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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    No, Ober does not need to go 7 innings. That's not what starting pitchers do anymore. Pineda is barely averaging more than 5 innings per start. If Ober can consistently go 5 innings and keep the team in the game he's a 4th starter. I'm skeptical that we see the Twins bring up many of the real pitching prospects. Strotman, Balazovic and Duran are on the 40 man roster so we could see them but they will not want to add players early. They already need to evaluate Jax, Barnes, Thorpe, Gant, Burrows, Alcala and Garcia to see if they are worth keeping for 2022. Remember that you don't get to add the whole 40 man in September anymore.
  2. DJL44
    Lewis Thorpe should be done with his rehab stint soon. He's going to have to make a good impression or he'll be cut this offseason because he's out of options.
  3. DJL44
    Looks like just Birdsell went unsigned Twins sign twenty of twenty-one draft picks - Twinkie Town
  4. DJL44
    Kyle Garlick's setback means you will see Larnach continue to get plate appearances.
  5. DJL44
    Palacios is having a good year at AA but hasn't forced his way to AAA the way Miranda did. I imagine the trade deadline will force some players up the ladder. The Twins will need to move an infielder from AAA to replace Simmons and that should give Palacios a spot at AAA.
  6. DJL44
    Doing nothing more than saving the $4.87M owed to Cruz the rest of the season would be a grade "C" trade. No sense spending that money on losing and it can (and should) be re-allocated to the 2022 budget. The roster spot and playing time can be used evaluating the younger players. The Twins added two halfway decent pitching prospects on TOP of that. Pitching is the biggest area of need in the organization. This is a very good trade.
  7. DJL44
    Well, on Twitter he just announced he isn't signing, so probably unlikely to be the first one of the draft picks to make it to the majors for the Twins.
  8. DJL44
    34 year old Byron Buxton doesn't matter. He'll provide nearly $70M worth of value in the next 3 seasons (ages 28-30), just like he did 2019-2021. If the Twins can spread out those payments over an even longer time period they get a discount due to the time value of money. Every team would like to pay out a 3 year deal over the next 7 years. He's not an old player in decline - he's in his prime. He's not taking 7/$70M because someone is going to offer him 3/$70M after 2022. He might take 4/$70M as a base if the incentives are good because he's looking at less than $10M in arbitration next season.
  9. DJL44
    That's a very pessimistic take. Any GM inking him long term is also taking a significant risk that Buxton is the MVP one of those seasons. Over the last 3 seasons he's produced 8 WAR in 153 games. 2 WAR averages $16M on the free agent market, $10M was a lowball for his production over 40 games.
  10. DJL44
    It's a tiny risk unless you think Buxton is going to get hurt and never play again. Buxton puts up $10M worth of value in 40 games.
  11. DJL44
    He has to turn down 7/$70M. He can make that much in a 4 year deal on the open market.
  12. DJL44
    Can't say I'm worried about that at all. I also don't worry about lightning strikes or bear attacks in my neighborhood.
  13. DJL44
    I voted Cruz, Pineda, Simmons, Robles, Duffey, Rogers and Sano. I'm only sure about the first 4 names on the list; if they don't move Cruz, Pineda, Simmons and Robles they screwed up. I would have voted for Colome and Happ but I don't think any contenders will want them even if the Twins pay the salary. They're the kind of veteran pitchers you see eating innings on bad teams. I think Duffey and Rogers will be in demand and they'll be able to make a deal that is right for the organization with each of them. Moving Sano might be wishful thinking.
  14. DJL44
    Pretty much relievers and not very many of them - Brusdar Graterol, Lewis Thorpe and Edwar Colina are the most recent. They traded away Huascar Ynoa. Fernando Romero was a bust. Silva and Liriano both came in trades.
  15. DJL44
    My original comp for Larnach when he was drafted was Geoff Jenkins. I'm still pretty happy with that comp.
  16. DJL44
    5 years, $100M seems like a significant discount compared to what each of them would get as a free agent. If possible the team should sign both of them to a contract of that length and value.
  17. DJL44
    Yes and no. They need a spot for him at the next level, which means Palacios has to get promoted too. It's important to make sure he's successful. 750 OPS in 140 plate appearances doesn't scream "promote me". Canterino is the player at Cedar Rapids who is the most impressive.
  18. DJL44
    I'm pretty convinced that some of the success found by pitchers after leaving the Twins is cheating. Some organizations seem to have a "knack" for increasing spin rates.
  19. DJL44
    I think those three, Palacios and Miranda are looking at a mid-season promotion but I'm in no hurry to rush players up the ladder. There isn't a huge difference between Double-A and Triple-A.
  20. DJL44
    This means Marwin to 3B, which is a pretty good idea. That should improve the defense.
  21. DJL44
    There were a few catchers let go who could be the backup in 2019. Kevin Gausman could be interesting like Walker and Nelson
  22. DJL44
    There is a potential defensive alignment that could be a plus. Marwin is much better at 3B than he is at any other position, which is the key to improving in the infield. 3B Marwin Gonzalez SS Jorge Polanco (live with the avg defense for the plus bat until Royce is available) 2B Adrianza or Nick Gordon 1B Sano LF Arraez - if he's having this much trouble at 2B at age 22 it could get ugly quickly CF Buxton RF Kepler That would be a legitimate plus outfield and an average infield. Another defensive upgrade would come from replacing Castro as the backup catcher with a plus defender. Castro's glove slipped last season.
  23. DJL44
    I think this is the kiss of death for the players called up to Rochester to end that season. Good news: you are promoted to AAA. Bad news: you're probably getting cut this offseason.
  24. DJL44
    The most cost effective signings for team control are college players. 3 years older, less risky as far as flaming out completely and closer to contributing as a big leaguer. You don't have to burn option years on players in single-A when you draft them out of college. I like this strategy of getting college pitchers in bulk. If nothing else it should provide a steady supply of relief pitching.
  25. DJL44
    I feel like a Sano trade would be Lawton for Reed all over again
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