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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Not a chance in hell they make even one phone call regarding any of these free agents.
  2. Major League Ready
    I am much more concerned about them putting together a deep lineup. Larnach is simply not a solution. He needs to be traded so that his playing time can be given to someone with more upside as a complete player. Lewis and Lee were well below average and should be treated as suspect. If they get it together, great but the Twins need to find a number of other potential solutions. Keascall and Buxton are the only two players that deserve to be in the top of a MLB lineup. They need new blood. Jenkins, Culpepper, and Rodriquez are really key. Those three have the potential to put this team back on the map. Martin and Gonzalez could help too and they might hit enough to be near the top of the order.
  3. Major League Ready
    Try answering the question that was posed instead of conclusions with no substantive support.
  4. Major League Ready
    It's so hard to predict. The team that has what we want might not be the team that wants him the most. IMO, the most important thing is to get a high impact player back. Think of it this way. When we're looking for a piece to add to what we thought was a good core, we wanted the highest impact player we could get, not two pretty good guys. Moving Ryan needs to accomplish the same thing. The goal is to give up two years of Ryan when we are not contending for 6-7 years of an equivalent or better player when we have a shot at being a contender. Obviously, we don't know that we will be a contender 3 or 4 years from now, but we can be quite certain we won't be one next year.
  5. Major League Ready
    Why would teams looking to improve their chances for contention by trading for Ryan,. trade away really good players that can contribute immediately. It's a marginal net gain for them so the return is diminished. Would you rather get a guy that will contribute 2.5 WAR per season immediately or 4 WAR per season starting in 2027? I will take the later knowing that we are not going to be a contender immediately. Take the premium talent over immediate gratification. Now, if you can get a prospect similar to Walker Jenkins that is very close to ready, great but prioritizing immediacy over production is not a winning strategy.
  6. Major League Ready
    People that have amassed $400M don't think short-term when it comes to investments.
  7. Major League Ready
    Alternatively, the key word is rebuilding. Teams in the bottom half of revenue do it all the time. Can you name a team in the bottom half of revenue that has not gone through some form of rebuild in the past decade? Fans don't like it but it's inevitable. You can stomp your feet and insist it's an unwillingness to spend but that insistence requires we ignore that it's simply part of the game for any team not among the highest revenue teams. It also requires we ignore this team is not remotely close to contention and the likely result of filling a few holes is mediocrity. There is an alternative possibility they want to build an actual contender. That's not likely to happen by propping up what is now a very weak team.
  8. Major League Ready
    Makes perfect sense but I am hoping for a more optimistic end game to play out over 2026-27. I am hoping Jenkins and Culpepper step up in the same fashion Keaschall did last year. Those two have the highest probability and should be here the soonest. Then, we have the less certain guys who hopefully show up a little later in the year. It would be big if Rodriguez would realize his potential. He has a very complete game including hitting LHP. Martin is the 4th OFer in that scenario and he can play a little 2B. In this scenario, Lewis just needs to step up to league average offensively now that his defense is above average and he would be a nice complementary player. This leaves catcher and 1B. Best case scenario for Tait is 2027 and it's going to take them a couple years to rebuild the BP. However, we have a pretty good shot at having a fun team to watch in 2027. In my optimistic view, this could be a very good core by 2028 with a lot of cheap talent and payroll room to add a significant free agent. We also have a top pick next year. Getting a stud prospect in trade for Ryan and a very good prospect for Lopez could be the icing on the cake in building a team with a real shot.
  9. Major League Ready
    I think it's going to be that kind of year Doc. Unless they drastically change course, it will be a year where they audition solutions. It would be nice to have someone as athletic as Fedko or Roden at 1B. I would love to know which players among the group you mentioned they have working on 1B drills over the winter. Is it possible they have GG or Rosario working on some 1B? It's a potential career boost for any of the guys we are talking about so I would hope the plan has already been put in place.
  10. Major League Ready
    This is one of the first posts I have seen that actually considers how the transition between acquired players and prospects. My guess is they are confident Jenkins is up this year. Years of control don't change if he is in AAA for 5 weeks or 5 months so they are bringing him up relatively early baring an unforeseen struggle at AAA. They are not spending money when they expect Jenkins and Martin has earned the other corner spot. Not to mention they will give Roden an opportunity. Same basic story with Culpepper. Plus, they probably have not given up on Lee. SS cost a lot and often fade at least somewhat relatively young. They are not going there with Lee and Culpepper ready. I also have a suspicion they acquire a prospect SS in trade. 2B is Keaschall and Lewis is getting another half-season at least before they would cut bait with him. Catcher could definitely be a 1 year deal but with little of the horizon I could see a 2 year deal for Caratini. 1 year for Lois Arraez to build his value after a relatively bad year could make sense for both parties. If I were betting on any free agent going to the Twins it would be Arraez. BP has a lot of needs. I would like to see them sign quality RPs to multi-year deals. We need a lot of help and they have the potential of a good return at the deadline. Do you see a position other than 1B or catcher where they would sign a 1-year free agent or any FA?
  11. Major League Ready
    I was coming at it from what would be the point of signing those players. Why would anyone advocate abandoning the rebuild they have already started to acquire average players. While I agree that's what they have done in the past, they were patching holes on teams that had a chance. It makes zero sense at this point and they are not blocking spots and spending money on that type of player in a rebuild other than 1B and RPs.
  12. Major League Ready
    I agree but why use a mediocre veteran as the bar? Signing that type of player would insure they remain bad or mediocre at best. Why would any of us advocate or care if they sign a mediocre veteran. They would be better off staying with the prearb guys they have and hoping for improvement. The type of free agent that would matter and that any of us care about is simply not a guy you sign and then replace. Everyone advocating for free agents is speaking conceptually and assuming they can play the acquired and free agents. They are bad at several positions. Therefore, they would need to sign at least 2 if not 3 meaningful free agent position players to have a reasonable shot at contending.. Then, you still have no BP. That would cost a minimum of $30M to fix. It's absolute folly to think they are going to buy a team and if they were to buy a team, it's even more absurd to think they would replace those players with prospects. The only way those prospects get a chance is through injury. Of course, you already know this. Rebuilding teams don't sign expensive veterans, especially when they have guys expected to be ready soon. The Yankees held of on SS when Volpe was in the wings. The Twins are not signing a SS, 2B, 3B or OFer. Arraez, I could see it if the price tag is modest.
  13. Major League Ready
    You are framing it to please yourself. I said no teams outside the top revenue teams have had sustained success as that poster had used as a measure. I simply stated that it probably makes sense to look at a metric that had enough data points to draw a conclusion. Therefore, perhaps it made sense to look at teams that had made the playoffs. If you think we should view it through a lens of a metric that is not achieved by any team in the bottom half of revenue, knock yourself out.
  14. Major League Ready
    How does that work. Let's say they go sign or trade for a really good SS. They are not replacing that player with Culpepper. They would need to replace Lewis or Keaschall with Culpepper. They would be in a similar position if they replaced Wallner except 3 of their top 10 prospects are OFers. IDK how they get around blocking prospects if they replace these positions with a high-quality veteran. Either the veteran starts or the prospect starts but they can't both be everyday players. They were below average in the corner OF spots, 1B/3B and SS so one free agent is not making a dent. They would need to replace at least 2-3 position players. In other words, they can either rebuild or they can switch coarse in the middle of this rebuild and giving prospects would need to wait for injuries to get a shot.
  15. Major League Ready
    Which position players should be filled by free agents. 1B - Replace Clemens / Fedko and Sabato / Mendez as long shots 2B - Replace Keaschall 3B - Replace Lewis SS - Replace Lee and block Culpepper LF - Replace Martin / Roden and Block Jenkins / Rodriguez / Gonzalez / Fedko CF - Buxton RF - Replace Wallner and block Roden / Jenkins / Rodrigue / Gonzalez
  16. Major League Ready
    I would bet that at least 2 BP spots go to free agents and it's even money on 3 spots. Of course, a trade could change that outlook.
  17. Major League Ready
    You don't believe in Keaschall, Jenkins, Culpepper or Abel?
  18. Major League Ready
    The 2nd and 3rd sources are nothing more than an account of what they have. The first article provides absolutely nothing of substance. Basing any opinion on what you have provided is basically unfounded.
  19. Major League Ready
    I definitely could see them signing a couple BP arms and flipping them at the deadline like the Royals did with Chapman. That would be a good move. They don't have enough ready arms to fill the BP. That will take time so they are not sacrificing playing time for players that are potentially a solution. Position players is a different animal this year IMO. Signing Bader this year would mean taking playing time from Jenkins/Rodriguez/Martin/Roden?etc who are all potential long-term solutions. That is a very bad idea for a rebuilding team and a good way to remain mediocre. Same is true for SS and 3B. 2B is probably set with Keaschall. Do we want to sign someone to play SS and take playing time from Culpepper/Lee. Do we want a veteran to play 3B and keep Lewis out. 1B is where you could argue they would not be taking playing time from a potential solution. They are not signing Josh Naylor in a year they don't expect to contend. Hoskins is no better than Clemen given Clemens defense and versatility. I would much rather trade for a long-term solution or even give Fedko a shot. Other than 1B or BU Catcher where would a veteran not take playing time from a player that could be part of the solution? If they want to sign Caratini and trade Jeffers that's a different deal.
  20. Major League Ready
    Agree it's not a good strategy. The team has actually done a good job of signing modest price free agents like Santana, MAT, Bader, etc. Those are great additions to a strong core but we don't have a strong core. Therefore, asking the team to spend money of free agents, even good ones, is very unlikely to be successful. Yet here we are with TD articles calling for them to follow an unsustainable strategy. If they continue the rebuild, free agents won't be part of the plan in 2026. Not because of payroll but because it makes absolutely no sense for a rebuilding team. The low payroll just makes it easier for them to follow that path. I would prefer they trade for a guy that's ready or close to ready instead of trying to squeeze 78 wins out of 2026?
  21. Major League Ready
    Springer, Bichette,Kirk, and Barger improved from a total of 3.9 fWAR in 2024 to a combined 16.0 in 2025. I don't think I would bet the Twins have four guys that are going to improve by an average of 3 WAR each. Clement also improved. They don't even have Correa who would have been a prime candidate to improve given how bad he was in 2025. I would say that's what the Twins lack. That and an entire BP that was traded away.
  22. Major League Ready
    Actually, I was responding to someone else who used post season success as the bar and suggest it might make sense to also look how teams got to the playoffs in terms of impact from spending / free agents.
  23. Major League Ready
    If you look at exactly what I said instead of interpreting for your convenience. I said that no teams win consistently in the playoffs and "IF WE LOOK AT MAKING THE PLAYOFFS" which is a measurement with far more data points, Cleveland, Tampa, and Milwaukee have been the best. In other words, playoff success is a pretty nuanced measure so perhaps we should also look at the thousands of regular season games in order to use a far bigger sample size. I have also made many posts about the advantages of a larger payroll and the impact of revenue disparity. I have supported any posters who point out the obvious advantage. However, what I have none done is ignored the reality of the ability to spend being dependent upon revenue. I also have not ignored the overwhelming evidence that winning with below average revenue is far more dependent on drafting and trading for prospects. Free agent spending has had a miniscule impact in comparison.
  24. Major League Ready
    “Consistently” is a relative term but outside of the Dodgers and Yankees, no team consistently wins playoff series. This is especially true for all of the teams in the bottom half of revenue. If we talk about getting to the playoffs, Cleveland, Tampa, and Milwaukee have significantly outperformed all of the other low revenue teams and half the teams in the top half of revenue. Neither Milwaukee or Cleveland had a free agent that produced 1 WAR this year. The Rays have not been good for a couple years but their 99-win 2023 team had one free agent (Zach Eflin) that produced 10% of their WAR. Eflin was a tremendous value on a 3-year / $40M deal. The teams that have put the most good teams on the field were among the least inclined to spend. They are the most inclined to trade established players for prospects.
  25. Major League Ready
    According to Spotrac the Cardinals have spent an average of 17.4M more than the Twins. I would expect at least that with $50M of incremental revenue. No subject gets more play on this site, yet not one TD writer has every bothered to write an article which quantifies the Twins percentage of spend or Revenue rank vs Payroll rank. How much exactly should we expect. If they spent exactly what the Cardinals spend we could expect to add 2 wins if we were replacing a replacement level player so why does this get so much attention? Just imagine if you ran a company with half as much revenue as your top competitor. When asked by the board what you thought was key to competing and you answered increase spending to 50-60% of that top competitor. How long do you suppose you would be in that position? Point being more spending would be helpful but acquisition and development of prospects is far more important.
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