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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    80-82 is out of the playoffs. They don't hang 3rd place pennants at Target Field. But that's a false equivalence. Trading Joe Ryan is the difference between 74-88 and 69-93. He's not worth 20 wins on his own. Are you a huge fan of 74-88? That's a team that is irrelevant from May to September. It's not a terrible idea. Adding Giolito gives them something else to trade away in July. Buy low, sell high.
  2. DJL44
    Expansion could help. Increase the difference between the worst teams and the best teams. More blowouts where the best starting pitchers can get by with 80% of their stuff. End the DH and bring back pitchers hitting.
  3. DJL44
    Doubling down would be stupid. They tried to thread the needle with a "stars and scrubs" roster. They just lost one of their most important stars. This drops the already low playoff odds in half. Those players will be worth less at the trade deadline then they are worth today. They lost all the leverage when that MRI result came back. The plan was "if everything goes right, we can compete". That plan is already in the garbage can. The new plan has to be getting younger players ready to compete in 2027.
  4. DJL44
    This isn't a particularly young roster. The only rookie they're counting on is Luke Keaschall. I don't think Buxton's leadership is going to matter at all for Larnach, Bell, Clemens, etc.
  5. DJL44
    Trade Joe Ryan now
  6. DJL44
    Which is why the plan was doomed from the start. Run back the same roster plus a decent catcher, a bad first baseman and some mediocre middle relievers and somehow win 15 games more than they did last season. If Pablo is out for the season, you can knock 3 wins off the rosy 80-win projection for 2026. That cuts their playoff odds in half.
  7. DJL44
    They already did that
  8. DJL44
    You can't be paying double what other teams would pay just because you value players higher than other teams. You should only pay enough to win the bid. Nobody else was going to bid more than $4M for Josh Bell.
  9. DJL44
    Losing Pablo right now should trigger trades of Joe Ryan, Ryan Jeffers and Byron Buxton before the season begins.
  10. DJL44
    Moving early to get Bell for $7M looks like at least a $4M overpayment. Miguel Andujar signed for $4M, Nathaniel Lowe and Ty France just signed minor league deals and Rhys Hoskins is still waiting for an opportunity. Lowe makes just $1.75M if he makes the team.
  11. DJL44
    Stealing second base. Still unlikely that they can steal third even with a knuckleball pitcher. Walks and passed balls are a bigger issue.
  12. DJL44
    All the starting shortstop options also stink.
  13. DJL44
    When they acquired him, I wondered why they wanted another Kody Clemens on the roster. Then I looked at the shape of the roster and realized that, sadly, a second Kody Clemens was useful. I am guessing he starts the season in St. Paul and is the first infielder called up if there is an injury.
  14. DJL44
    All of these lefties get their nice ERA because they're generally only asked to get lefties out. You can't LOOGY your way to a successful bullpen by burning through 6 relievers a game chasing the platoon advantage. Someone needs to be able to get both lefthanded and righthanded batters out.
  15. DJL44
    Loperfido is not a starting OF. That was a salary dump by the Astros.
  16. DJL44
    This could happen. I doubt the Twins would get any money this year because the Astros are close to the luxury tax, but I could absolutely see the Astros trading $5M in 2028 for Larnach and Jackson. The other one I like is Twins trade Larnach ($4.5M) and Jackson ($1.4M) Astros trade McCullers ($17.7M) and $10M (what the Twins owe for Correa). The Astros save $2M while obtaining their LH OF and backup C. The Twins get a pitcher to convert into a closer.
  17. DJL44
    Freudian slip
  18. DJL44
    Emmanuel Rodriguez
  19. DJL44
    Do you know any pitcher who suffered a shoulder injury that kept them out for three seasons in a row and returned with the same stuff they had four years ago?
  20. DJL44
    It's a terrible idea. It turns your 5-man rotation into a 10-man rotation with 3 relief pitchers remaining for high leverage. It takes innings away from your best pitchers and gives them to your worst pitchers, then takes away the 1-inning let-it-fly advantage away from your worst pitchers. This negates all the advantage you get from your bullpen. I'd much rather see Joe Ryan pitch into the 7th than trying to squeeze a third inning out of Travis Adams or John Klein.
  21. DJL44
    I really hope not. This roster still has some easy upgrades left to make.
  22. DJL44
    The arbitration system stinks, but the previous system was to have young talent hold out for more money and not report to spring training until they got a raise. Who is the last baseball player to hold out?
  23. DJL44
    International bonus money can be dealt in increments of $250,000
  24. DJL44
    This should be a concern. He's a lefty groundball pitcher and his SS changed from Mookie Betts to Brooks Lee.
  25. DJL44
    I agree. International bonus money is usually a positive return on investment and shouldn't be traded away by small-market teams. However, what are the odds that the Twins can turn that international bonus money into a useful relief pitcher through signing and developing? Banda might be the Twins closer. If he gets a few saves, they might be trading him away at the deadline for something better than international bonus money.
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