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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    Concur. I’m not a big fan of Rodney, but starting the year with him at closer looks much better if they take a concrete step or two to solidify the rest of the pen. I don’t even know if that’s possible anymore, but I’d sure hate to think they’re done.
  2. USAFChief
    I’d like to see the window opened before worrying about when it will close. And Waiting around for the window to open itself doesn’t sound like a good plan to me.
  3. USAFChief
    I just wanted to say this post is in the running for POTY. Well played, sir.
  4. USAFChief
    Well, the winter meetings are over. Presumably Falvine left a message with Darvish's agent to "Wake me up before you go go." I hope they get some actual help and don't just settle for letting the "Young Guns (Go For It!)".
  5. USAFChief
    If this turns out to be the "oh, and btw, in addition to all THAT" move, I love it.
  6. USAFChief
    I never tire of reading the Twins don't need to spend on the bullpen because of all the internal options.
  7. USAFChief
    watch it, bub.
  8. USAFChief
    Not to mention the argument presented is circular anyway: "We need pitching, but we don't have enough pitching to go out and get pitching."
  9. USAFChief
    Gordon and Jay, plus a throw in? Pull the trigger already.
  10. USAFChief
    concur.
  11. USAFChief
    Castro was signed Nov 30, Santana Dec 15.
  12. USAFChief
    I'm going to assume Ash was referring to starting out with the first pick in the draft and ending up with the 8th pick, for no apparent benefit.
  13. USAFChief
    Not to speak for drjim, but I assume he listed the five teams he assumes make the postseason, including division winners. Hence both Boston and New York listed, as well as Houston and LAA. There are five spots, and technically div winners are also WC competition.
  14. USAFChief
    The criticism, at least from me, has nothing to do with all in. Nor, about the eventual result. My criticism: misunderstanding the Twins chances of making the postseason, and what that would be worth when weighed against the small influx of marginal talent they got for weakening those chances. Edit: or what birdwatcher said, much better than me.
  15. USAFChief
    If your firm actually believes someone can predict baseball with enough certainty to put much stock in a website’s “5%” number, I’m guessing you don’t get much repeat business. And speaking of “5%;”. My personal belief is that number wildly overestimates the chances the “gain in assets” actually helping future contention.
  16. USAFChief
    It would be fair to say they traded pitching only because they decided they had zero chance at the postseason. Since that was not true, it’s fair to say trading away pitching was a blunder, and I absolutely believe Falvine would say the same. Whether or not they actually made the postseason is irrelevant to the decision, as are postseason results. To put it in your poker terms, folding after the flop, when pot odds indicate you should call, is a blunder, regardless the turn and river.
  17. USAFChief
    1. The fact they DID make is not an argument supporting trading AWAY pitching at the deadline. It's exactly the opposite. Clearly, Falvine misjudged the team at the time. I'd bet a lot of money, if they could have somehow known where the team would sit one month later, they would NOT have traded either pitcher. 2. Adding talent would always be secondary to a playoff spot. Always. And for the record, I don't agree they've added "quite a bit" anyway. I'd certainly advocate "buy" any time the Twins are in the position they were in last July...in contention for a spot. I care 100 times more about a current chance in hand than about the chance a relatively nondescript minor leaguer or two are added to the system and might one day amount to more than a trivia answer. For the record, I'm certainly not advocating firing them. I'm more than happy to give them time, acknowledge I like some of the behind the scenes stuff they've done (although it's pretty tough to prove the effectiveness of that, one way or the other), and have high hopes they'll one day actually "crush it." But IMO they certainly haven't done so yet, and certainly erred last July.
  18. USAFChief
    Count me as 100% agreeing the deadline blunders were indeed, blunders. The Twins had been in contention for a playoff spot all season long. The FO traded FOR help just a week before trading away pitching. Regardless what happened after that point--whether events played out as they did, or the team failed to make the playoffs--not bolstering the team's chances was a blunder. I really don't understand any argument otherwise. The goal is not "adding talent." The goal is winning.
  19. USAFChief
    Concur. Even if you like what little they've done..."crushing it"?? c'mon.
  20. USAFChief
    And let's see what he does in 2018 before worrying about signing him for 2019. 2017 was his first 800 OPS since 2013, and he just barely made that.
  21. USAFChief
    As noted above, I did not say a playoff spot was an obvious outcome. I said they were clearly in the chase for a playoff spot. Which they were, and had been all season. As for Fangraph's "playoff odds"... well, let's just say that's a pretty dubious number. Obviously.
  22. USAFChief
    A lot of those things had been going right from April 1st to late July. There was no need to try to guess whether or not the Twins were in a chase for a playoff spot. They clearly were, and had been all season. Things would have had to go wrong for them NOT to stay in contention, rather than the other way around.
  23. USAFChief
    Whether or not the Twins actually won the 2nd WC, or didn't, is NOT the point. The point is, they were in contention, should have recognized that, and didn't. That's what ultimately matters.
  24. USAFChief
    Hughes will surprise me if he throws one pitch for the 2018 MN Twins, but stranger things have happened.
  25. USAFChief
    "...The playoff run was surprising." Maybe when viewed from the perspective of last March, but by July they had been in the hunt for a playoff spot since day 1 of the season, and one week in late July doesn't change that equation. Falvine didn't just wake up one morning in late July, read the STrib, and discover "Holy cow...we're IN this??" In fact, they traded FOR help one week earlier. "...it's not like we didn't make the playoffs." This is not a point in favor of your argument, or in favor of Falvine's actions. This is a point AGAINST their actions. The fact they made the postseason in spite of Falvine trading away pitching is just more proof they misread the situation badly. They clearly should have been trying to boost the team's chances, not reduce them. "...did we lose games we would have won with Jaime or Kinz?" This is after the fact reasoning, and also completely misses the point. "...Houston or Cleveland would have ousted us..." Again, completely misses the point. The bottom line is...Falvine misread the situation, and traded from, not to, a team in contention for the postseason. That's a mistake, and I believe they both would privately admit the same.
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