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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    I say again, a team serious about competing in 2022 doesn't trade Rogers.
  2. USAFChief
    Then it might not be accurate to say all teams start at 1/30? I'm guessing you wouldn't even give me 10 to 1. And I'm more of a fake silver cuff link guy, as the only time I've ever worn cuff links was with my mess dress. Suckers are hard to put on, too, especially using my left hand to put on the cuff link on my right wrist. Amby Dextrus is not something I've ever been called.?
  3. USAFChief
    Will you give me 30-1 on the Dodgers winning 95 games? $100?
  4. USAFChief
    A team serious about competing in 2022 doesn't trade Rogers.
  5. USAFChief
    The bullpen was 19th in preventing runs last year in the 2nd half. That's not above average. They don't line up teams after the season based on fWAR.
  6. USAFChief
    You mean other than his career 107 ERA+, right? Other than that data.
  7. USAFChief
    I did not say "every season since 2018." As you clearly show with my actual quote, I said every season except 2020. And I stand by both my claims: 1)the original, which is Winder is extremely unlikely to provide the same performance in 2022 as Manaea, And 2) Manaea cannot be accurately described as "league average."
  8. USAFChief
    Relax. RS writes satire. We all know TC is real.
  9. USAFChief
    Moving the goal posts again? It has zero to do with Ryan, Ober, or "#3." This started with a claim Winder would provide the same to the Twins in 2022 as Manaea. That's...questionable. Arguing that Manaea is league average not only missed the point, but is demonstrably false to boot.
  10. USAFChief
    EV-ry-BO-dy-CLAP-your-HANDS...CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP. CLAP CLAP!
  11. USAFChief
    They took the Ober? I'd have bet the Under.
  12. USAFChief
    Sometimes it also works like this: the Twins trade Dave Hollins to the Mariners for David Arias, who later becomes David Ortiz. He was...wait for it...a player...to be named later. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/on-this-date-20-years-ago-david-ortiz-was-a-player-to-be-named-later-in-a-trade/amp/
  13. USAFChief
    I meant to type 160. Point remains. Again, you're completely misrepresenting what Manaea has been. 2020 skews his numbers. 107 is 7 percent above league average. That's not the definition of league average. All of which misses the point, which is that it most certainly IS difficult to accumulate such pitchers, and a Winder is most certainly NOT likely to provide anything similar in 2022. People are stumbling over themselves to praise Paddock, for example, and he's not been a "league average" pitcher.
  14. USAFChief
    1. It's actually pretty difficult to find pitchers capable of giving you 180 innings of league average pitching. There is almost zero chance of Winder, or any Twins prospect, giving you that in 2022. 2. It's a stretch to call Manaea league average anyway. He's been better than that every year since 2018 except the short season of 2020.
  15. USAFChief
    Manaea has over 700 MLB IP of sub-4 ERA but won't give you any more than Winder in 2022? The faith people have here in untested prospects is humorous.
  16. USAFChief
    A great addition to TF.
  17. USAFChief
    I had the same thought.
  18. USAFChief
    What?
  19. USAFChief
    There's certainly variability, based I believe on the small sample sizes. A bad outing or three will have an outsized impact on a reliever's numbers. But I do not believe that is the same thing as unreliable. I believe in good telievers going forward over bad no matter if they had a bad game. And I DON'T believe in "just a guy" relievers no matter their streak of luck. Relievers vary in quality just as much as starters do, And there are strong pens and weak ones, just as there are starting staffs.
  20. USAFChief
    By fWAR. Which is a terrible way to measure pitchers, and a worthless way to measure relievers. You watched the Twins last year. Were they better than 20 other bullpens??
  21. USAFChief
    Projected by who?
  22. USAFChief
    Top 10 by fWAR, which is worthless. 19th by ERA. The Twins did not have a top 10 pen last year.
  23. USAFChief
    Boo.
  24. USAFChief
    Then why a nr1 pick for Sonny Gray? Why Correa? Why sign Bundy and Archer? Why Joe Smith? I don't think they're contending this year, but they're certainly not punting.
  25. USAFChief
    The Twins aren't taking Hosmer's contract. No chance.
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