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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Of course, not, but that doesn't matter when setting realistic expectations. I'm not even sure what your point is here.
  2. Mike Sixel
    Part of me is like "this isn't enough for Burnes." The other part is "that's a lot for 1 year of Burnes." Must be a fair deal. I think the Twins could offer more, and not offer Lee, but I'm not sure.....and really, if it is Lee and Raya/Festa, I think it's too much for 1 year. That's the key here, IMO, to the price....the 1 year. However, in context of where the O's are, and their major and minor league talent, it is a great deal for them. Wouldn't make it a great deal for other teams, as that context matters..... I don't totally get this and signing Hoskins, but I'm not GM....
  3. Mike Sixel
    I have doubts about HS pitchers, everyone should. I'm a bit surprised they picked him here, and not later given that. But, he's got the stuff and size to be very good if he works out. I mean, if this was an IFA, he'd have been the highest paid guy for sure......so maybe it makes more sense in that context. Either way, he's an exciting pick.
  4. Mike Sixel
    I left Twitter last year, so I'm looking at quotes others post. .... And I'm pretty sure the guy posting loves JJ and not the others, so there may be bias in what he finds...
  5. Mike Sixel
    Interesting. I was going off tweets and comments on a fan site....
  6. Mike Sixel
    Apparently Penix and Nix were not impressive in practice at the senior bowl....
  7. Mike Sixel
    If we are to believe reports, they tried to trade up last year.....that said, I wouldn't trade out of the top 3 and give up one of those QBs....so I don't think they can get to the top 3
  8. Mike Sixel
    Fangraphs has an article about where projection systems most disagree, and agree......Here are the Twins: (that's ERA and standard deviation) Brock Stewart 3.19 3.45 5.13 3.9 1.05 Dan surmises the outlier here doesn't trust Stewart's K change (but, he was a starter and now he's not....) (that's wRC+ and Std) Carlos Correa 115.9 118.2 116.2 117.3 1.0 Edouard Julien 114.6 114.1 114.9 112.5 1.1 ERA again Joe Ryan 4.01 4.06 3.99 4.0 0.03 Pablo López 3.68 3.52 3.63 3.6 0.08 I like those numbers where they agree! Also like the projection for Stewart for the two that agree. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/projection-fight-club-2024/
  9. Mike Sixel
    I'm only 75% sure I really trust QB4 (or, more precisely, picking which of those 3-4 guys turns out to be the one)....but that's kind of always the risk with QB I guess.
  10. Mike Sixel
    good point, plus if they re-sign Hunter or not matter here for me.....I mean, stating FA impacts who they draft seems a bit silly given that's a truism....
  11. Mike Sixel
    Less than 50% of 2nd round picks even make the majors....
  12. Mike Sixel
    Exciting!
  13. Mike Sixel
    Big fan of the potential here. Nice write-up
  14. Mike Sixel
    Zero chance. Zero.
  15. Mike Sixel
    Front office showed last year how much they love depth, among hitters. This year they want it for pitchers, and likely have it for hitters, though they need another OF....
  16. Mike Sixel
    Almost rounding errors there. I mean they aren't, but they aren't far off either.
  17. Mike Sixel
    Also, this ignores the annual cash flow as part of the return. It's much higher than the simple math shows.
  18. Mike Sixel
    I have a master's in finance and have worked with those people. Let's be real, they have so much money, risk is truly irrelevant to them. But they make neat market rate with no downside risk. That's the key. No downside risk at all. They would buy every bond ever if they got seven percent with no risk
  19. Mike Sixel
    Sure, not the point at all. No owner sells at a loss ever. There's no real risk.
  20. Mike Sixel
    I'm also surprised at all the DCs landing these jobs. And yes, Flores is being discriminated against, it appears
  21. Mike Sixel
    The next time someone says the owners are taking financial risk, remember this and roll your eyes.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Not one projection system likes him even close to that much.....Cruz was pretty amazing here.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Well, even if they are iffy on the prospects, fangraphs sure likes this trade for MN https://blogs.fangraphs.com/twins-and-mariners-link-up-for-intriguing-swap/
  24. Mike Sixel
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/twins-and-mariners-link-up-for-intriguing-swap/
  25. Mike Sixel
    I didn't say "untouchable"....I said it was unreal to fire a FO after their best year in decades....a FO which has had them in the playoffs more years than not....
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