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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    Yes, Shmegheghi, great first post. With the bonus of showing us what looks like a cool baseball-reference.com tool that I wasn’t aware of.
  2. IndianaTwin
    The Rod Carew Game — June 26, 1977. With a first-person account here, including Stew Thornley’s climbing of the flag pole: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/26496-game-thread-twins-indians-62517-1210-cdt/
  3. IndianaTwin
    So, with 62 games to hit those 76, they just have to homer at 199 hr/season pace the rest of the year. And yeah, those late 7:10 Central starts stink when you are in the Eastern time zone, even when they don’t last five hours. I have to put up with that too.
  4. IndianaTwin
    So, longest regular season?
  5. IndianaTwin
    Let’s not forget the 1000-post Game Thread from the 17-inning Kepler Game as a June highlight. That was a first, right?
  6. IndianaTwin
    Any Craig Kusick post deserves a “Like.”
  7. IndianaTwin
    Ho-hum, another run and two hits over 3.2 fairly high-leverage innings, with four strikeouts and no walks. Our bullpen is so bad. :-)
  8. IndianaTwin
    But if you want to discount the three Twins runs as not being deserved, you have to do the same with the two Cleveland got that weren’t deserved, and then our two solo homers beat their one. Was it their best audition for the Tom Emanski video series? No. But it was well-played in terms of battling their tails off and picking each other up.
  9. IndianaTwin
    Bringing in May when it’s 3-1 and there are two runners on seems like confidence in his ability to get out of the inning. May now has given up one run in his last 10.1 innings, and three in the last 16.1, with an opponents’ OPS around .550 during that time (almost two months).
  10. IndianaTwin
    Thieres, did you really have this posted seven minutes after the final pitch? Wow!
  11. IndianaTwin
    Every time I read this, I think it’s going to get boring. But every time I read this, I think, “Holy crap, this is incredible.” Thanks for doing these. I’m curious (and too lazy to look it up). What are the teams they are trailing? If it’s easy, how about adding a “next up is the ______ team at ____”?
  12. IndianaTwin
    Comeback Player of the Year? Buxton seems the obvious choice, but it’s hard to argue against Perez, or even Pineda.
  13. IndianaTwin
    This is a helpful exercise, and I think you've demonstrated that when he's healthy, Sano's numbers are as good as (or better than) almost anyone's. However, at this point in his career, we also have to acknowledge that Sano has had gaps of 27, 28, 24, 38, and 42 of his team's games when he was not available to the team because of injury, plus a stretch of 25 games at the end of 2018 in which he played 1 game. That's a little more than a season's worth of games missed over almost exactly four seasons. So while it's true that his stats have been equivalent or better than, say, Kepler per 162 games, Kepler has so far demonstrated a much greater likelihood of playing close to 162 games in a season.
  14. IndianaTwin
    Rarely lights the first one in the package though.
  15. IndianaTwin
    I'm with you on that. I'm not inherently arguing for or against last night's bunt. And it seems that, if he indeed said that Polanco was on his own last week, that he does know the book. I think that one of the skills of a good manager (and a skill that I think Rocco has the potential to be really good at) is to know when and how often to be a contrarian in a given situation for the greater good.
  16. IndianaTwin
    I should have started the DP sentence with "Also." My bigger point is that Polanco has been the best hitter on the team and Schoop is hitting ninth for a reason. As well as to note that two baseball situations are rarely "exactly the same," since there are so many variables to account for.
  17. IndianaTwin
    I've generally been impressed with Baldelli. He seems to have good people skills, which I think is tremendously under-rated and non-quantifiable, and I've generally sense that he's not given to bunt. It's a small sample, but this site seems to suggest that he has bunted 18 percent less than average so far. I'm not sure I trust that, however, since it seems to be measuring successful sacrifices, rather than attempted. I've especially been impressed that Baldelli seems to take the long view. We've noted what seems like intentional efforts to get guys rest, etc. That makes me wonder -- he seems cerebral enough to be willing to take an approach that says, "If I bunt in this situation, when the 'traditional' folks say I should and the 'analytics' folks say I shouldn't, I let people think that I'm willing to bunt. In the playoffs or a particularly crucial situation, there's no way I'm going to bunt. But if I never do it, people are going to see that tendency in me. I'm willing to bunt in this 'marginal' situation to keep the fear of a bunt in people's minds down the road." I was fascinated by Bill James when I was reading his Abstracts back in the 1980s, and I'm analytical by nature. But it's nuances like that where I think analytics can break down. Chiming in on a Web site, we just don't have a way of knowing the entire picture. And so, in the seventh inning of Game 3 this October, when a 3B sneaks in a step in a similar situation and Arraez smacks one by him, let's remember that game back in June when Rocco went against the book.
  18. IndianaTwin
    A crucial difference in the two situations is the batter, however. Without considering their relative success as bunters, the run expectancy with Polanco hitting away is considerably higher than with Schoop hitting away. Per 162 games in his career, Schoop has hit into 16 DPs, whereas Polanco has hit into 8.
  19. IndianaTwin
    Maybe Jack did not know the rule because it’s so rarely enforced! I was also thinking about how batters are typically hugging the back line. I wonder if that has the effect of making anyone in front the plate SEEM like they are out of the box.
  20. IndianaTwin
    Not to mention that often times the explosion comes after a buildup of frustration on other calls. Particularly given the timing, this play was apparently the one that lit the fuse. Again, not to excuse him. But I suppose I’m at least giving him an excuse.
  21. IndianaTwin
    And by 30 innings, I of course meant 30 pitches. Or that game went even longer than I thought.
  22. IndianaTwin
    Aw, shucks. I thought I was going to be the first to come up with a Joe Nathan comparison, but you beat me. Crucial question -- does Littell do that bpbpbpbpb thing with his mouth when he exhales while he's getting the sign like Nathan did? Because if he does, I am completely on board.
  23. IndianaTwin
    My assumption was that they would need to call up someone, but as I look at it, I’m not sure they need to. Everyone pitched, but no one more than 30 innings. Parker is the only guy who pitched on the last two days, and that was only a total of 34 pitches. There’s really not anyone who isn’t available for at least a couple batters. Now if several guys get used for a good number of pitches tonight...
  24. IndianaTwin
    Calling someone the “No. 5” starter is somewhat a function of the health of the rest of the rotation. This year, the Twins have been fortunate in only needing four starts outside of Berrios-Odo-Gibson-Perez-Pineda, and two of those four starts were Stewart’s 26th-man starts. So while I see what you did in using the guy with the fifth-most starts as your comparison poin, that’s not completely accurate. For example, last year Romero started 11 times, but he was really only the No. 5 starter for the six weeks or so when he was in the rotation with Lance Lynn. For a few starts, he was actually the No. 4. In reality, the No. 5 starter last year was the amalgamation of most of Romero’s starts, plus the starts from Kohl Stewart, Gabriel Moya, Ervin Santana, Stephen Gonsalves, Adalberto Mejia, Chase DeJong and a few others. So yeah, I’ll take 2019 Pineda over that cohort. And the same would apply to the partial seasons of Colon and Milone. In 2018 Colon had the fifth-highest number of starts, but during a good part of his time with the Twins he was really the No. 4 starter behind Santana, Gibson, and Berrios, with guys like Dillon Gee, Adalberto Mejia, and Felix Jorge serving as the No. 5. The No. 5 starter comparison for that year should also include Ryan Tepesch and Phil Hughes. I’ll take Pineda over that cohort as well. The bottom line is that Pineda’s ERA+ is currently 89. Take out three late-April starts and he’s probably over 100. If he pitches to a 100 ERA+ for another 15-18 starts and is outpitched by Perez, Pineda will very much have been an outstanding No. 5.
  25. IndianaTwin
    This probably isn't the "give some of it back" you are referring to, but at some point in each game I listen to on the radio, I also hear the invitation from Joe to join him and his wife in giving to Gillette Children's Hospital. That also speaks to legacy.
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