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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    I absolutely LOVE this pick.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Have to imagine he'll be in FM soon. He's just destroying low A.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Well that was a depressing read.
  4. nytwinsfan
    I don't, but that would be interesting to know.
  5. nytwinsfan
    I think you are making some sweeping generalizations from a few data points. Yes, Rosario and Santana don't walk and K a lot, but they did that in the middle and high minors too. Hicks was too patient/arguably walked too much. Kepler's walk/K rates look amazing. I support Buxton staying down for a couple more weeks, and I'm not saying I think the Twins have the best development staff by any means, but I don't think you can draw those kind of sweeping conclusions about what the Twins' development problems are from the failure of one or two B prospects to have sustainable success in the majors in their low 20s. Its called being 20 and having mental lapses. Just going to leave this here: Andrelton Simmons Age 21, A+ - 28 errors. Is 14 errors in two months good? Of course not. But given the scouting reports (and vidoes I've seen) of his defensive capabilities, I don't think it is anything to worry too much about. It is also worth noting that Gordon put on some muscle this offseason. That could very well have forced him to adjust some of his fielding mechanics, which could take time to get used to and throw things off.
  6. nytwinsfan
    hughes will be fine

    From the album: Noah's Media

  7. nytwinsfan
    I'm not ready to go there yet, and feel bad for Molitor. I don't think you can place much of the blame on him for this, at least not given how young the season is. That being said, I do sort of agree that they need someone to lighten up the mood, and Paul Molitor isn't that person.
  8. nytwinsfan
    I feel like the pessimism is really getting infectious down there. This team is bad, but I refuse to believe (and I genuinely don't believe) it is this bad skill wise. I'm not blaming anyone in particular, but I really get the sense that the mood/atmosphere is dragging everyone down. Really upsetting and really concerning. When Sano comes to the plate, I don't see that twinkle in his eye anymore or the joy of taking on the pitcher. Just frustration and going through the motions. I realize posts like this aren't helping any either, but I think the Twins need to acknowledge that the atmosphere is borderline toxic right now. Something drastic needs to change, but I don't know what.
  9. nytwinsfan
    So you agree, draft position probably has something to do with it, even if it can't explain all or even most of it. It also could be that they made bad draft picks even when they had decent draft position. I just don't think you can easily separate out the other variables, at least with the data you've provided.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Not saying I think the Twins Player Development is excellent my any means, but ummmmm, kind of hard to separate out the variable of player acquisition from the above stats, no? I mean, during much of that period (until very recently) the Twins had very few high draft picks.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Kepler's BABIP is still pretty low for him. Expect his avg., obp. and slg. to all go up a bit more even if his power doesn't increase at all from where it is now. His babip was .284 before yesterday when he went 3 for 5. It is probably up around almost .300 now, but that is still low for him.
  12. nytwinsfan
    You are wrong.
  13. nytwinsfan
    I think Tobi0040 meant to "back to Rochester." I think they are just being extra cautious. It isn't worth risking a longer-term injury to get him back a day or two early.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Ok, that's totally fair. It is definitely not objective or easily quantifiable. The appropraite way to use the term is to contrast drafting the player you think is the BPA with drafting a player you don't think is the BPA but you draft anyway because they play at a position of need for your organization.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Not sure I follow your logic. There is always going to be upside poitential and downside risk for every player, whether the best player available, the second best player available, the third best, and so on. Obviously if you think there is a lot of upside, then that weighs heavily towards them being considered by you to be the BPA. Another way of saying this is that implicit in the concept of BPA is both (1) that the BPA at the time you daft is the player you think is the best, even though in hindsight (e.g. Trout) you may have been wrong, and (2) it includes a weighed value based on the expected distribution of outcomes. In other words, you would never say, player A is who I think is the BPA, but player B has a lot of upside, so I'm going to go with him even though he is not. That just means you think player B is the BPA. The time you wouldn't take the BPA is if you are drafting for position.
  16. nytwinsfan
    Thanks. Unfortunately, that is one I can't read. Did Keith say what his source is on the Twins' interest in Manning? I'd be happy with Manning btw.
  17. nytwinsfan
    While I greatly appreciate your analysis and work in putting this together Jeremy (really), I sometimes wonder how many of these mock drafts are just pure speculation. Very little of it is based on any discussion with scouts or front office types. I realize that is the nature of the beast, but I wouldn't put much if any stock in this, at least until we start hearing rumors about who the Twins are actually interested in. I personanlly would like to see the Twins pick a high-upside prep arm or Josh Lowe. But that's just my amateur armchair opinion.
  18. nytwinsfan
    Seriously? And if only Tori Hunter had been in the dugout, he would have told Hughes the same thing your boss told you, right? Get a grip Tom Hanson.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Not sure this will "fix" the Twins in the short-run, but I think I agree these moves will help maximize the Twins chances for 2017. The only caveat is that I would trade Plouffe instead of Arcia, and keep the latter around for now, with the possibility of trading him next offseason.
  20. nytwinsfan
    Fair enough. Important context.
  21. nytwinsfan
    I'm gonna go ahead and assume you are just kidding/trolling.
  22. nytwinsfan
    Anyone know what Jay's velocity is at, especially late into games? I know there was a comment earlier in April about him pitching in low-90s late into a game. Other than one bad start out of six starts, he's been fantastic for a first-time starter this year. So far he is .232/.294/.304 (.598) with 30 K and 10 BB in 32.2 IP.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Totally agree. Just saying there are other quality catcher options for 2nd and comp round besides Cooper.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Even if not "guaranteed," this guys sure thinks Rortvedt has a good chance to stick, and he's much higher than Johnson. He wouldn't be one to use the pick at 15 on, but he might be at 52. https://baseballdraftreport.com/tag/ben-rortvedt/
  25. nytwinsfan
    The best catcher available (Collins) doesn't have much chance at staying at catcher, as Jeremy rightly implied and Okey would be a reach at 15. There is a catcher expected to go around the time of our second pick, at 54, who although a prep, has high upside. His name is Ben Rortvedt. It would probably take going overslot, but I'd hope the Twins would do it if he's available and go underslot at the 73 or 74 spot.
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