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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Note also that we’ve reached the point where there are only 25 more games until rosters expand and Smeltzer can stay up, even if they keep both Perez and Pineda in the rotation.
  2. IndianaTwin
    Assuming Pineda’s IL stint is short and just precautionary, no, Pineda doesn’t come out of the rotation. Ten of his last 14 starts were quality starts, and three of the remainder were three runs in 5 innings or more. He’s six outs from having 13 of 14 QS. He has a 3.48 ERA in that stretch and nearly a 5:1 k/bb rate. Perez would probably be the odd man out if they do want to keep Smeltzer and no one is hurt. If Smeltzer throws well in his next start, I actually predict an IL stint for Perez once Pineda is back.
  3. IndianaTwin
    Any team can come off Greinke's no-trade list at the right price for an extension. I'm not sure I'm interested in that price.
  4. IndianaTwin
    If that was indeed the case, that might have also contributed to his enthusiastic response this weekend. Perhaps internally he was saying, "I made the wrong choice last winter, but now I get a chance for a do-over."
  5. IndianaTwin
    I'm not a big fan of trying to declare a winner on trades as if it's a zero-sum game. I think the best trades are the ones that help both teams. Contextually, I think the trade could well help the Twins this year (i.e., Romo does well this year), and I hope it does. Contextually, the trade could well help the Marlins down the road (i.e., Diaz becomes a good player), and I hope it does. When you approach trade negotiations with the genuine intent of helping the other team as well as helping yourself, you increase the likelihood of finding a willing partner when you call them back next time.
  6. IndianaTwin
    Romo being able to spend the off day with teammates will also be a benefit. I’m guessing he’ll be eating with and sharing a row on the plane with either Johnson, Garver, or Castro, for example.
  7. IndianaTwin
    I loved his quotes in this article. If this is anywhere close to genuine, that's exactly the kind of attitude I want on the team. So if he wants to come and meet the new teammates, a thousand bucks for a round-trip ticket and a taxi is well worth paying. https://www.mlb.com/twins/news/sergio-romo-joins-twins-for-finale-vs-white-sox
  8. IndianaTwin
    (Stringer Bell, this isn't a response directly to you. I was just starting to type something like the following when yours popped up and yours is similar to what a number of others have expressed.) Yet, Romo is 17 of 18 in save opportunities this year and Rogers is 15 of 20. Romo also has more experience as a closer over his career. Rocco has also shown a willingness to use his best reliever in high leverage situations. Romo is also a righty, which many teams seem to prefer as the closer. All that to say, I won't be surprised if Romo slides in to something closer to the traditional closer role, with Rogers slipping back to the guy who gets used in the high-leverage situation. Not saying I agree or disagree with that approach, just saying it could well happen. (And frankly, that's a debate for only three more games, because there will be someone else on board by Thursday to change the conversation. Over the last two years, Falvey and Levine have made more than an average number of July trades. There's no reason to think that won't happen again.) (Frankly, part 2: To some extent, this is a typical Falvey/Levine trade. They haven't made "big splash moves," but rather "nudge the needle" moves. Last year it was "get rid of impending free agents." This one is a "get rid of 40-man question marks" move.)
  9. IndianaTwin
    Yes, Shmegheghi, great first post. With the bonus of showing us what looks like a cool baseball-reference.com tool that I wasn’t aware of.
  10. IndianaTwin
    The Rod Carew Game — June 26, 1977. With a first-person account here, including Stew Thornley’s climbing of the flag pole: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/26496-game-thread-twins-indians-62517-1210-cdt/
  11. IndianaTwin
    So, with 62 games to hit those 76, they just have to homer at 199 hr/season pace the rest of the year. And yeah, those late 7:10 Central starts stink when you are in the Eastern time zone, even when they don’t last five hours. I have to put up with that too.
  12. IndianaTwin
    So, longest regular season?
  13. IndianaTwin
    Let’s not forget the 1000-post Game Thread from the 17-inning Kepler Game as a June highlight. That was a first, right?
  14. IndianaTwin
    Any Craig Kusick post deserves a “Like.”
  15. IndianaTwin
    Ho-hum, another run and two hits over 3.2 fairly high-leverage innings, with four strikeouts and no walks. Our bullpen is so bad. :-)
  16. IndianaTwin
    But if you want to discount the three Twins runs as not being deserved, you have to do the same with the two Cleveland got that weren’t deserved, and then our two solo homers beat their one. Was it their best audition for the Tom Emanski video series? No. But it was well-played in terms of battling their tails off and picking each other up.
  17. IndianaTwin
    Bringing in May when it’s 3-1 and there are two runners on seems like confidence in his ability to get out of the inning. May now has given up one run in his last 10.1 innings, and three in the last 16.1, with an opponents’ OPS around .550 during that time (almost two months).
  18. IndianaTwin
    Thieres, did you really have this posted seven minutes after the final pitch? Wow!
  19. IndianaTwin
    Every time I read this, I think it’s going to get boring. But every time I read this, I think, “Holy crap, this is incredible.” Thanks for doing these. I’m curious (and too lazy to look it up). What are the teams they are trailing? If it’s easy, how about adding a “next up is the ______ team at ____”?
  20. IndianaTwin
    Comeback Player of the Year? Buxton seems the obvious choice, but it’s hard to argue against Perez, or even Pineda.
  21. IndianaTwin
    This is a helpful exercise, and I think you've demonstrated that when he's healthy, Sano's numbers are as good as (or better than) almost anyone's. However, at this point in his career, we also have to acknowledge that Sano has had gaps of 27, 28, 24, 38, and 42 of his team's games when he was not available to the team because of injury, plus a stretch of 25 games at the end of 2018 in which he played 1 game. That's a little more than a season's worth of games missed over almost exactly four seasons. So while it's true that his stats have been equivalent or better than, say, Kepler per 162 games, Kepler has so far demonstrated a much greater likelihood of playing close to 162 games in a season.
  22. IndianaTwin
    Rarely lights the first one in the package though.
  23. IndianaTwin
    I'm with you on that. I'm not inherently arguing for or against last night's bunt. And it seems that, if he indeed said that Polanco was on his own last week, that he does know the book. I think that one of the skills of a good manager (and a skill that I think Rocco has the potential to be really good at) is to know when and how often to be a contrarian in a given situation for the greater good.
  24. IndianaTwin
    I should have started the DP sentence with "Also." My bigger point is that Polanco has been the best hitter on the team and Schoop is hitting ninth for a reason. As well as to note that two baseball situations are rarely "exactly the same," since there are so many variables to account for.
  25. IndianaTwin
    I've generally been impressed with Baldelli. He seems to have good people skills, which I think is tremendously under-rated and non-quantifiable, and I've generally sense that he's not given to bunt. It's a small sample, but this site seems to suggest that he has bunted 18 percent less than average so far. I'm not sure I trust that, however, since it seems to be measuring successful sacrifices, rather than attempted. I've especially been impressed that Baldelli seems to take the long view. We've noted what seems like intentional efforts to get guys rest, etc. That makes me wonder -- he seems cerebral enough to be willing to take an approach that says, "If I bunt in this situation, when the 'traditional' folks say I should and the 'analytics' folks say I shouldn't, I let people think that I'm willing to bunt. In the playoffs or a particularly crucial situation, there's no way I'm going to bunt. But if I never do it, people are going to see that tendency in me. I'm willing to bunt in this 'marginal' situation to keep the fear of a bunt in people's minds down the road." I was fascinated by Bill James when I was reading his Abstracts back in the 1980s, and I'm analytical by nature. But it's nuances like that where I think analytics can break down. Chiming in on a Web site, we just don't have a way of knowing the entire picture. And so, in the seventh inning of Game 3 this October, when a 3B sneaks in a step in a similar situation and Arraez smacks one by him, let's remember that game back in June when Rocco went against the book.
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