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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    Lol, I was just about to say this, but sarcastically. The fact his dad is a coach means absolutely nothing. I don't know why anyone ever mentions it. Fans generally get way too hyped for prospects. Brooks Lee was never going to be a star. He had a high floor, a great chance of quickly making the big leagues, which was his only real selling point when he was drafted in the first round. There were always concerns about him from day one, and we now are seeing why. This is why you should get information from sources other than Twins fan sites and the Twins themselves. It's OK to get information from people hyped about prospects, but it's helpful to pour cold water on that enthusiasm from time to time as well. (this advice extends past just baseball, for obvious reasons) The next prospect that I'm afraid is going to really disappoint fans on this site is probably going to be Gonzalez. Not that he doesn't have real skills, but he's not a top prospect for multiple good reasons. He's a good prospect that might be able to eventually hit .280 in the majors with some pop and bad defense. A good 2.5 WAR player is nothing to be disappointed in, but it's inevitable when you're expecting an All-Star.
  2. NYCTK
    Why should fans be blindly positive towards a team that doesn't warrant it? An inability to criticize something is not fandom or loyalty. That's sycophancy. I see someone hasn't ever had to deal with a busted sewage pipe.
  3. NYCTK
    The Pipeline article pipeline has already been established. The Pipeline pipeline will remain until morale improves.
  4. NYCTK
    Obviously impossible to predict Stearns thoughts. But Mets fans are kind of done with Vientos. It's a pretty crowded roster right now and he can't really play anywhere. He needs to be just fully committed to 1B and prove passable there. But because he's slow as hell and bad on defense, his value is so much lower than you would expect for someone capable of a 30 HR season. But he should be on a team with fewer expectations so he can get full time play and try to recapture his swagger from 2024. I think Mets fans would be with a return of someone like Morris, and like someone else suggested, some low level prospect with no hype around them but a bit of hope. Mets pitching scouting has been exceptional these last couple years so could see them identifying some arm they like. Baty is a different story. Mets fans like him and his defense is adequate to good at both 2nd and 3rd, and many think they will get him reps in LF to insure against a Carson Benge rookie flop. His versatility is a big boon and fans have grown to like him quite a lot. I think the front office feels the same about both players.
  5. NYCTK
    I'd be hesitant to agree with you, but Brooks is just so bad on both sides of the game that I think this is the worst idea. I think I'd still probably start him in the minors but as long has an ops of 600 (or peripherals suggesting it) I'd keep aggressively promoting him. This front office just really ****ing blows man.
  6. NYCTK
    Bring back Dice-Ks Gyroball!
  7. NYCTK
    Bichette has an opt out after one season. But otherwise agree and Mets fans agree. Vientos seems like he has no role on the squad but if he somewhere like Minnesota he could get a lot of playing time and hit 30 HR. It'd be with terrible defense and frustrating at bats though. Would have been a good move instead of signing Josh Bell. But with Bell can't see the Twins wanting him now.
  8. NYCTK
    Not one of the major ones, but some dude online puts out a list, and it's wildly different than the big outlets. Puts some more names on radar. He likes the Twins pitching prospects right now, with all of Hill, Soto, and Prielipp on there. https://tjstats.ca/2026/01/27/2026-top-100-prospects/
  9. NYCTK
    Mets aren't really a fit at all. They have plenty of major league pitching depth and an actual pitching pipeline that has a lot of good arms in the high minors. They were a fit when Joe Ryan was being discussed, being someone in the front of the rotation instead of the back. That being said, the Mets might trade Vientos for very little in return. A good RP-bound arm with many options, like Festa or even Morris. I just don't think the Twins would pay enough for Baty, which I think Stearns would require a real prospect, like Houston AND Festa.
  10. NYCTK
    Lawlar BBTV is pretty much useless because it often says something ridiculous like this. Compare him to Alan Roden. I kind of like Roden, but he's in a somewhat similar situation to Lawlar. He's a post hype "prospect" that murdered AAA and struggled in very limited MLB opportunities. But whereas Roden is down to his last chance to impress, now 26 years old, Lawlar doens't turn 24 until the second half of this season. How is Alan Roden's "value" 3x that of Jordan Lawlar? BBTV should only be used as one small tool, not a basis for trade proposals.
  11. NYCTK
    Yes. But Tigers have always been the team most willing to spend when they think they're ready to field a contender, and they not only have a better TEAM right now, with good young core players, but they also have a better farm system with near MLB ready top prospects. If their front office thinks Riley Greene, Max Clark, McGonigle, Colt Keith, and Kerry Carpenter are their core to build around, we could see consistent big spending to field good teams around them.
  12. NYCTK
    The San Diego Padres showing the path. As recently as 2018 the Minnesota Twins and the San Diego Padres were very comparable, similar market size, similar franchise value. Since then, the Padres have spent around $500 million more in their payroll, seeing about $350 million returned back to the team in elevated attendance and other revenue sources. As a reward, the Padres are nearing a sale of their franchise, and their asking price is $800 million higher than the Twins were seeking. And it looks like they're going to get it, at least most of the way there. The Pohalds are terrible business people.
  13. NYCTK
    The two trade deadlines prior he was nearly inactive. He was passive.
  14. NYCTK
    The Twins franchise value was an estimated $1.025 B when Falvey started. With his departure, the franchise value is about $1.75 B. That's an annual return of 4.5%. The Pohalds view him as a failure. In baseball, his teams won a single 3 game playoff series, (partially) in an era of expanded playoffs. The fans view him as a failure. He wasn't a complete disaster, but there's very little good that came of this era. He gets a D.
  15. NYCTK
    When there's that small of a sample size (153 PA), it's often more helpful to look at high minors numbers. Compare him to Larnach's and Martin's high minors numbers at the same age. PA AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO BB% K% Larnach 293 0.255 0.355 0.406 0.761 0.151 11.3% 29.0% Martin 1206 0.262 0.401 0.363 0.765 0.101 14.2% 19.0% Roden 881 0.303 0.403 0.475 0.877 0.172 12.0% 13.6% It's not ridiculous to look at these three players and think that Roden has a significantly better skillset, and therefore ceiling. Larnach's and Martin's major league skills have translated basically exactly as expected and Roden's have not thusfar. But rather than concluding he's a bust after a quarter season, it's far more reasonable for a team like the Twins to give Roden more play because the struggles he's shown likely are a mirage. Neither his K rate or BB rate seem in line with what he showed in the high minors. Royce Lewis had 153 PAs by his 42nd game with a 580 OPS last season. It would be as foolish to completely give up on Royce as it would be to give up on Roden. None of this is to say I'm even a fan of Roden. I think he's more appropriate as a 4th OF, but I want to see him play nearly every day for a 74 win team to see what he can actually do.
  16. NYCTK
    Eh, how closely will the check that? I know Citi Field had a similar program and often times the SRO ticket I was buying on the secondary markets were from these plans.
  17. NYCTK
    Yes, in a quarter season worth of play split between two different organizations. Anyone making conclusions on that run is a fool. It adds a question mark, but like I said, I'd probably trade Larnach for him, one for one.
  18. NYCTK
    Gotta somehow avoid dropping to 1.5 million attendance. Each one of these Twins Pass sales counts as 80 in attendance whether or not people actually use them!
  19. NYCTK
    Then he wouldn't get as many meatballs and he'd suffer. Wallner Career PA AVG OBP SLG OPS wOBA Low Leverage 507 0.267 0.367 0.591 0.958 0.403 Med/High Leverage 465 0.191 0.318 0.369 0.687 0.308
  20. NYCTK
    What's with the ****ing on Roden? Alan Roden has a ZiPS projected RC+ of 104 Trevor Larnach has a ZiPS projected RC+ of 103 In addition, Roden is significantly better with the glove and significantly more agile. Larnach is NOT at a different level than Roden. They are both on the same level, and tbh I'd trade Larnach straight up for a player like Alan Roden.
  21. NYCTK
    Why/How are we SURE that these choices weren't his? Ty France was a $1 mil contract. It was a good contract. The selling of the bullpen was a fine decision, and the first time in 3 trade deadlines that the Twins actually made any significant move, which is extremely damning on its own. Why are we SURE he didn't want to trade away Jax and Duran? He was handcuffed? He was the guy in charge of the roster and he was paid to put together a winning roster. His own lack of imagination or creativity isn't anyone's fault but his own. Correct. He was nothing but an ass-kissing corporate type. I have no patience for these lot. No integrity, constantly only trying to save their own position of power and/or wealth. No one should feel even slightly bad for Derek Falvey.
  22. NYCTK
    Andrew Morris didn't make top 100 because he's never been highly regarded as a prospect. Zebby DID make Top 100 lists. Their #4 overall prospect is a pitcher older than 23 more than 2 years removed from college.
  23. NYCTK
    With the updated Baseball Prospectus 101 released today it's worth pointing out there are no Twins pitching prospects on the list. Walker Jenkins - #19 Emmanuel Rodriguez - #48 Eduardo Tait - #54 Kaelen Culpepper - #71
  24. NYCTK
    Very obviously not. Eight years into his pipeline, one year ago, the TwinsDaily staff chose Marco Raya as the Twins 5th best overall prospect. And today, with Falvey's departure, the highest regarded pitching prospect for the Twins, Prielipp, ranks outside the top 50 prospects in the league, completely outside the top 100 by most prospect evaluators. This system is probably somewhat better than when Falvey took it over. But funny enough, Keith Law ranked the Twins farm #21 going into the 2017 season, and now, at the end of Falvey's reign, Law recently ranked them....#21.
  25. NYCTK
    Spotrac. If you wanna quibble with the exact numbers, the point remains. Thinking the Twins can't possibly ever approach the top half or even top ten payrolls in the league is just non-factual. Of course they could. Say, after 2023 they invested instead of what they did. That's a lot of additional revenue they cost themselves.
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