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Major League Ready

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  1. Vasquez, Castro and Bader are locks for the bench spots. So, if Lee goes north, who among Julien, Miranda, and Gasper rounds out the bench the best? I don't think it's Julien because I don't trust him at 1B. He has very poor hands and is new to the position. Can anyone tell me if Gasper about gasper defensively at 1B?
  2. Right there with you on Festa / Mathews and Morris last year. Matthews looks a little better tome right now. Obviously, that's a small sample size and maybe I am seeing something that won't translate but his fastball looks like it has more life this spring and the breaking stuff a little more consistent. Have you noticed this at all?
  3. I was pretty impressed with Andrew Morris yesterday. I actually went back and watched his performance a 2nd time. He does not look like a dominating top of the rotation guy but his stuff looks pretty similar to Joe Ryan to me. What do you all think? Is his ceiling back of the rotation or is there more there and how far off is he?
  4. Why isn't Rodriguez listed among the prospects. Baseball Savant grades his arm at 60. If Rodriquez makes the team at some point this year, I would think Wallner and Larnach are going to DH and Larnach is a slightly better defender at least by my eye.
  5. Vegas betting odds are 30:1. Is that a legit candidate. Probably not. Pablo is actually 15:1.
  6. My dream scenario is a healthy Prielipp is killing it and knocking down the door and I might be unreasonably high on Zebby but he is looking very good to me. Morris looked good today and of course Festa has looked the part as well. I would love to be so deep in pitching that we can trade some away but we are not there just yet.
  7. I don't think these four teams are going to be interested in trading for prospects to replace well-established starting pitchers. It just doesn't make any sense, especially if the asking price is an established middle of the order bat. Have to agree with @chpettit19that Paddack should definitely be available if we can get value in return as opposed to a salary dump. Other than Paddack, I would revisit this topic in July.
  8. Last year he was in the 92nd percentile in fielding run value. In 2023 he was 93rd percentile. I think we will be just fine with that kind of decline.
  9. Agree completely Doc. The question is how soon does Rodriguez appear on the scene and change this equation. Rodriquez will be an everyday OFer. That pushes one of Larnach / Wallner to DH. BTW ... His splits are close too. It's going to be a huge boost to this team if Erod performs. He fits in great now and going forward.
  10. I would put the over under at lunch. Dinner yes, breakfast is the point of no deal. Lunch could go either way.
  11. The average price per 1 WAR for MLB free agents is over $8M. If even one team thought Dobnak could produce above replacement level, his $3M salary certainly would not have been a hindrance, and it his salary was even less in previous years and no teams wanted him at $2.25M. It's pretty simple. Markets establish value and this market has determined Dobnak has little or no value.
  12. I am going to wait until the spring training ends, look at the health of all of our SPs, and how Paddack / SWR / Matthews, and Festa are performing. Then, we can assess our options. I don't believe it's about the money. They could find someone to take his contract if this was about his contract.
  13. Thanks for consolidating these stats. After getting a look at Castellano on TV and seeing these stats, I think they keep this guy one way or another.
  14. True but his stock has gone down. The fact remains pretty much every baseball person that spoke or wrote of this trade said the Twins got the better end of the deal. I think a fair assessment is that it was a good trade that didn't work out for either team, Of course it's possible Gonzalez steps up. I said at the time that the better play would have been straight up for Harry Ford but of course who knows of the Mariners would have accepted that trade.
  15. He was their Milb pitcher of the year. Do you think it's possible they thought highly of him but just didn't believe he would be taken because of his limited experience? For example, as the Twins didn't believe Tyler Wells would be taken.
  16. Why bother if you're the Phillies if they are getting next to nothing back. It would make more sense to force the Twins hand. Maybe they get nothing but is that really any better than next to nothing. If I am the Phillies, I take my chances of getting him back rather than taking next to nothing.
  17. IDK about the impact of innings pitched. However, from the first time I saw his violent pitching motion, I thought he looked like an injury waiting to happen.
  18. His 2 IP today was the first I have seen of him. He has very good stuff but a bit erratic.
  19. Help me here, I don't follow the logic. How did losing a replacement level player contribute to not making the playoffs? I also don't understand the comment about Santana. Yes, he was 37 years old and for that reason most of us (me included) were not high on him. Most of us would have preferred Hoskins who also ended up being replacement level. So, how was bringing in Sanatana and his gold glove a negative?
  20. So, Polanco's production is irrelevant but the production of players coming back is relevant. That's a convenient argument. I agree that there is an assumed value at the time. However, there is eventually a quantifiable value that is much more relevant in terms of assessing value than the forecasted values made by both sides make in a trade. At the time of the trade, the vast majority of MLB reporters felt the twins got the better of that trade. Now that we can measure the actual results, nothing was lost and nothing was gained. I said at the time I would have preferred they trade Polanco for prospects and reinvest the savings. Therefore, I agree they had an asset that should have returned something. We also can't ignore that moving Polanco did free up dollars. Obviously, there were other moves made so we can't tie the Sanatana signing strictly to moving Polanco. However, moving Polanco did free up some dollars and the investment in Santana proved to be a much better move than keeping Polanco.
  21. Trading away a player that produced 0 WAR for $10.5M is one of the worst in team history? I would say that it was a big nothing burger. They lost nothing and gained nothing. I guess if one argued the salary difference was used to sign Santana it was a significant net gain.
  22. I think there is at least a 50/50 chance Vazquez's replacement will be another 7-10M/year free agent. It would be great if we could find a trade deal for a promising catcher but the odds of that are pretty low.
  23. Have to agree they are not getting anything in the vicinity of Teal or Rushing. What do you think they could get for Paddack if it was a prospect? I just don't see Paddack bringing back much unless there is a rash of injuries during ST. Can the get a 45FV type prospect?
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