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MikeNC

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Everything posted by MikeNC

  1. MikeNC
    They are burning up Gray's options because he isn't in the long term plan. They are conserving the options of the young guys for after the deadline so they can go up and down if needed to work on issues that will appear at the MLB level. In a week or so, when the trade potentials is over and the roster stabilized, you will see the young stars come up.
  2. MikeNC
    The Game is afoot! -Sherlock
  3. MikeNC
    Which is why, if I'm the Yankees, I've already talked to Jeffers agent (with Twins permission) and will have a 5 yr $75mm contract ready to sign.
  4. MikeNC
    Hmmm, Jeffers is an established, elite hitting Catcher who at age 29 should have a number of good years ahead. In a current market where competing available Catchers of his calibre are non-existant. All we get is a prospect? Not a top 100 even? Yeah, if we can't get a decent MLB or a AAA-MLB ready bullpen arm then pass, keep him for the rest of the season. Yankees have the WORST production at Catcher in all of MLB, pony up dudes or watch Jeffers beat you down the stretch run.
  5. MikeNC
    I agree with rdehring. Stop with the pie in the sky thinking. The Twins have limited payroll compared to many other teams. Jeffers deserves, and will get, a big money mult-year contract. Good luck and Godspeed! And yes Virginia, we want to believe the Twins can trade him for some low cost but great young help. Do I wish we could keep him? Yes, and Sonny Gray etc. etc. etc. Being a Twins fans means accepting that great players will leave us for free agency big $$. It just makes sense, no matter how much we wish otherwise, to let them go and try to get something for them on thier way out.
  6. MikeNC
    So, Jeffers would sign a one year deal, and face injury risk, for $16MM vs. a 5 year deal at $70MM with Yankees, Red Sox, or Dodgers? I don't think so. Here is your 2027 payroll: Lopez 18M, Buxton 14M, Caratini 7M, Bell 7M, Ryan $6M, Ober $7M (ARB estimate), Larnach 5M (ARB estimate). That's already $64M, leaving $36M for the other 19 guys. This leaves very little for any worthwhile FA, which would likely be bullpen pitching. The waive wire guys ain't gettin' it done, if you've noticed. I'd say to not exercise Bell option and let him go. DH position would gain platoon flexibility with our lesser fielders like Larnach, Lewis, Keaschall, and maybe Lee. Somebody got to walk so we can add Walker.
  7. MikeNC
    I love this thinking! This is the only way for the Twins to have a shot at a WS run. Aside from the obvious challanges of that many young guys all excelling to champ callibre at once is the $140MM which is quite a hike from the current $100MM targeted run rate.
  8. MikeNC
    Sure we’d like to keep a near .300 hitter. Just one teensy weensy problem: Jeffers is a free agent after this season and AI says will command a new contract in the range of $11MM to $15MM per year. The Twins are not gonna pay him 15% of their total payroll budget. If he picks up where he left off, his trade best value will be now, not at season’s end. Caratini and Jackson are doing great, they are enough if the team is otherwise (i.e. fixing the Bullpen) a contender.
  9. MikeNC
    OMG you are right! They are the "Rocky" of MLB, all offense and no defense!
  10. MikeNC
  11. MikeNC
    Love the detail LA Vikes fan! Hopefully Twins are reading this.
  12. MikeNC
  13. MikeNC
    "It is time, all debris into disposal chutes . . . including the body of the Centurian" - Romulan Commander. Time to cut bait, this team is far more entertaining than expected, has some promising talent with more on the way (let's start making room for them), but just doesn't have the pitching to be anything but a doormat should they get that last wildcard. Let's get something for the impending FAs, 2 or 3 decent releif pitchers would make this team a contender next year. They are already revamping the Defense, let's be strategic in the moves this trade deadline, not the fire sale thing.
  14. MikeNC
    Trying to inject some realism here. Jeffers is a UFA at end of season, Twins won’t pay him, yes trade him. Joe Ryan is a UFA after 2027 season, so keep for 1 more year unless someone offers a boatload, then yes trade him (pay attention, Joe absolutely wants out). Love Clemens, but he is 30, and baby daddy wants him in prime time, I’m thinking he’ll ask out at some point, and we have young guys to bring up. Larnach is 4th from the bottom of MLB of worst defense in LF, and cannot hit lefties. Yes trade him, we can do better. Wallner probably has little value, everyone needs to see if he is really a MLB player. Keaschall dead last defensively at 2B, and it is hurting them. Where to put him? And where to play Lewis. Both have too much potential upside to let go for cheap now it seems. Byron is awesome when healthy, but he gets hurt - every season. His trade value likely will never be better than right now, and next week he might be hurt again. Hate to say it but if he wants to play in a Series he should go.
  15. MikeNC
    For me it was the unbelivable dumbness of giving away Jax and Varland: 2 highly effective and yet CHEAP players. That destroyed the bullpen. The message sent to fans was: "We are ok destroying the team's competitiveness to save a nickel". I got off the train. I have wandered back because they are not totally horrible and I love baseball. Now we have MLB's worst defense, and a bullpen that blows a 7 run lead to the worst team in MLB. I don't need to win the pennant, just want to watch a decent product on the field. Hopefully this new mgmt. will make sensible decisions, I get the cheap approach, that's ok with me. MLB has created this by not having revenue sharing like the NFL.
  16. MikeNC
    The Twins organization has changed fundamentally from what it historically was: Great at producing top hitters, league batting champs. Now we see batters flailing away and guys who started great going down and not coming back up, Conversely, they would scrape to find even 2 quality starting pitchers. Now, SOMEBODY in that organization is developing and improving pitchers, again and again. Please keep the pitching pipeline. Get some coaches WHO HAVE ACTUALLY HIT MLB PITCHING to coach the young guys how to succeed. All the stats in the world CANNOT tell you how to hit a curve ball.
  17. MikeNC
    If you truly want to compete, then I don't see any starting corner OF on the roster now. (Ok, maybe Austing Martin if he can continue to improve his OBP and be the leadoff). Buxton, the team's best power hitter, should not be leading off. You don't win many games with solo homers, you win a lot more with 3-run homers. If he's all headcase when in the heart of the order, then I guess leadoff is better than being a whif-o-matic. Speaking of which. Wallner just isn't getting better, and Larnach has little power, and neither is defensively adequate or acceptable without a big stick at the plate. Outman is just plain a poor hitter. No idea what Roden can do, but considering all the other "incredible" gets from the trades I'm gonna be pessimistic on that too. (Except T. Bradley, I love that guy's potential).
  18. MikeNC
    Is he hard to find? What does Jose say???
  19. MikeNC
    Too . .. depressed . . .after . . . .Sox sweep. . . .
  20. MikeNC
    Be careful what you ask for. The TDS aside, as i noted a month ago there at least 6 major cities, with LOCAL ownership, who are looking to lure a MLB team. The Nashville Tunes (my name, not theirs - yet) being the leading candidate. We all remember Norm Greed, right?
  21. MikeNC
    The $21M Lopez salary, absolutely. No sense paying that on a non-competitive team. Joe Ryan will be more affordable, even after arbitration, but he really wants to go. Only paid $3M this year, he will make a boat load of $$ with a big market team. FA in 2027, so sadly I think they should let him go and get his $$, he won’t get them here. You can’t rebuild a half-burnt down house. Raze it, then begin again with the ONLY model that can work for the small market Twins: A bunch of young guys that come together and gell into a team that can get to the playoffs, and with 2 top pitchers can win a 7 game series. THAT was how they won the World Series. THAT was fun beyond description.
  22. MikeNC
    I was wondering why Correa seemed invisible to me during July, stats show he hit .300. Oh but wait, for the entire month, 70 ABs, he had 3 RBIs. Luke had that many in his first two games back - BOTH of them! Correa just wasn’t the same guy this year. Lack of clutch hitting, more errors both fielding and throwing, some were saying his range diminished. I was so relieved when they unloaded 2/3 of his salary. Time to move on for sure.
  23. MikeNC
    Finally someone brings up the ARB. I like your plans. Much criticism regarding Jax and Varland loss of team control, but Jax is eligible for ARB and Varland in 2027 (assuming he's not a Super 2). ARB salaries cost a lot more than the MLB $760k minimum that all those Prospects will come in at. Jax at $2.365M this year will be higher in 2026. How high? Guerrero got $28.5M, Soto $31M. No they won't get that, but Millions, yes. Twins are betting their pitching coach continues his magic at making castoffs and retreads effective. As for hitters, It suddenly looks like Jeffers, Larnach, and Wallner are currently playing like they have a 50 game audition, I think they do. Maybe Ober too. (But wouldn't it be nice to have 1 primary catcher who combines Jeffers hitting and Vasquez' arm?).
  24. MikeNC
    Whatever the Twins are paying their pitching coach, they should double it! Castoffs and retreads somehow getting the job done. Oviously having Skywalker knock in 3 runs a game helps a lot, but do you remember what a project Varland was? Jax was? 4+ innings out of Hatch today, who's MLB average in 40 appearances over the past 6 years is less than 2. He did have a respectable 4.18 ERA in 171 Minor League appearances going back to 2017. He also spent 2024 in Japan and got raked for an ERA of over 7. Even Funderburk (shudder) is getting outs now. Remarkable.
  25. MikeNC
    About that TV money. According to a 10.9.2024 TwinsDaily article their Bally deal went from $54M in 2023 to $43M in 2024 and of course -0- in 2025. The MLB TV deal, says San Diego, gets them about $5M/year, although they do have some cable deals as well. The Colorado Rockies lost their $57M AT&T deal and are also with MLB TV in 2025 and expect "a revenue decrease of $40M to $50M". Sooo, an estimate of Twins 2025 TV money is maybe $10M. You can't even pay Buxton with that.
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