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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    This link shows wRC+ by position from 2000-2018. We would all like to have one of these superstars in CF but they are exceptional and therefore exceptions not the rule. The fact is that CFers don't hit as well as corner OFers. https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/9nbhjb/2018_league_average_wrc_by_position/
  2. Major League Ready
    Fix what? At this point its pure speculation. If the adjustment in question makes a significant difference he will be on the ML club. It might not be in a tradition starting role but he will have a significant role. Also keep in mind they are paying Shoemaker RP money. They are not going to stash Dobnak for a guy on a 1 yr $2M contract. They could just as easily use Shoemaker in long relief. I presume that flexibility was part of the grand design. So, let's not get ahead of ourselves and see how this plays out.
  3. Major League Ready
    The whole point was Springer's durability has value. Is it fair to say Two players who produce the same when the both play are not of the same value to the team when one plays far less? This comparison makes no sense unless your position or Buxton's position is that we should not consider the injury / playing time component because he is no longer going to be injury prone. BTW ... Buxton's WAR production is still only 68% of Springer's WAR per game. You have illustrated why it could be difficult to sign Buxton to an extension. Buxton and his agent might think he is Springer's equivalent.
  4. Major League Ready
    He has according to CBS Sports. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players/playerpage/2117130/lewis-thorpe
  5. Major League Ready
    Dobnak and Thorpe are nice surprises this spring. Every team is going to need a little more depth this year. I still not completely sold on Thorpe but Dobnak could be quite good if he has come up with an out pitch. With a little luck this team is going to have a lot of homegrown pitching for the next several years. What a change that would be!!!
  6. Major League Ready
    Since 2016 Springer has produced 20.8 WAR / Buxton 9.0. Springer is durable and Buxton is not. Springer is also a significantly better hitter. I don't think Springer is a reasonable comp.
  7. Major League Ready
    I am not so much worried that they would want Kirilloff as much as the overall package (especially pitching) required. Top SPs generally require really good pitching going back. The Rays got a great pitching prospect in Patino who is a top 20 prospect (60 FV) as well as Cole Wilcox (50 FV). Wilcox is The Rays 8th rated prospect and he would be top 5 on a lot of teams. They also got Blake Hunter and Francisco Mejia. Of course, they play a premium position and have 50FVs as catchers. Larnach / Balazovic / Duran and Celestino or Jeffers would be pretty close to wjhat the Rays got for Snell. While Snell was great in 2018, Castillo has produced 2X the WAR over the past two years. I am sure some will disagree but I would rather have Castillo and I think the ask would be even higher.
  8. Major League Ready
    Which SPs that have been traded in the past 5-10 years should we consider as benchmarks? It would be interesting to look at the packages traded.
  9. Major League Ready
    Your portrayal was that they "aren't going to trade any top 20 prospects". To come back with they "didn't give up 4 or 5 players/ draft picks" demonstrates you understand how badly your original statement misrepresented the situation.
  10. Major League Ready
    Brusdar Graterol
  11. Major League Ready
    It would not make sense to give up Castillo unless the Reds were going into a full rebuild. I doubt they would do that at this point. If they did, the haul would have top be enormous and centered around more than 1 high end prospect. What have similar trades looked like? It would take something like Lewis or Kirilloff + Balazovic or Duran + Wallner + Bailey and they might require a package with more pitching. Any package that does not really hurt our future won't be enough to get Castillo.
  12. Major League Ready
    I think you are right. They are going to ask for Kirilloff + a good SP prospect. Probably Kirilloff + Balazovic or Duran.+ another top 25 prospect like will Holland. I doubt they accept Canterino in place of Balazovic or Duran.
  13. Major League Ready
    Rosario had the 5th highest wRC+ on the Twins last year. He was 11th on the team in wRC+ for 2019.
  14. Major League Ready
    Kirillof SHOULD end up being very good. I just can’t consider it a foregone conclusion until he demonstrates it above A+. It would be much easier to believe if he had a period of 150 dominate ABs at AA or AAA. I am also not inclined to believe Broxton is going to be a different hitter because he has had 12 great spring training ABs. He would not be the 1st guy to put it together after 1,000 MLB PAs but so far he is hard to believe in. Garlick actually has shown the ability to be an above average bat at the MLB level. I could see Broxton as the 5th OFer / pinch runner in place Cave. Where LF is concerned, I would start the season with either Rooker or Garlick. Kirilloff gets the job as soon he is a better alternative.
  15. Major League Ready
    I should have prefaced my statement better. I was commenting more generally as this topic has been discussed on satellite radio quite a bit.as well as many other platforms. In general, the discussion has been quite unrealistic and that's what I was pointing toward. Here is an example. On one of the radio shows, a former GM was determining what percentage of the population in his state would be vaccinated by a given date. His method was simple. He came up with the number of people he felt could be vaccinated per day. Problem is he did not take into account that the vast majority of those people would be getting vaccines that required two shots thereby doubling the amount of time to complete the process. We all want baseball and everything else back to normal. I just think being realistic might help reduce the frustration.
  16. Major League Ready
    The effort and sacrifice is very commendable. I think most of us have a very high level of gratitude to those directly involved. That effort is not being ignored and the accomplishment is not even remotely being questioned. The effort and time required is underestimated in every source of baseball discussion I have seen or heard. That's the only point I was making. Everyone seems to take a very optimistic view. Just as you have using a number based on people who have received one shot. That's an optimistic interpretation of how many people have been vaccinated. BTW ... The 1st source I checked estimated a low number. Checking the MN Dept of Health, it would appear we are further along. I just think it's unrealistic to think attendance is going to be unrestricted until late into the baseball season.
  17. Major League Ready
    The percentage vaccinated to this point is 10%. What are the chances anywhere near 1/2 the population vaccinated by mid-April? That would be roughly 4X the number of people vaccinated in half the time. I think we need to get a bit more realistic in how this is going to unfold.
  18. Major League Ready
    I doubt their plans to have Lewis take over are changed. They are more likely delayed and they are not going to delay that plan for several years. So, I doubt they pursue these FAs especially if they hope to extend both Buxton and Berrios.
  19. Major League Ready
    I would rather extend or resign Berrios. However, it is possible we could develop enough pitching over the next couple years to cover up his departure. CF is much more questionable. Celestino is our only real hope so his ascension would be crucial. We could possibly afford both if we develop enough pitching and Lewis becomes the SS we all hope he can be. Trading Sano in a year or two would also facilitate keeping both.
  20. Major League Ready
    The disconnect here is not that I want Thad Levine's job, I have had that job and Falvey's job, just in a different industry. They are not my hero. They are peers which is why I don't appreciate the constant references the FO being "boneheads". It's not hero worship. I am just certain the guy that does not get it is you.
  21. Major League Ready
    So, in other words, you don't want to be bothered with indisputable facts?
  22. Major League Ready
    You are absolutely correct that there have been a number of superstars who got to the ML level with less than 1,000 ABS. I would not be shocked if he got some playing time at the MLB level this year much like Polanco did for a few games. However, if you are suggesting it's reasonable to expect the same path for a guy drafted 1/1 who became a 1st ballot hall of famer and a 22 yo that has never been on a top 100 list and has a total of 33 ABs above low A , you are probably reAAAAAAAAly reaching.
  23. Major League Ready
    It's easier to complain when you don't have any facts or information to impede your logic for complaining.
  24. Major League Ready
    I too have high hopes for Celestino but recognize we are getting a little ahead of ourselves. He has 33ABs at A+. It's great he is creating a buzz. There is a good chance he is pushed but the young man has barely scratched A+. My hope is that he can be ready sometime next year so he can get enough time to determine if he can take over for Buxton when he becomes a FA at the end of 22. Anything beyond that would be a bonus.
  25. Major League Ready
    Looking back at 2019 (because 2020 stats are of questionable substance) the top 3 offensive teams were the Astros / Twins & Yankees. Their L vs R handed top producers with 200+ ABs is as follows. The Astros top 5 were RH. Coming in 6th was Michael Brantley. They had 3 others with a wRC+ above 100. They are all RHed. Among the Yankees top 9 in wRC+ (included Encanacion w/197 ABs) 8 of 9 were RH. The Twins had 3 players that really stood out in wRC+. Cruz at 163, Garver at 155, and Sano at 137. Of course, they are all RH. The Twins did have a good mix among the rest of the contributors. Arraez was next followed by Kepler then Polanco. Cave and Buxton had above average production coming in at 113 and 111. The twins also had 5 players with a league average wRC+. Rosario with a wRC+ of 103 was 9th on the team by this measure. Adrianza - 102 Schoop - 100 Castro - 103 Cron 101 It does not appear that LH balance is essential to a strong offense.
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