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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    I think extending pitchers that aren't locks in the rotation would be foolish. But Keaschall would be wise with the potential changes in arbitration, early years for team controlled players coming up next season. Those years could potentially become significantly more expensive.
  2. NYCTK
    I don't agree with your philosophy. Just because someone's on the roster doesn't mean they need to be getting regular playing time. Outman is the perfect example and is currently in a perfect role. He's perfectly fine to roster, just as a 5th OF, Buxton insurance, occasional pinch runner, etc. Cutting him in favor of someone like Roden doesn't help Roden. It would just mean Roden is getting inconsistent playing time in the majors instead of continuing to show he's too good for AAA. In the event one of the main OF got injured, Outman could continue in that sporadic role while elevating people around him.
  3. NYCTK
    Today it basically was! 2 degrees warmer and people will be complaining!
  4. NYCTK
    Fair. Could say the season should have been pushed back a week. But people complaining about the weather in the first two weeks of the season is always going to be a thing. Heck, people complaining that the Twins didn't build a roof means people complain about the weather all season long. Death, taxes, and complaining about the weather.
  5. NYCTK
    I mean, global warming means this sort of happenstance is inevitable. They started the Twins on a week-long road trip. Do you want it to be a mandated 2 week road trip to open the season every year? The Mets home opener was 70 degrees, and then I went to the game on Saturday afternoon and the real feel temp was 35 degrees. Just gotta roll with the punches.
  6. NYCTK
    High leverage is interesting, because both Fangraphs and BRef have different cut-offs. But I'm interested where you see that, because both FG and BR splits show him with BAD leverage splits, which is my biggest concern with him - that he's merely a stat padder.
  7. NYCTK
    I do get the sentiment, but he's at 720! It's not like he only has a few months of play at this point. How good can he be to eliminate any concerns in the first 3/4 of those 1000 trips to the plate? Meanwhile Austin Martin (who I still don't like but do want to be proven wrong about) has 445 and Alan Roden is sitting in AAA with only 153. I'm not advocating giving up on him, but I really don't see his poor defense and poor bat contributing in a truly significant way on the next good Twins team.
  8. NYCTK
    I somewhat agree, in that I can see him on a good roster, but I still see him as a deeply flawed player that is optimistically a 12th man. Pinch runner with occasional starts at 2B and LF, and subbing in at SS when absolutely necessary. But because he can't play a good SS, I still wouldn't bet on him. If he were just a little bit better on defense, he could have made a good career as a utility player. I assume he'll be out of options come 2028, and 29 years, so I just think that role is going to be filled by someone else.
  9. NYCTK
    Same can be said for most of the roster at this point. If we're saying, optimistically, that the Twins could be contenders in 2028 I don't see any position player on this roster that will be a real contributor aside from Luke Keaschall. Buxton could age gracefully (but would be on the last year of his contract), Wallner could be a decent DH, and Lee could potentially take a big turn and prove valuable somewhere, but otherwise, I don't see meaningful playing time for anyone in 2028 on this roster. That being the case, those 4 should be getting all the playing time their bodies will allow, at the position they could reasonably be expected to be playing in 2028, and everyone else just...disappear for all I care.
  10. NYCTK
    The thing is, he's not nearly a good enough hitter to be as bad a fielder as he is. You compared him to Kepler, but yes, Kepler was a far better fielder and just as good of a hitter. Wallner gets a lot of hate for his defense too, but not many called for his release because most still recognize that his bat is significantly better than Larnach. Larnach just isn't good at any aspect of the game. He's merely adequate at a lot of things, and he's not going to be part of the next good Twins team.
  11. NYCTK
    .
  12. NYCTK
    Well, for example, against the Rays he did this: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=a27e7ac5-6234-3f02-995e-55e174d0b7b3 https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=efcc6ab3-1c22-30e0-90a0-8cdaa1a868e9 Worrying about the exact numbers is just pedantry. We all know he's a bad fielder that costs runs in LF. Funderburks career ERA is still inflated by 0.41 because of one inning with Trevor Larnach. Which is also why reliever ERA is nearly useless.
  13. NYCTK
    Wallner demonstrating both the good and the bad today. Gotta think most RF get to that ball. It was in the air for a 10 count!
  14. NYCTK
    That ball had a 90% catch rate according to Statcast. Buxton is not only no longer an elite CF, he's probably best viewed as league average out there.
  15. NYCTK
    I actually missed that the Twins signed Drew Smith. Good get. He could eventually slot into the high leverage mix. Absolutely. I still say there's a decent chance both that: The 2026 Bullpen performs better than the pre-deadline 2025 Bullpen The Bullpen performs the best relative to the rest of the league, compared to the offense, defense, and rotation
  16. NYCTK
    It's not impossible they could have gotten Sproat or Jack Wenninger for the two years of Ryan. Brewers sent Tobias Myers which helped get the second Top 100 guy in Sproat, so it's hard to say, especially since the Twins lacked someone to add to the deal like Myers. Maybe Vientos. He's out of options and his defense is atrocious and I was hoping he got the chance to go elsewhere where he could play 1B/DH every day, and the Mets couldn't have asked for much in return. I think Jett and Vientos would have been really fun return for Ryan. High value athlete, and big bopper at 1B who'd have been no worse than Bell on defense. Maybe one of the many AA pitchers as a third for funsies.
  17. NYCTK
    Nah. Mets got their guy in Peralta already. They'll trade for bullpen arms again. Still disappointed the Mets and Twins didn't match up. I would have loved Jett Williams on the Twins. I still think he would have been the opening day SS.
  18. NYCTK
    If you constantly play for one run, you'll end up scoring less runs. The middle innings of a tie game with a bad bullpen are arguably the worst time to play for one run, situationally.
  19. NYCTK
    I'm impressed that you're now showing great confidence in the Twins bullpen in limiting runs by the opposing team. Rare opinion on this website to be sure.
  20. NYCTK
    He's now played about 2,000 innings in the OF in his professional baseball career. I'm sorry, but getting behind a ball and knowing the situation and where you're throwing is not something that you really need time to develop. A lot of players either have the skill, instincts, and acumen for a position or you don't. Martin seems to have most of the skills, and his reads are mostly acceptable that he SHOULD be fine in LF, but his baseball IQ just seems really poor at that position. This was my read as well. I don't put any blame on Lee's positioning at all. The LF shouldn't really need a cutoff man to get it 2B from that position regardless. Martin received that flyball like an infielder, just catching it and then getting it out of his hands as fast as he could while off balance, rather than getting underneath it and crow hopping that baby in with some oomph.
  21. NYCTK
    I mostly agree. If you're just coldly following the expectations, you become predictable and easier to defend. The element of surprise has value as well. I would hate a manager that is bunting in that situation a LOT, but they are more than welcome to do so from time to time to try to spark something.
  22. NYCTK
    Sure, in a half season he had really good results, but his xFIP was still a pretty middling and his career before then was also middling. I'm not gonna say he's a bad pitcher, but I don't think anyone has him as a top 20 pitcher coming into the season.
  23. NYCTK
    The Orioles don't really have an ace. So, yeah, those numbers do take all those possibilities into account.
  24. NYCTK
    Well, at least now we're in the AI age where a bunch of idiots in charge of things think they can now cut staff rather than investing in the business. The enshitification of everything must continue. Things are going to get a lot worse yet, before they some day get better.
  25. NYCTK
    I'll never buy into this reasoning all that, much. The spending didn't follow the revenue. The spending drove the revenue. Twins fans aren't avoiding Target Field because they might go to a Vikings game in 6 months. But it probably does make it easier to more quickly draw the attention of the public, and hold it too.
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