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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    To be clear, I'm NOT saying that Pelfrey ought to be handed the No. 5 job, or even have first dibs at it -- I'm just saying that if you're choosing from among several guys who have demonstrated at least some level of potential in the past, what's the harm in one more still being in the picture during spring training? Yes, I understand the "but you're taking away opportunities from others," but I'm not convinced. As I mentioned in an earlier post, the average AL team had about a fourh of its starts last year come from people who were not in the opening day rotation. Cream will rise, and if May and Meyer are as good as advertised, they will pitch their way to the top. The average AL team had 9-10 different guys start last year -- some had as many as 13, I think it was. Someone outside of the Hughes, Nolasco, Gibson, Santana, May, Meyer, and Millone WILL likely be needed this year, and I'm not averse to Pelfrey still being considered for one of those spots. True, there was a point when we had to acknowledge that Willie Banks wasn't Cy Young, but I'm not convinced that Pelfrey is there yet. Put another way, if we harped on Gardy and Anderson, I'd rather let Molitor and Allen make the final decision on whether any past potential is indeed gone.
  2. IndianaTwin
    I'm going to stick my head out of my lunch booth for a couple minutes, make a comment, and then duck back in before stuff starts flying at me. Stats from 2010-13 IP ERA+ H/9 HR/9 BB/9 WAR SO/W Pitcher A: 588.0 91 9.4 1.4 2.6 3.1 2.77 Pitcher B: 570.0 88 10.1 0.7 3.0 3.8 1.75 I am fired up about the season Pitcher A gave us last year and looking forward to him getting that extra third of an inning he needs for a bonus. But I'm not ready to give up on Pitcher Bike Belfrey. Short leash? Sure. Top candidate for No. 5 spot? Probably not. Better suited for a relief role? Perhaps. But he was once seen in the same breath as Hughes and was seen as having just as high a ceiling. New manager, new pitching coach whose known to do well with reclamation projects. Don't riot yet. Give peace (and maybe even this guy) a chance. (Ducking back for cover.)
  3. IndianaTwin
    Of course Mauer hits into a lot of double plays. He fits the profile. He hits behind guys with little power, he doesn't strike out that much, and he hits the ball hard enough to not be able to beat it out. But for every GIDP, there's probably another 1st and 3rd situation. I'd be glad to have any of the career leaders in GIDP batting second on my team -- Ripken, Pudge, Aaron, Yaz, Winfield, Murray, Rice...
  4. IndianaTwin
    The 15 AL teams used from 7 to 15 starters last year, averaging 10.33. (The Twins used 12, by the way). So, there's a pretty good likelihood that Hughes, Gibson, Nolasco, Meyer, May, Milone, and Pelfrey aren't enough to get through the season. Given that, I'll gladly add Santana to the mix. On average, the first five pitchers to start a game started 109.33 games for that team. Perhaps not surprisingly, the four teams that got at least 120 starts out of their first five starters all made the playoffs. (The Twins got 118 out of Nolasco, Correia, Hughes, Pelfrey, and Gibson.) So, there's also a pretty good chance that about a third of the games will get started by guys who aren't in the rotation at the beginning of the year. If Meyer and May don't make the rotation out of spring training, it seems almost a certainty that they will get opportunities if they stay healthy and effective in either Rochester or the bullpen.
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