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DocBauer

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Everything posted by DocBauer

  1. DocBauer
    I hear ya Mike. But let's not forget prospects, even in a top system, arrive in waves. It's a natural ebb and flow. Despite having time under their belts right now, this team is built on a collection of prospects where Rosario is an "old guy". (Yes, there have been additions made to the roster externally, I get that). The best talent, and greatest depth in the system was in the lower levels as recent as last season. That talent is now at AA and A+. Injuries, which always happen, unfortunately, have curtailed a few guys. Even in SSS we have received contributions from Poppen, Arreaz, Smeltzer and even Stewart thus far. Raley may have been up before his injury. But even with Rooker doing what he does...adjust and then mash...its not hard to see that Pensacola on down is where the talent lies. I would not be a bit surprised to see Thorpe contribute in the second half. I bet we see Smeltzer and Poppen yet again. Gordon may even do something the second half. My biggest disappointments thus far has been the injury to waste half a season for Gonsalves, and Romero suddenly having no trust/control of his ability. But just because a number of our TOP prospects havent jumped up to do anything so far at the ML level in 2019 is a bit short sighted, IMO.
  2. DocBauer
    Still hoping for Wade. And I think he will still get a shot. But for those who blast Cave vs Wade, I get it. But let's not forget what Cave did last year, or that he was taking when promoted. His performance has been just awful until today. Pressing? But let's not pretend he is some bad ballplayer.
  3. DocBauer
    Agreed he should be a top target. I also like his experience in the AL. Also very much in if his trade package is approximately the value given for Pressly. Watson was also mentioned and I like that idea a lot Can someone refresh my memory on Giles and his attitude or incident? I've heard it referenced but cant recall.
  4. DocBauer
    Ignoring analytics and stating simple truth, I dont believe he is the guy we saw in April and May. But I think he may be better than the guy we've seen so far in June. I'd be OK with that and I think we all should be. I havent watched many of his recent outings, but what I have seen and read, it appears he's had a couple bad plays behind him and the proverbial one bad inning. In other words, grooving a pitch for a 3 run shot, but pitch solid the other 4-5 innings he's out there. Is that just who he really is? Or can a few corrections snap him out of this recent slump and help him find just a little more consistency? To me, that is the question. I don't expect a top of the rotation performance.
  5. DocBauer
    Only got to see a little of the game, but very surprised, pleasantly so, by Stewart out of the pen. I am NOT bashing this team in the midst of a tremendous season. But I feel they be a bit overconfident lately. Errors will be made. Hitters and pitchers will all have some rough patches here and there. It's baseball. Unfortunately, there has been a bit of a slump the last week, overall. Nothing to be concerned about. And I love the confidence of this club. But I would like to see them, collectively, take a look in the mirror and get a little angry at some blown opportunities and take it out on the Royals the next few games. BTW, if you haven't checked it out yet, there is a really nice article in the Blogosphere by Adam Kruger entitled THE NECESSARY STRUGGLE that is a very good read. Go Twins!
  6. DocBauer
    Perhaps I'm short sighted, optimistic, or crazy, but when I look at the rotation I see a top 3 that is probably as good as anyone's, unless what we are seeing from Odorizzi is NOT maturation and the Johnson touch but rather, some short term deal with the devil. Can't believe I'm actually saying this, but I think Perez is just going through a rough patch. The velocity and SO are still there. He seems to be a victim lately of a poor play or one bad pitch. I'm OK with Pineda and feel he's getting better and stronger. Don't get me wrong, a major rotation piece would be great! But unless it is MAJOR acquisition, I'm just all in on a couple of RP. To that end, I'd make a list of untouchables that would include Kiriloff, Lewis, Graterol and Balazovic. I'd like to include Thorpe there, but won't get greasy. I'd make everyone else available. I really think the depth of talent is there throughout the system for a pair of quality arms to be obtained. Again, you present me with a real, true top of the rotation piece we have a different conversation taking place.
  7. DocBauer
    So which side of the bed do you normally climb out of Ash?
  8. DocBauer
    Great post! Unless we are talking about an honest to goodness top of the rotation #1SP, I believe there is a list of about 5-6 names you put on an untouchable list. After that, you still have a good 20+ names that are viable, quality prospects most any team would love to have. Plenty of opportunity to deepen and improve the bullpen.
  9. DocBauer
    Exactly! Were there a top of the line, #1 SP available you ALWAYS have to listen. You always want to put the best, most complete team together that you can. But when looking at improvements, it's a question of where and how much. If we step out of Twins fan cleats for a second and step back, we would see we have one of the best rotations in MLB and a very good top 3. How much does another SP really augment what we already have? Example: If we could have Goldschmidt tomorrow instead of Cron, how much does that truly move the needle for our chances to win? It would be a very small improvement at best. However, give this team, as is, a couple of the bullpen arms that are being openly discussed here on TD, and the needle moves, the team improves, and so do their chances. To be clear, strengthening a strength is not a bad thing. But strengthening a weakness is a whole lot better way to improve.
  10. DocBauer
    To have Cave, Austudillo and Arraez just sitting there at Rochester providing depth is crazy!
  11. DocBauer
    Early in the season Gibson struggled some, understandably as he was re-gainng strength and getting his arm in full shape, and only lasting 4-5 IP. But in those starts, you could STILL see the Gibson we expected. I don't have numbers in front of me, but the last month or so he has looked and performed as expected. (Yes, a clunker or 2, but everyone has those including Berrios). This is the 2nd or 3rd time we've seen Gibby just be dominant for a game. Even when he was "struggling" I mentioned on more than one occasion he would be fine and he and Berrios were still our top two rotation arms. (Which is also why I've argued repeatedly for an extension as well). Now, I never suspected Odorizzi would morph/develop in to an ACE. And make no mistake, at this moment in time, Odorizzi IS an ACE even if he isn't a consistent 7IP starter. I have understood calls to acquire another SP "better than" Berrios or Gibson. To be fair, it's not as if there is a market place somewhere stocked with such an item. Those two guys are pretty darn good! And with Odorizzi throwing the way he is, I'd say our front 3 stack up with just about anyone in baseball.
  12. DocBauer
    The depth of talent in the system and potential 40 man roster crunch allows the Twins to make a couple smart additions and do nothing to "damage" the milb system or it's overall depth. And as Tom states, moving a few guys actually brings value back and allows a few guys to be protected that might have to be left vulnerable otherwise. The timing and reasons for trades and signings have been for different reasons, but have been aggressive. Much more aggressive than we have seen in a long time. As Thrylos states, and I believe accurately, the most aggressive since the McPhail tenure. In fact, even milb promotions have been much more aggressive than previously. I think that is an arguement that can be put to bed.
  13. DocBauer
    Just my opinion, the FO will wait for a few weeks to see what they have. In other words, seeing if May settles down and finds his breaking ball again, see it Littell's transition and new velocity can help, etc. But cracks in the pen are there and obvious, so they won't wait until until the last minute either. The FO seems to usually make moves with the future in mind and would undoubtedly want to add at least 1 arm with an extended stay in mind. They have also been willing to take on $ in many deals. But when you consider some of the signings last season, and Schoop this year, they don't seem opposed to a short term acquisition either. While I don't know names, I'm guessing a rental and someone else with at least another year under control.
  14. DocBauer
    Stay Hot, Ehire Adrianza Remember when Adrianza was hitting below the Mendoza line and all of Twins territory couldn’t wait for him to be shown the door? Well, since May 13 he’s hitting .439/.510/.634. I really like this and feel everyone glossed over it. On a 25 man roster not everyone is created the same. If they were, we'd be arguing why Adrianza isn't starting daily over Polanco. Even on the best and deepest of teams, there are role players. In his role, Adrianza was pretty good the last two years. I still remember the surprise most of us had that we got a steal. He had a nice ST this year, then got off to a slow start, and a lot of people wanted to just dump him for whoever on the roster. And while regression s certain, this is a really nice ballplayer to have on your roster. Just wanted a little shout out to him.
  15. DocBauer
    I believe Larnach to be the real deal and a potential fast riser through any system. But to me, Kirilloff is just "special". I know this season hasn t gone as planned due to some minor injuries that have bogged him down, but I would only trade him for a true top of the rotation starter. The hope is Buxton and Rosario will both be signed to long term deals like Kepler. We still have Cron beyond this season, at least. And there some really nice 1B options available. But between 1B/OF/DH, there is more than enough room for Kirilloff to fit in for the near future. Again, I just think he's special, a natural.
  16. DocBauer
    A change of any sort would be amazing! But I'm not sure if that is the problem. At least, not the problem of they truly feel his future is indeed in the pen. Don't get me wrong it would only make him that much more devastating, potentially. Right now, he just looks lost to me. I got to watch hi, today during lunch break, and frankly, it made me bewildered and sad. His pure stuff is so damn good but he looked unsure and scared and was definitely pressing. From a distance, not knowing much of anything, it feels like he doesn't trust himself, or his stuff. It feels like he really wants to do well, but is afraid to just let it fly and let his natural power and movement play. I wonder if he is trying too hard to be too fine and dominating. I wonder if he is overthrowing. I'm really wondering if he shouldn't go right back to Rochester, have a big heart to heart with anyone and everyone, and just continue to learn his role as a reliever and just stay at Rochester for most or all the season until his mechanics and mental aptitude just settle in.
  17. DocBauer
    Agreed. But let's not forget young arms are not only built up for heavier workloads over time...again he is pretty young and missed 2 full seasons...but milb starters are sometimes pulled to mandatory pitch counts as well as wanting relief prospects to get in their work. Thorpe only pitched 4 or 5 games at AAA last year, so this is his first season at that level. What you hope for is learning HOW to pitch in order to economize and get outs on fewer pitches. I think hes got a real chance. And I would hate to remove him from a SP role, but I could see him as a RP for the Twins the second half.
  18. DocBauer
    I dont think Thorpe gets near enough credit or praise. By age, hes actually a little young for AAA and is only in his second full season of action after missing two full seasons. And despite some ups and downs, he is largely performing well. Just imagine how good he could be by the end of the season and going in to next season. IMO, he will be a solid, quality #4 SP with real potential to be a #3.
  19. DocBauer
    I like it! What's so impressive is the number of quality arms so high in your rankings, and deservedly so. To a direct point, I remain very high on Thorpe and feel it's only time and experience.
  20. DocBauer
    Already been pointed out our ranking of IP by the rotation. But I'd just like to address Perez directly. I am still in mild shock for what he has done thus far. As a result, I am now of the mind that he is going through a mini slump. It happens. Last night he still struck out 7. Tells me the stuff is still there. A 3 run bomb to one of the better hitters in the league is unfortunate, but is not unexpected. It happens. IMO, I never felt Perez was one of our top 3 SP, even with his great start to the season. I remain of the opinion, despite a weird start to his year, that Perez was behind Gibson. I think that will turn out to be true when all is said and done. In other words, barring injury or collapse by Perez, I think the rotation is solid as is.
  21. DocBauer
    Smart post.
  22. DocBauer
    Nice post. I've seen a lot of 3B in my day, some with big bats, that are not as good defensively as Sano. Good hands, great at charging balls, VASTLY improved on pop ups, and that cannon for an arm. I think he's just fine at 3B for the next few years for sure. And to bring that offense makes him a very valuable player. It's all about recognition and just slight improvement to raise his production to another level. Not talking hitting .300, just better overall contact leads to better overall numbers and production. I think we are on the same page here.
  23. DocBauer
    And you make a valid point about a contact reading a lead runner, perhaps even setting up a double play. I agree with your point. But a little better selectivity, a little better contact, say a drop from 40% to 35% in SO percentage, and you end up greater opportunity for SOMETHING better than a neural out. Maybe something as simple as a sac fly, is the point I'm making.
  24. DocBauer
    I get the gist of the OP, and don't disagree Sano is a force, a producer, and that he is at least a bit unfairly criticized due to his production with focus only on SO numbers. But I also know that we love for our pitchers to have high SO rates. So SO are good for pitchers and not bad for hitters? There just is no logic behind that. SO are good for pitchers and bad for hitters because they are empty outs, producing nothing, including any chance to move a runner or create an error or anything of the sort. And I'm saying this as a fan of Sano. The question becomes at what level the number of SO is acceptable in regards to production. And I think Brock's post about improvement from Rosario, just 4%, lead to a significant difference in the production and the player Rosario is. Sano will not change, should not change, and it would probably be impossible for him to change. But he can IMPROVE. Good player or great player. Could be as simple as a 4% change in his strikeout/contact rate.
  25. DocBauer
    A good day for the system and more and more guys are progressing and developing. Is it crazy that the highlight for me is a couple good IP from Moya and Romero at Rochester?
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