Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

SaberNerd

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    143

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by SaberNerd

  1. SaberNerd
    Martin walks more, but Madrigal struck out way less in the minors. His K% were 3-5% in the minors and was 8% last year. Martin was 17% in AAA. Neither player has shown a good quality of contact, which limits their average as well as their power. Madrigal hits .280 for his career even though he strikes out as rarely as Arraez who hits .326
  2. SaberNerd
    Wallner had 46PA in the majors against LHP. He had 83 in AAA last year and had a 1.060 OPS. He also had a .143 BABIP in the majors against them, and had similar K% rates against RHP and LHP (but lower BB% against LHP). Way too much analysis and freaking out over a 46PA sample size.
  3. SaberNerd
    There were some national guys who thought the same thing. Won't succeed if he doesn't add more velo, but a few teams (us included) are much better at doing that than anybody is at developing changeups. Fastball also has the right spin to succeed even if the average fastball is only 92-93.
  4. SaberNerd
    It seems to be a major part of their strategy. Just the last year, they drafted a pitcher from Southern Miss, Bethune-Cookman, South Alabama, California Baptist, Riverside CC, Angelo State, and Hope International U. Its a lot easier to significantly improve a player if you are taking someone who has never had top-level instruction.
  5. SaberNerd
    Weiss has consistently shown the ability to strike out hitters at the MLB level, and his rate of allowing homers will likely come down, but control has been an issue. I doubt he starts the year in the majors, but he's not a bad option for 10th on the depth chart.
  6. SaberNerd
    He's walked at every level, but if he has anemic power MLB pitchers will not be walking him 10+%. Doesn't need to have even average power, just enough to make pitchers respect him.
  7. SaberNerd
    Last year's bullpen team stats were heavily drawn down by Lopez, Alcala, Balazovic, and Headrick throwing 102 IP and combining for -1.8 fWAR. Stewart/Duran are as good as any other teams top 2.
  8. SaberNerd
    He's not exciting, but he's a solid arm and there are less solid arms than bullpen slots in MLB.
  9. SaberNerd
    He's significantly worse than Castro. We can sign another OF, and Lee will likely be ready midseason to play 2B/3B/SS. I do not have any interest unless it is a minor-league contract.
  10. SaberNerd
    I think there is definitely still room. Gordon is a decent player, with Kepler, Wallner (and Larnach) all being lefties, I'd much rather have a 4th OF that can help mitigate that. And Gordon is 28, so he likely isn't getting much better than he already is. Martin is the only prospect who seems like an option this year, and I'd like to see him do better at AAA before having him be a significant piece. MAT would give us Buxton insurance. Pham would be a significant upgrade over Wallner/Kepler vs LHP. Grichuk would be cheap, even if he is only viable as a platoon RF/LF. Could also get someone via trade, which shouldn't be that expensive in $ or in prospects.
  11. SaberNerd
    Definitely not the most exciting move, but its only 5M. Helps the lineup against LHP, and if Kirilloff gets hurt he gives at least a decent option until Miranda/Lee/Severino show that they are ready.
  12. SaberNerd
    In his short time in the majors, the cutter looks like a legitimately plus pitch; had a 35% Whiff rate. However, his 4-seamer was awful, despite having above-average velo. Neither the slider or changeup are impressive, but they were mediocre in a small sample. If they can fix the 4seam he could be something, but most likely it doesn't improve and he doesn't last on the 40 man the whole year.
  13. SaberNerd
    Agree with a lot of other that Soler would be good if we can get him on a 2 yr deal. 3 yr deal gives too much chance of it turning into a nightmare contract. No interest in Duvall, as he really isn't much better again LHP than RHP (career wRC+ of 100 vs 97). Would much rather go with Pham due to hitting LHP better.
  14. SaberNerd
    We need to add an OF, not subtract our most reliable one.
  15. SaberNerd
    One of the big factors to consider in early extensions is how much the player signed for initially. Keith was a 5th round pick who signed for 500K, so him signing this deal gives him "Set for life" money. Lee got 5.6M, so it's a lot easier for him to bet on himself when he already has a lot in the bank. Players who aren't financially set are much more likely to give up expected earnings in exchange for guaranteed ones
  16. SaberNerd
    Really meh about Solano. Would mean that Miranda goes to AAA, and I'd rather figure out if Miranda can bounce back than go for a solid rental player. If needed, it shouldn't be hard to get a Solano-level player via trade midseason. Ideally, we get a 4th OF that can hit LHP well to platoon with Kepler/Wallner and can fill in for Buxton when he gets hurt. Gordon would be fine if he wasn't a lefty. Of the FA players, MAT is probably the best available for this, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a trade to fill this.
  17. SaberNerd
    Fangraphs currently only has a single projection system for 2024 predictions, so we can look at a non-fantasy based ranking 2024 Projections - Steamer | FanGraphs Baseball Twins rankings are 7 Lopez 38 Ryan 70 Ober 81 Paddack 118 Varland (although it has him as mixing between starting and relief) Ryan had elite K/BB last year, and the models believe he'll be better (but still bad) at limiting HRs than 2023
×
×
  • Create New...