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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    The Dodgers do. No way they do that. I'd be thrilled with two of those three (assuming one is De Leon) for just Dozier.
  2. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, but he's more than a bit more expensive than Rosario. If he's a secondary part of the deal, then fine, would take him, but he can't be one of the primary pieces, otherwise we're not getting what we need/deserve for Dozier.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Yah, no thanks on Puig unless he is a secondary part of the trade AND the Dodgers foot part of the bill.
  4. nytwinsfan
    Why not platoon Castro and Murphy until Garver is ready (he's barely played at AAA) and then platoon Castro and Garver? You need two solid catchers on the big league roster anyway, and they need by far more frequent days off than any position other than pitcher. What better position to platoon? If there were good FA pitchers to spend the money on, that might be a different story, but there really aren't. Just more Nolasco types. So let's spend the money on a good FA catcher who can help our pitchers out with strikes and hit well against RHP (which is, after all, most of them).
  5. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, you might be right. But two things that could counteract that are (1) $$$, and (2) a new front office that convinces him that over the next couple years this will be a team on the rise, and he can be a critical part of that. I trust the new guys to make that pitch a lot better than Ryan could, but I agree there is a decent chance he just says no thanks, even for a premium.
  6. nytwinsfan
    All stats from Baseball Reference: Chris Herrmann, career: .212/.284/.343 (.623) CH, v RHP: .215/.281/.355 (.636) CH, v LHP: .196/.275/.293 (.568) Jason Castro, career: .233/.309/.390 (.699) JC, v RHP: .247/.328/.424 (.753) JC, v LHP: .190/.249/.287 (.536) Chris Herrmann, D WAR: 0.1 in 555 PA (.00018 D WAR per PA) Jason Castro, D WAR: 4.4 in 2,266 PA (.00194 D WAR per PA) So you know, sorry, but you appear to be misinformed. Now Herrmann did have an amazing year last year, in only 166 PAs, but to say the two are comparable on either offense or defense is severely misinformed. And heck, I'd be willing to give Herrmann another shot if we could some how sign him as a free agent, which we can't. But Castro has an undeniably better track record, and platooning against mostly RHP, he can be a real asset.
  7. nytwinsfan
    I'm find with spending $8-10 million per year for 2-3 years of Castro. But let's please get rid of Plouffe and probably Santiago too. Neither is going to provide as much value to this team as Castro will.
  8. nytwinsfan
    Thrylos, agree with you that Garver is underrated (perhaps by a lot), but he's 2 years older than Alfaro, and I think Alfaro's defense is supposed to be better.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Castro is the way to go. Then you can platoon him with Garver or Turner or whoever. Castro's hitting against RHP is perfectly adequate.
  10. nytwinsfan
    OK . . . so when does Falvey show up at Target Field? Let's get this show on the road!!!
  11. nytwinsfan
    He's 20. Of course he's going to make a lot of errors at the most difficult defensive position. By all accounts he's got the makeup to clean up the errors as he matures and gets thousands of more reps. What matters now is what scouts see in terms of tools. The quickness, the hands, the range and the arm. Admittedly, some watchers still think there is a decent chance he doesn't have the tools while others think he clearly does, but I really don't think the number of errors is that instructive either way.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Don't forget giving Trevor May a chance to start again (health permitting). He has a chance to be at least a league-average starter for the Twins. Moving him to the rotation a and Duffey to the pen has the chance to improve the Twins rotation a significant amount. Assuming the Twins don't go out and get another bigger name starter through one of the means you mentioned above, I'd start the season with: 1. Santana 2. Gibson 3. May 4. Berrios 5. Hughes/Mejia/Brett Anderson
  13. nytwinsfan
    How come Chargois is no longer a prospect? I'm pretty sure he's only pitched 23 major league innings, which is under your 50 inning limit.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Top 10 that are left by my count: Wander Javier Fernando Romero Alex Kirilloff Stephen Gonsalves Tyler Jay Nick Gordon Kohl Stewart Travis Blankenhorn J.T. Chargois (still barely a prospect) Adalbert Meija
  15. nytwinsfan
    Awesome and informative article (as always), and thanks for the shoutout. That was very nice of you. If there was one thing I took away from that video as well as other info about him, Falvey seems to be open to finding, using, and "merging" (his term) information from lots of different sources and he doesn't seem to follow any strict rules, limitations, or assumptions about what are and are not useful information and sources of information. For him, scouting and analytics are not potential competitors, but rather compliments. I think that is a very healthy attitude given the constant flux and growth of data and information sources in the modern era. I can't wait to get the Falvey era started!
  16. nytwinsfan
    This is Falvey speaking and taking questions at a SABR convention 3 years ago. He sure is a good "communicator" as many reports have stated. Some interesting topics: 1) On balancing/merging defensive analytics and scouting, at around 27:00. 2) On scouting and developing power, at around 34:05. 3) On keeping players eating correctly and nutritiously, at around 39:05. 4) On trading good players (both prospects and established players), at around 51:45. 5) About the importance of makeup, at around 101:50.
  17. nytwinsfan
    Ok, fair enough. Funny how the Twins are so good at preventing leaks about some things, but not others. I guess maybe because this is the biggest announcement in a while, at least since Molitor.
  18. nytwinsfan
    wut?
  19. nytwinsfan
    Same.
  20. nytwinsfan
    https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/780429674497339393
  21. nytwinsfan
    In light of rumors that it will be the Indians' Assistant AG, Derek Falvey, I thought I'd post this interesting article on sports analytics, which quotes Falvey at some length, showing his clear acceptance and focus on analytics as a key part of the GM role: http://www.news-herald.com/article/HR/20160223/NEWS/160229814
  22. nytwinsfan
    Catcher and/or reliever. May is moving to the starting rotation from the bullpen and can take Santiago's place. As for the last spot, Mejia, Hughes (if healthy) or Duffey if needed. Or spend $3 million on Bret Anderson and save the other $5 to combine with Suzuki's to sign a decent reliever or two. EDIT: or as Thrylos says Cubans.
  23. nytwinsfan
    True, but also THE pitcher in baseball who has most underperformed his peripherals over the last few years. Santiago has generally outperformed his, but this year even his ERA is pretty bad. If Santiago were just $3-5 million I'd say sure, keep him around, but from what I understand it is more likely to be $8-10 million.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Ok, fair enough. Low K probably isn't a fair term to use for him. But the overall point about peripherals stands: Brett Anderson Career K/BB: 2.76 Phil Hughes Career K/BB: 3.34 Hector Santiago Career K/BB: 2.00
  25. nytwinsfan
    I agree you shouldn't count on getting a FA better or equal to him, but you could take a really cheap flyer on someone, without relying on them. My solution was to hedge bets between Mejia/Hughes and someone like Brett Anderson if he's even remotely healthy, who could be taken on a pretty cheap contract. The idea is not to count on Anderson, but to count on one of the three of Anderson (if healthy), Hughes (if healthy) and Mejia (if ready). I'd honestly take my chances with the combination of those three as the fifth starter over Santiago. Yes his ERA hasn't been terrible, but his peripherals have been, and with a defense as bad as the Twins, we cannot count on a low K, high BB pitcher like him to continue to be merely slightly below average.
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