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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. Jham
    Seriously? The available money is part of the problem, imo. It's a sign that we didn't have a plan and simply wanted flexibility. Apparently we didn't think this was our year. But if not, when? The guys you listed and I'd throw Hildy and Rogers in, are mostly arb eligible and up for raises or extensions. As you've said we'd have little money actually committed EXCEPT we will have to replace or extend Schoop, Gibby, Odo, Perez, and Cron. All of which are in line for significant bumps so far this year. Pineda is still a ?. Cruz comes back likely for $2mil less. This leaves mostly just Castro as salary relief (and maybe Hughes?) coming off the books. Our owners are famous for not negotiating contracts midseason. I don't think Castro and Hughes are enough to pay even for the arbitration raises we'll owe, let alone the raises needed to retain our pending FA or extend young stars. After having to replace or extend 4/5 of our starting rotation, how do you suggest we field even an equal team next season (let alone future seasons) given our inherent salary reqs?
  2. Jham
    Does anyone else see a total imbalance in roster management? Like this team is about to get really really expensive... or we're going to lose some really key pieces for nothing...
  3. Jham
    I've been a big fan of Polanco since he debuted suddenly ot of AA. He came up with no intimidation and swung hard. We were a pitch and swing to contact team at the time. He's already exceeded his perceived ceiling. PEDs aside, easy kid to cheer for.
  4. Jham
    Before trading, I'd want to know the plan on extending Gibby, Perez, and Pineda. Are we still building toward upcoming seasons? is this our last best chance? They will want prospects and usually salary relief. Sano, and Gordon. Perez and Gordon. Jake Reed is expendable. We drafted a lefty Canadian a couple years ago early rounds coming off injury. I'd also want to know about Ken Giles. Blue Jays are ahead in equity on that trade already.
  5. Jham
    Rumored?
  6. Jham
    Hates a strong word. GM is an easy job to criticize. Don't sign so and so and it's your fault no matter what other factors are in play. And as much as fans wish they were the boss, they ain't.
  7. Jham
    Seth Tweeted today that we were about to set a franchise record for team slugging pct. in a month. we had a 3pt edge. Then I thought, "what if we got no hit? would we still set the record?"
  8. Jham
    So I'm sure someone mentioned this, but remember when the pirates asked for Tyler Jay, nick Gordon, and zack granite for Cole and we said no?
  9. Jham
    On a huge at bat later, Garver went down 1-2 on a pitch 2 inches inside. runner on 2nd. All day the outside corner was called. He was dialed in, good cut at the curve, tracked the slider. Look at the numbers from 1-2 to 2-1, and sleep easy.
  10. Jham
    I saw us take an early lead and play even maybe the best team in the game until bull pens came into play. the difference in quality of relief was obvious.
  11. Jham
    But 1 of the reasons Parker's not enough is because we traded Presley... If I trade in half of my 401k (presley) to fund a real estate investment (Alcala and Celestino) that's too good to pass up. Then I get laid off. You could say I didn't prepare well enough, and you'd be right. You could also say that I made the choice of investing in uncertain future returns knowing I might need the assets sooner rather than later and you'd also be right. But 1 indirectly led to the other. Maybe I have to sell my investment part way into a build and can only get 1/2 my investment back. Maybe I refinance my mortgage and end up paying an extra $150k for my home. Still probably better than losing my home. Kimbrel is our refinance. Missing the playoffs is foreclosure. We lose an entire year of competition and salary and potentially lose our equity in Cruz and Gibson all together.
  12. Jham
    Agree. Actually one of my all time favorite posts.
  13. Jham
    A third option that makes sense in a cynical way is that the team knew how good Pres was and knew he was in line for a raise and didn't want to pay for a non- closer. They'd just been burned by Reed and Perkins. They had other guys they wanted to extend. AND historically, this team's found some gems for the pen while dumpster diving. Presley included. Could have basically been a cost save. (compare presley's extension to Palanco and Kepler's)
  14. Jham
    I'm not making that excuse. The opposite, actually. Acquiring talent is hard and or expensive. Trading away talent is easy. If you trade away talent, the risk is that you end up needing it later and have to pay way more to get it back. I'm fine with trading Pressley IF they would have had better options to replace him. Heck, if the Romero move had worked we probably wouldn't be arguing here. BUT it didn't. Trading away our best reliever in an era where good relievers are as valuable as starters in a season we were pointing to for 5 years has a substantial risk of back fire. To the point where it is reasonable to doubt the soundness of the trade rationale to begin with. I get that replenishing in FA is an option. But if i'm Jim P, and you just traded away Pres, watched Pres sign a super reasonable extension, then ask me for $45 mil to sign a guy we don't think is as good as the guy we just traded... I might give you the money, but I'm probably firing you if it doesn't work out. From a human perspective, that's a hard sell for Falvey. But I agree. Agression in FA is what they should have done. Somehow they still have that chance. They should take it, again knowing there's a risk of back fire.
  15. Jham
    I think the flawed premise is assuming we can trade away assets and simply hire replacements. FA is tough. You are bidding against other teams. You have your list of guys. Signing your 3rd option might preclude you from signing your first option. waiting for your first option may leave you without any remaining options. From the sound of it, the club expressed interest in a number of relievers and came away with Parker. When we traded Presley away, and I criticized the move, I was told we can ALWAYS resign him in FA. I don't mind some calculated risks, but if you lose, be prepared to rectify the error.
  16. Jham
    It appears obvious now that their plan to replace him was Romero. Moving him to the pen after a mostly ok rookie season as a starter was a bold move. I think they took his success in the new role for granted. IMO, his k rate never screamed lock down reliever. Still, I can't say that was an absurd replacement plan. But we all know depending on prospects is a risk. Parker is not a suitable back up plan. The Astros will never trade back. Time to swallow your pride and get Kimbrel in. He doesn't need to be the best closer in baseball to significantly around this club. The FO should be happy that there still is any option to address your no.3 consideration at this late off date that doesn't require trading AK or Brusdar. They should jump on it. Of course it's an overpay. That's the real risk they took in dealing Presley: replacement cost might be higher than your return on sale. If you can't afford to lose a trade (bet), you shouldn't make the trade (bet) .
  17. Jham
    Kep? Royce? Extend Buxton? We've got some options here... Hopefully it is a great trade. No doubt Presley helps us way more now. To me, it was a curious move considering we've been pointing for this year. Ditto the boot comment about FA. Good FA almost always require more years than you want to have them. Why not utilize those best years for the entire length of your window?
  18. Jham
    And perhaps his success against younger players, predictable? I like him. I think Celestino had Dennard Span upside maybe. I just like Presley more!
  19. Jham
    Alcala is 24 in July and still in AA. He better be up this year. How many CY winners developed from 25yo rookies?
  20. Jham
    Further muddying the waters... 1) Presley improved with different coaching in Houston. 2) Relivers are bringing the value gap on starters very rapidly in the modern game. 3) Presley just signed a very reasonable extension, 3 years $17 mil?
  21. Jham
    Can't you go NL double switch and give up the DH going forward?
  22. Jham
    For real, are there no pitchers on the team capable of outrunning CJ Cron? I gotta think i'd bet on, let's see... every single one of them other than Pineda.
  23. Jham
    I can't advise against this course of action strongly enough. Just enjoy your victory. (looks over shoulders for own wife's peering eyes). quietly.
  24. Jham
    Think of where we'd be without Hilde's reemergence. Many wanted him outrighted off the 40. On the other hand, gambling on Romero being a stud was/is not the stupidest move. He could still be that guy (unlikely imo, but I get the thought). On the other Hand, imagine we had traded for Brad Hand (prolly woulda taken AK). Hand, Pressley, Hilde and Rogers... that looks pretty solid.
  25. Jham
    I'm not saying right or wrong either. I'm saying why it would be tough for the FO to go sign an expensive rh fireball RP right now. Separately I'm saying this team may be a Pressley away from division title or a playoff series win or more. Though pill to swallow for those who wanted Pres extended instead of traded.
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