys.
  4. Trov
    Mendez appears to be possibly be one of those hitters that with the small adjustments can make big strides. He has been known to have a good eye at plate, with solid contact and exit velo's but over his career has been a ground ball hitter so affecting his power numbers. Does not matter if you hit the ball 110 off the bat, if it is on the ground you normally are at best getting singles, if not down the lines generally. This year though it would seem he must be getting more launch angel as his slugging is up over his career average. Being he is on the 40 man he could be a call up with injury to one of our OF or if they decide to cut Bell Mendez could fill DH roll for this season if his hot bat continues.
  5. Trov
    With current injury to Buck not playing CF, Roden still out in minors, E-Rod, Jenkins both out, we have very limited options for defense at CF. Mendez cannot play it. Martin has the speed but not best at it either. That really just right now leaves outman until Buck can play it regular again, which that may not happen this year. We remember recently when he only DH all year basically. Also, why would you make a prospect the 4th or 5th outfielder? You want to give prospects at bats, not ride the bench with a few at-bats a week. If you do not plan on playing a prospect at MLB level, keep them in minors so they can get regular playing time.
  6. Trov
    The only reason I have hope is all his injuries are different and not soft tissue. However, similar to Buck in his early years is he kept getting hurt in different ways, not just one way. Like with Buck people kept saying it is the way he plays defense, except so many injuries was running bases, even just to first. I hope that E-Rod can stop getting hurt though for sure. Jenkins is in similar situation he keeps getting soft tissue injuries early in season. Then plays a decent amount. His most recent was just making a catch up against the wall and hurt shoulder.
  7. Trov
    It does not matter where he is playing on defense, he needs to get back to the hitter we all thought he would be after his early seasons. Without that he is unplayable at any position.
  8. Trov
    Him not being on 40 man roster complicates things. The most recent moves by the FO added 2 people to the 40 man roster, and you could say Fedko could have been one of them. Really, it would have been Fedko over Arcia, as Jackson is needed to fill in at catcher. So who is getting DFA for Fedko right now? Wallner he would get picked up by someone for sure. Lewis, same thing he gets snagged in a heartbeat. Kreidler, that would be possible now that Arcia is here, but Kreidler can play infield and outfield. Fedko is limited to just outfield. Outman, maybe, but Outman is much stronger defender and base stealer. I could see that move at some point, but Fedko cannot play CF and with Buck not playing out there right now you need someone. They could move Roden to 60 man IL, but then that move is done, and if he comes back to play you need to DFA one of them. If he was on 40 man this season there is a good chance he would have got a call up. Not being on it complicates things. Teams always like to have some 40 man roster moves in back pocket incase they need to use them. They could DFA some pitchers as well. I am not saying Twins clearly think there is flaws in his game and more of a AAAA player, but because he was not called up as part of recent moves does not say 100% they feel he will not make it. Sabato is in a similar situation putting up decent numbers recently, and he had the pedigree of being a 1st round pick.
  9. Trov
    Neither will get a call for that as neither are on the 40 man roster. They would need to either put someone on 60 man IL, or DFA someone to make that move. They will not take that level of move just to bring a guy up for a few days.
  10. Trov
    It is always hard to measure as a fan the growth of a catcher and need to move up. So often fans will generally look at stats as hitters and measure that. However, catchers have so much more than hitting. I remember when Mauer was drafted his second spring training Tom Kelly said if he was not a catcher he would be at the MLB level already as a hitter, but he needs to work on more things as a catcher. That also splits time you could normally spend as a hitter working on that area and mindset, when at catcher you need to work on calling a game, receiving, framing(although in not too distant future that will be moot) knowing when to talk with pitchers, all kinds of little things that other positions just do not need to think about.
  11. Trov
    Another thing that bring Arcia up, if he can continue to hit anywhere close to what he was in AAA and still be above average defender like he has in his career, worst case, he builds some trade value. No, he will not net some major return, but he would have some value for average hitting SS with above average defense.
  12. Trov
    We actually have a decent chance to do it soon. If we can avoid a sweep against Milwaukee, maybe even take 2 out of 3, we have 2 of our top starters going, then we have a strong chance next week. We play Houston, worse record than us, and Boston, worse record than us. We could possibly sweep either, but if we can mange to win next three series we are right back around 500. Sadly, I do not expect us to finish anywhere near .500 as we lack any kind of pen to hold leads and our defense does not help with it. We basically have 4 hitters we can really count on.
  13. Trov
    I would hope they only take Lackey if they think his bat will translate to the MLB. Reports are he is athletic, and has played some third in college as well. If he has a bat, he could stick at catcher or move off it for other position if Tait is also good to go. Worst case, you look to trade one of them, catchers that can hit are hard to come by, so if you have a couple that is not a bad thing. Just do not trade one for a washed up closer on a rental deal, ala Billy Smith.
  14. Trov
    Wallner may still have a chance if he figures things out in AAA. He still has light tower power, if he can hit the ball, but clearly he needs to adjust. SWR, I think will be shifted to the long relief type roll and give Matthews another start. I would not DFA SWR yet, simply because we have a lot of injuries to our starters as is. Sure, he may be the worse of them, but if maybe he can get some innings in the pen and a spot start here or there that could be good.
  15. Trov
    I get he may have became a poor hitter because of a hit by pitch in the head. He would not be the first, nor the last that a hit by pitch in head derailed a career. However, the facts are he has not been a good hitter since then. He had some ups and downs before then too. He was good his rookie year, then bad 2023, yes injuries may have been a big factor, and he looked like he bounced back in 2024 before the hit by pitch. However, you can still say he is not been a good hitter lately. It may be due to head injury it may not. Just like Chuck Knobloch was a good defensive second base man, until he was not. He stopped being able to make the throws from 2nd to 1st, he was in his head. He was then not a good fielder. He quickly became not a good hitter. Injuries may cause a player to become a bad hitter or fielder, but it does not change the fact that they then became a bad hitter or fielder.
  16. Trov
    I am wondering if the team will make a move brining Arcia up? He is hitting well in AAA, and still considered a strong defender at SS. If he can hit even close to average at SS he could provide value, moving Lee off SS and showcasing Arcia for possible trade, if he hits. Not saying they should, but based on his numbers, .954 OPS might justify some MLB playing time soon.
  17. Trov
    I am a firm believer that you do not need to light up the radar gun if you know how to mix speeds and locations, with movement. High velo makes up for poor location, sequencing and mixing speeds. It helps, but you can still get the job done without a mid-90's fastball. Right now the change up is working well for Ober, I strongly believe that a great change up can carry a pitcher. Sure, their will be times they give up long balls, but if you are worrying about the change up that is 10MPH slower than the fastball, that fastball sure seems real fast when it comes. When you burn the edges of the zone, even better. Pitching has always been about keeping hitters off balanced. Change in speed and location does that.
  18. Trov
    The kid is still young enough to become a true prospect. He is same age as college guys being drafted this year, so no worries on age. If he can continue to stay healthy and show the bat as he has he will fly up prospect lists this year.
  19. Trov
    It would be great to see if Wallner can find anything in his swing again, but at his age there is really no reason to keep giving him chances. We have too much replacements for him that are younger. I remember just a few years ago when we thought our future was Lewis, Wallner, Julien, and even possibly Miranda. WOW how wrong we all were. It shows you cannot count on prospects to always produce, and their early career numbers may be a mirage as pitchers adjust to the hitters, the hitters need to adjust to the pitchers, or they are doomed.
  20. Trov
    Both of them are injured at this point, but even if they were not, Roden is not a prospect in my mind, one he does not qualify for lists due to service time, and his age puts him outside that as well. If you called up both will you plan to play both? Would Roden play left and E-Rod right? Martin sits on the pine? What about Larnach is he benched too, or is he DH? Roden could replace Outman when healthy and fill a similar roll, but as I said Outman will not be replaced by a prospect. His roll, will be replaced by someone like Roden, or they will drop his roll and use a late inning pinch hitter. The main issue with that is we lack reliable hitters too on our bench.
  21. Trov
    Sabato is someone that could get a chance if they pull the plug on Clemons or Bell as 1st base/DH option. My guess they will give each long run but I think if the season goes pear shaped, you should give Sabato a shot and see if he can do anything. He will be unlikely to get a second contract based on his age, but you never know he could be a Nelson Cruz type guy that did not get full season at MLB until age 28 season. I doubt he is that, but if you can be a power hitter with the DH you can play late into 30's. I am not saying Sabato will be that, but to give up fully on him may be premature. Remember Brent Rooker put together 3 strong seasons as a DH starting at age 28.
  22. Trov
    Both Lewis and Wallner have an option year left. Both could get sent down to see if they can figure out the swing. Wallner, I am wondering how much that shot to ribs early in the year affect him. Sadly, he has not bounced back in any way. Should he get hot he can carry and offense, but he is running out of runway this year. Lucky for him E-Rod is hurt right now else he would have been knocking on the door.
  23. Trov
    I think Clemons could mostly fill the Outman roll, and agree when healthy E-Rod could come up play RF for Wallner, and let Wallner DH against right handed guys. However, that still means the prospect is not replacing Outman's roll, he may replace his spot on the roster, but not his roll.
  24. Trov
    I am not saying I agree with the roll Outman is playing, just pointing out it is his roll and not replaced by a prospect. If you take him off for a platoon outfield option/pinch hitter, who you bringing up. Most likely it would need to be Gonzales, as E-Rod, Jenkins, Roden(if they get healthy) are all left handed hitting, so cannot platoon with anyone we have. Based on what he is doing in AAA he has not earned a spot. Feldko would be the other one, and he would make some sense if that is what they wanted. Feldko is not a prospect really, so my stance still is that a prospect would not be replacing Outman.
  25. Trov
    Who would you use to replace him with? Who do you want to sit on the end of the bench to pinch run and play defense at end of games instead of him? If you want a prospect called up for Outman, than you really want Wallner, Larnch, Martin, or Buck's time to get cut down. Possibly Bell as well since he mostly DH's and any of them could DH or give a prospect chance to DH. Point is, you are not replacing Outman in the lineup, you are replacing someone else, or just asking the prospect to sit on bench and not get chance to hit. It is not about Outman, his roll is limited.
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