Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

nytwinsfan

Provisional Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,784

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Drop Santiago, send Duffey to the bullpen and give May an extended shot (assuming he's healthy). Starting rotation: 1. Santana 2. Gibson 3. May 4. Berrios 5. Mejia/Hughes(if Healthy)/ 1 year contract (with no guarantee of being in the rotation). Gonsalves should be ready by mid to late in the season and Duffey can always be stretched out in an emergency earlier.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Not clear to me how Romero could be behind Jorge. Romero is better on every metric except maybe innings pitched and BBs, the latter of which which they are basically tied on. Id' probably put Romero second ahead of Berrios, although that is pretty debateable. So I don't get it at all. Cody and Eric I'm looking at you.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Wow Fernando Romero refusing to cede the minor league pitcher of the year award to Stephen Gonsalves. What a run by those two these last few months.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Wrong, he was sent down because they have two 3B, and one of them needed to play DH.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Gotta showcase Plouffe so we can get at least a bag of balls for him. I really hope they were very clear with Vargas that it had nothing to do with his performance, and that it was all about the short-term roster and building value for trades.
  6. nytwinsfan
    He's on the DL with a sore wrist.
  7. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, the larger point to me is not that pushing off the rubber harder does not create extra velocity (although I'm sure you are correct about that and Blyleven wrong), it is that VELOCITY is not remotely Berrios' problem, so why try to fix the part of his game that's not broken? I agree with Thrylos, seems like Berrios is (understandably given the instruction he is being given) overthinking things and needs to relax and just pitch.
  8. nytwinsfan
    Not so great. Since heading to AAA he's hitting .226/.294/.419 with 12 Ks and 2 BBs in 34 PAs. The Ks in particular are troubling. Someone with his hand-eye coordination should not be missing the ball that much. I know it is a SSS, but something is really wrong with his swing.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Fangraphs says 1.7 and Baseball Reference says 2.8. Of course, that is in half a season of playing time (303 PAs). I agree that his power has a decent chance of going down, although I don't think we should assume it will fall off a cliff. The point about his low BABIP is that an increase in his BABIP of .03 to .05 (which is totally within reason) could compensate somewhat for that and still easily make him a 2 WAR (or more) player. Kepler isn't weak anywhere (he has good baserunning, the potential to be good D, to have a good OBP, and a chance to hit for power). Those types of players tend to have a high floor in terms of WAR/value.
  10. nytwinsfan
    What makes you think the Twins' "braintrust" would be any better at selecting the best player available at a needed position than they are at selecting the best player available overall? I can think of one possible response, but I don't know if I buy it.
  11. nytwinsfan
    While it is worth noting that the (only?) weakness in Gonsalves' game right now appears to be the BB rate, in his last 4 starts he has a BB/9 of 2.67 and no more than 2 BB in any of those games. So that is a SSS, but it appears he might be improving. Also, comparing to Berrios, it is worth noting that Berrios' HR rates were routinely .4 to .7 HR per 9 innings in the minors with a .5HR/9 overall in his minors career. Gonsalves is at .2 HR/9 for his minors career. Berrios has a slightly better BB rate at 2.6 BB/9 in his minors career, with Gonsalves at 3.4. They have almost identical K rates (Berrios 9.5K/9, Gonsalves 9.6K/9).
  12. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree. While I agree that Gonsalves is the higher prospect at this point, Jay's upside is probably equal or almost equal to Gonsalves. Let's see how he recovers from the injury, but his stats in A+ after starting for the first time ever were quite good. His two starts at AA were not great, but (1) he may have been feeling the neck issues, and (2) as Nick himself said, the jump from A+ to AA is the hardest one for pitchers. The only concern I have for Jay is really the injury. If he recovers well from that, with his raw stuff he should easily still be considered a top 100 prospect.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Seth, why did they move Blankenhorn from 3B to 2B? Doesn't have the arm for it? Because looking down the road a couple years, the Twins are more likely to have an opening at 3B than 2B. Whether Dozier, Polanco or Gordon (if Vielma at SS), 2B seems pretty covered.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Ok, Nunez was in a slump (or, perhaps more accurately, regressing to the mean) right before the trade deadline too, but that didn't stop us from getting a good return for him. So my points stands, try to trade Grossman to someone who overvalues his offense and undervalues his defense. Maybe no GM will do that, but it happens all the time, so it is certainly worth a shot. The underlying point is that with our weak pitching for the foreseeable future we can't afford a LF with Grossman's defense, especially when we have other OF options coming.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Actually, yes: http://www.finchwaygroup.com/defensive-statistics-in-baseball-overlooked-and-undervalued/
  16. nytwinsfan
    No, we got him as a free agent rather than by trade because he never had an OPS above .702 in the majors before. Lots of GMs fail to fully consider defensive value.
  17. nytwinsfan
    The Twins should not tender Santiago a contract next year. He is not worth it at the likely price. That money can be better spent on a reliever with some upside or possibly a catcher. 2017 Starters: 1.Santana 2.Gibson 3.Berrios 4.May (assuming injuries have subsided and he seems healthy). 5.Duffey/Mejia (depending on how each does the rest of the year and in spring training). Gonsalves and/or (less likely) Jay may be ready by mid-season, but they shouldn't count on it. Stewart and Jorge likely won't be ready until 2018 at the earliest. Hughes might be back from surgery and healthy, but again, they should not count on it. If they want to bring in another cheap veteran on a very light contract (someone with some upside, but questions/recent injuries) then I'd be ok with that, but only on a 1-year deal, and only without any promise that a rotation spot is guaranteed.
  18. nytwinsfan
    NO
  19. nytwinsfan
    Fair enough, but hard to evaluate Berrios much when he leaves in the third inning because of multiple doubles that are hit outside of Grossman's pathetic range.
  20. nytwinsfan
    Berrios is an extreme flyball pitcher. He can't have a Grossman in the outfield. Not as big a deal for Gibson.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Today's game is exhibit A of why Grossman should not be the Twins' long-term left fielder. Trade him to someone who values his offense and fails to fully account for his terrible range.
  22. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, his defense is terrible. I agree we should try to trade him to someone who undervalues defense and will fixate on his (very real) offensive value.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Umm, nope. The reasons pointed out here apply to next season. Trading him would have had no affect on our ability to resign him next year.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Let's platoon Garver and Centeno next year. Then look at the market the year after.
  25. nytwinsfan
    I realize that Major League pitching is significantly better than AAA pitching, but the difference between how he fairs against MLB and AAA pitching is just astonishing to me. Most hitters' OPSs seem to drop a hundred or two hundred points in the transition from MLB to AA, but his seems to drop 400. What gives? Is it all because he can't recognize sliders well? Wouldn't that have also cost him in the minors? The sliders at the MLB level are much better, but not THAT much better.
×
×
  • Create New...