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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    I mean...it's the offseason and we all knew the Twins weren't doing anything. So, I don't know what you expect. Anyways, Fangraphs posted the Twins ZiPS projections! Rodriguez has a very weird line of 211/343/397. Seems about right. He's going to be a very, very frustrating player.
  2. NYCTK
    Sure, but helps that three off those teams cleaned up against the White Sox. Guardians only ones that didn't ironically. AL West probably a bit worse last year but not by much.
  3. NYCTK
    Perhaps. Way more likely to be a Twin than Alonso though.
  4. NYCTK
    Why do people keep saying this? This isn't true. Just like the Twin Cities aren't a small market. I feel like the Twins org has brainwashed it's fans into a 'poor us' mentality.
  5. NYCTK
    Not really, that's still really impressive. Watching and tracking pitches with that movement and velocity is difficult and the introduction of the digital tools, the umpires are getting better each and every year (though this is potentially due to the old guard retiring out of the league). I actually hate the strike zone displayed on the television because it's not always accurate and does nothing but get fans in a tizzy. I'm ambivalent about introducing the strike/ball challenge system. Seems to be pretty well implemented in AAA but I've never actually watched it in context of an actual game.
  6. NYCTK
    Adam Dunn was shockingly "only" ~38% TTO in the minors. Judge ~ 41% Happ ~40% Schwarber ~ 41% Wallner ~ 47% Julien ~ 50% Emmanuel is sitting right with Joey Gallo at 56% So, we can see him become successful, but...I'd say Gallo is the median good outcome. The chance of him being a spectacular bust seems very high.
  7. NYCTK
    He struck out 12 times in 30 plate appearances with the robo ump in AAA.
  8. NYCTK
    The thing is he isn't really a high level prospect. He's very, very intriguing. But his red flags prevent him from being a top level prospect. His strike out propensity actually means he likely WILL have some terrible stretches that get him sent down at some point.
  9. NYCTK
    No, because this has the free agents already removed from the roster. Digging deeper, looks like it's nearly all adjustments made on defensive projections. Team defense collectively is -1.8 runs below average, opposed to -11.4 at the end of the season. Half a run here, half a run there. 4.4 runs better for Royce Lewis seems to be the single biggest adjustment. So...that's cool I guess...
  10. NYCTK
    Comps bWAR - Schwarber: 15.4 Happ: 17.7 Gallo: 15.4 Only to say, Twins fans gotta get over their hatred of Gallo. He had a pretty good career. Just not with the Twins. A career like Gallo should be very welcome for a second tier prospect. With a player that looks like he will similarly strike out in 1/3 of his plate appearances (at least initially) that really limits his ceiling. But like you showed with Happ, there's always a chance he improves upon that specific skill in time.
  11. NYCTK
    Sitting at work, I just decided to run a fun little exercise. I wanted to see how much teams have improved themselves during the offseason (so far). Comparing the team's projected depth charts from November 5th to today: Team fWAR added Tigers 3.0 Twins 1.2 Royals 0.3 Guardians -1.4 White Sox -2.1 No surprises there. But what I found more interesting was that the division that was arguably the worst in baseball in 2024 has done, by far, the least to improve for 2025. NLW 9.5 NLE 9.2 ALE 8.6 NLC 8.0 ALW 6.6 ALC 1.0
  12. NYCTK
    Believe me, I'm happy to have an entire series dedicated to ****ing on rich *******s.
  13. NYCTK
    I just don't see the value in this level of pedantry (and sometimes seeming outrage) around someone that proved himself to be a vile human. If he instead was acting as an enforcer for the mob during prohibition, and then went on to become a mob boss himself later in life, no one would be getting outraged if someone conflates his career timeline and says he was a mob boss during prohibition.
  14. NYCTK
    Wondering what went wrong with a player that was never a top end prospect but still became a 20 WAR player just tells me the only thing wrong was unfair expectations.
  15. NYCTK
    I agree. But he went on to become the evil banker stereotype. So who really gives a crap that some people conflate "evil man helped kicked people out of homes during great depression" with "evil man kicked people out of homes during great depression".
  16. NYCTK
    So now we're just being pedantic. Not particularly useful, especially for a guy that went on to prove he's evil. He earned money by assisting in the foreclosure of homes during the great depression.
  17. NYCTK
    "There's no evidence that Carl foreclosed on homes during the great depression" Goes on to state he delivered foreclosure notices during the great depression. I think it is exaggerated, because that's clearly not how he gained his wealth. But he foreclosed on homes during the great depression. And the idea that he was hired because he was a big intimidating young man seems logical. But overall, good summary of his evil nature in business. May the man rot.
  18. NYCTK
    Not Boras's decision to make. Like I said, it's as useful talking about the Twins signing Soto. What is actually interesting is NEXT offseason, and a new obscenely rich owner perhaps deciding he wants to overpay to bring in a different (and better) first baseman Vlad Jr. We know he hates the Yankees and doesn't want to play for them, so that makes it more interesting for the rest of the league.
  19. NYCTK
    There's no contract that the Twins will offer that the Mets don't match. BTW it's looking like 3 years $100 with annual opt outs.
  20. NYCTK
    Well, the the range of outcomes also includes a season where Wallner hits 200, Festa needs TJ, SWR has a 5.7 ERA, etc etc and the Twins win 70.
  21. NYCTK
    He's not signing with the Twins. This is no less irrational than hoping Soto would have signed with the Twins.
  22. NYCTK
    69-79 against teams that weren't literally the worst team in mlb history.
  23. NYCTK
    Frankly, too few.
  24. NYCTK
    Fangraphs.
  25. NYCTK
    Outside of Brooks Lee, that's not even true. We'll see if he's able to earn a full time position in 2025. Martin, Castro, and Farmer were utility players whose entire job it is to move around the field. And Miranda just wasn't good enough to earn a full time spot anywhere so he was slotted in occasionally out of position once he lost his spot at 3rd. There's no enough spots on the roster for every player to have one set position. And the Dodgers showed that position versatility is a huge asset, not some detriment to the players and team.
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