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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    NOOOOOOOOOO!!!1!
  2. USAFChief
    I thougt we were talking about win probability added. A pitcher who walks the bases loaded, then gets 3 Ks, added the same win probability as a pitcher who skips the 3 walks?
  3. USAFChief
    The actual numbers are irrelevant. Arguing that three positive events added with two negative events is equal to the same three positive events added alone is nonsense.
  4. USAFChief
    Then why did you post THIS EXACT QUOTE? "Julien is leading the team in plate appearances so the “he is not playing everyday" argument lacks credibility." At the least, own up to your own lack of credibility. And with that, youre on ignore.
  5. USAFChief
    You're not using the correct measurement. "Team leading" number of PAs doesn't measure whether a player is a full time player. Measure against the league. One month in, and Julien trails the MLB leader by over 40 PAs. He's 30 behind dozens of players. Julien is not a full time player.
  6. USAFChief
    I dont think this is accurate. Three positive events (outs), combined with 2 negative events (baserunners), aren't equal to 3 positive events. For example: 1 + (-1) + 1 +(-1) +1 Does not equal 1 + 1 +1 Both mathematically and intuitively, getting 3 outs with zero baserunners in a one run game does not have the same "win probability added" as getting 3 outs while allowing a walk and a hit. Your own explanation proves that (the "up slopes.") WPA is worthless, but let's at least understand it.
  7. USAFChief
    Just getting chewed up by fastballs.
  8. USAFChief
    I've always been a huge fan of the Carlos.Santana signing
  9. USAFChief
    Well we know who to blame for THAT abomination of an inning.
  10. USAFChief
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/02/al-notes-mejia-bellinger-yankees-carter-twins.html Santana was always gonna get the overwhelming majority of playing time at 1b.
  11. USAFChief
    1. I never said Castro is a full time player. 2. Santana, on the other hand, was absolutely signed to be a full time player. 3. However, the point being discussed in the post you quoted was "There are no every day players in MLB anymore " Which is categorically false.
  12. USAFChief
    Correa activated, Martin to St Paul.
  13. USAFChief
    It's official per MLB: Correa activated, Martin to AAA.
  14. USAFChief
    Take out all the pitchers...~55% of that 94%. Take out the players who spent time in the IL, and in the minors. Get back to me with what that 6% looks like. The point is, there are plenty of full time players in the big leagues.
  15. USAFChief
    Dan Hayes is "hearing" Correa activated tonight, Martin to St Paul.
  16. USAFChief
    False. https://www.statmuse.com/mlb/ask/most-mlb-games-played-2023 Plenty of every day players in MLB. It makes zero sense to take your best players out of the game unless they're injured. Plenty of MLB managers don't.
  17. USAFChief
    I'd DFA Bowman as the move when Duran returns. Easily the worst current reliever. Figure out who goes for Topa when he's ready. Jackson probably. I think Topa has an option so there's no need to bring him up at all, other than perhaps face saving. I think Miranda goes for Correa. Zero chance they cut bait on Farmer, and Martin seems to be the CFer of choice when Buxton sits. There's also zero chance they give up on Margot at this point. Again...save face.
  18. USAFChief
    Furthermore, There is no room on this team for Jorge Polanco when Manny Margot, Christian Vasquez, and Jair Camargo have starts at DH.
  19. USAFChief
    Stupid Rocco. PHing Julien for Farmer...
  20. USAFChief
    That sounds like the restrictions on fielders gloves.
  21. USAFChief
    My guess is Bowman.
  22. USAFChief
    Not me. I never have my computer on while posting in the game thread.
  23. USAFChief
    Don't come to the game thread unprepared, friend.
  24. USAFChief
    Yeesh. This Angels team is rough.
  25. USAFChief
    Would have preferred not to dip into the deep end of the bullpen.
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