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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    maybe with some time off in ‘20 he’ll hold up better on the backside of the contract?
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    Average ticket price by team is here:https://www.statista.com/statistics/193673/average-ticket-price-in-the-mlb-by-team/ Median is between KC and Toronto at $65.50 per ticket. Average attendance: 28k median http://www.espn.com/mlb/attendance/_/year/2019/sort/awayAvg Your $10 per attendant spend is about right if you skip parking. If the google is to be trusted, 171,000,000 per year at the ballpark on average, 3.5x your figure.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    the owners, for good reason, are not transparent about revenue. Most estimates like Forbes use 50/50 at the stadium (tickets, concessions, etc) vs TV. Every team is different, different ticket structures, different TV deals. It does appear the better off teams have the better TV deals. Of course what is opaque as black tar is revenue earned by other subsidiaries of the ownership because of the games but not earned by the ballpark. Example, Atlanta’s ownership group owns a huge business development around the ballpark and the Pohlads own media and part of FSN and advertising companies that broadcast or simulcast games. We just don’t know, but if I were a player, my spidey-senses would tingle on the offer of 50-50 split of revenue between players and teams vs salaries because it’s really “50-50 split of the revenue we tell you about”. Only Atlanta is publicly held, all the rest are private and not subject to SEC rules or GAAP
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Fantastic news! Keep up the great work!
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Can you site the exclusive charter flights? Minor leaguers certainly fly commercial. Regardless of carrier, they fly in and out airports, correct? Go through security and such?
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    Green Bay in January is magical and glorious! There are few experiences like it, and even Viking fans should experience it. That being said, I think a neutral site WS is the only way to keep the players safe. Air travel is so dangerous, it must be mitigated every step of a season and post season.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    I like independent ball too, and look forward to taking my kids to a Northwoods League team that last I heard was still being raised in my town. It’s fun! As are the Saints and all the other entrepreneurial indy teams and leagues out there cutting a niche for themself, Frankly, 7-8 affiliates seems like it would stretch your coaching/development resources too thin to give all those players adequate resources. From a team and league perspective it makes sense. From a market perspective some of the teams that were affiliates will thrive with a cost structure they control, and some will fail. From what I’ve read, the failure has already started in many instances.
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Longtime Twins equipment manager Wayne “Big Fella” Hattaway has passed away of cancer. He was 80. RIP Big Fella. https://www.twincities.com/2020/05/01/big-fella-twins-clubhouse-mainstay-has-died/
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dia-designs.com/elaborate-world-series-rings-use-gemstones-to-tell-the-story-of-astros-first-ever-championship/amp/ There’s roughly 90 grams of gold at $55 per gram and 10 carats of gem stones, mostly diamonds at $1000/carat. You could sell it at one of those gold shops for around $12k-15k at retail, so maybe $6-8k at scrap rates.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    this would make me very happy, even if I am very skeptical of capability
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    that is awesome!
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Healthcare is 17.8% of GDP https://www.statista.com/statistics/184968/us-health-expenditure-as-percent-of-gdp-since-1960/ and people 65+ spend the most on it. So it depends on your horizon of Value, but when you are up for re-election this fall, people under 18 have zero value and people over 65 are also the larger voting population. https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/04/03/millennials-approach-baby-boomers-as-largest-generation-in-u-s-electorate/ Man I am a horrible, terrible, no good, very bad person...:
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    there’s been talks of removing the Appy league and standardizing each parent club to the 6 levels while expanding all levels of minor league ball to long season. It doesn’t seem like a huge reduction in games played, just a reduction in teams. I get why the many small towns don’t want to lose their affiliates ball club. I wouldn’t either, but from an mlb perspective, it makes a ton of sense
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    I agree that this event will probably fundamentally change businesses and significantly change our economy. Most likely retail workers will largely shift to warehouse workers. My job will probably change from going to the office 5 days per week and flying to my factories quarterly, to becoming 100% remote: work from home 5 days per week and travel/fly to my factories quarterly... I can see where business will change to meet demand and supply. I don’t see where this will fundamentally change our government and healthcare infrastructures. Unemployment insurance as a state run entity for instance makes it very difficult for the nation to act cohesively and states require a balanced budget over time, where the federal government does not. I don’t think supply chain and logistics will change as much as you do. Maybe we’ll grow the National stockpiles, but businesses will carry less, not more. Liquidity has been a real challenge in this environment and that won’t change. Answering the question of “how are we going to pay for healthcare?” Will probably still be a valid question long after I’m dead.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    According to WaPo it’s not a done deal yet. Sounds like MiLB/MLBPA is using the negotiation as leverage to get players paid. Also seems like there’s agreement on 100% long season MiLB leagues. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/04/24/mlb-minor-leagues-move-closer-agreement-reduce-number-affiliates/%3foutputType=amp
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    I don’t know the Vikings roster that well to bother looking up their draft round. Isaiah Wilson was a huge reach by Tennessee and you’ll have similar quality G/T available in the second round. Might have to trade up to get them, but better to trade up than reach. If you were dead set on drafting an OL in the first round, you probably needed to trade up 5-10 spots to be in the run of OL in the mid picks there. You won’t find a WR anywhere near as good as Jefferson again in this draft. There’s quality yet to be gotten, but not like that.
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    We have some math challenges here. 1% is 10X .1% and .5% is 5X .1%. Scale matters. Also, transmissibility is a big factor here as you even point out in your own statement. Frequently when people get the flu, they’re puking and stay home. Further, you are contagious with the flu before getting symptoms for a couple days and are generally sick for 2-3 days. With Covid-19 you could feel fine or a little cruddy and pass it for weeks. It lasts on hard surfaces for days. Time will tell on Sweden, but it is a different culture than the USA. Their unemployment and sick leave policies are national. People stay home when they are sick more frequently. They have national healthcare and might have more capacity to deal with the surge of Covid cases. They also might be wrong and have sealed the dates of hundreds of thousands of people.... comparing the US to Sweden is not very comparable.
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    At that pick there weren’t any round one worthy OL or QBs available. My Pack screwed that’s up terribly and should have traded back early into the second round to get more draft capital and still probably could have drafted Love... I liked the Vikings pick of Jefferson and wanted the Packers to trade up to get Jefferson. For the Vikes, Jefferson makes a ton of sense, especially if you are going to rebuild soon, letting Thielen go. You can’t draft a player in the first round, just to sit the bench. With cap space and free agency being misaligned (see Rodgers, Stafford, and Cousins) first rounders must be starters day one. Project players in the first round cripple your salary management. Jefferson is a very good talent and should slot in as one of the better WR2 in the division right away.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, it's a failure of our economy, leadership, and society that anyone goes hungry, or lives homeless in the strongest economy and wealthiest nation on planet earth. Covid or not, we have the resources to provide an appropriate safety net, and we choose not to exercise those resources. I would rather allow the free market economy to function as it should, but in times of crisis you need to intervene. We've let the economy be broken and now we need to fix it. It's not a passive allowance, but an active repair. The ultimate sacrifice a person can make is their life. Why should someone who works hourly or for themselves in a small business have to pay that price at a higher rate than those who work salaried office jobs? Average monthly rent in the US is over $1400 and during the greatest health crisis in this nation since 1918, we can't even muster one month? Let alone groceries and utilities and it will be weeks or months until many people can even get the money.... We have failed. Failed miserably.... but telling people that they should put their health and lives at risk because of our societal failures exacerbates the failure even greater. And we do need to get back to work, desperately, but we are so far from being able to do that safely in many/most industries and especially services that we need the intervention to give the science and industry institutions time to scale up solutions, and rebuild new infrastructure.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    How much less than 1%? We need to shelter in place and test to determine, because transmissibility seems to be potentially greater than 75%, meaning 1% death rate of 75% of Americans is 2.5 million deaths only directly attributed to Covid-19. So, yes, I’m concerned with the economy, and I want us all to get back to work and consumption, but 2.5 million people dying and not paying their health insurance or buying gas would cripple the economy long term... But also holy crap it’s 2.5 million people! Mothers and Fathers and Grandparents... extrapolate that to global, we’re talking about 58 million world wide if we only attribute to Covid. That’s Black Plague territory!
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great Article Patrick!
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    I have a friend who trades for CHS, and I used to buy vegetables on contracts, and i can tell you that it depends on what your intention is on the trades. I used to trade for low prices to actually take delivery as a supplement to my contracts. My friend at CHS does the same. Oh, and 20 million barrels of oil are anchored off the coast of California right now. There’s opportunities if you have the resources. https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-04-21/oil-tankers-are-surrounding-california-with-nowhere-to-unload?sref=vuYGislZ&__twitter_impression=true
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    I wonder if you could buy one used on Craigslist?
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