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SaberNerd

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Everything posted by SaberNerd

  1. SaberNerd
    Biggest question for him is how the defense is. Last year was his worst defensive year and his lowest sprint speed. He's been a slightly below average defender before last year, which works as a platoon OF with his bat.
  2. SaberNerd
    MLBPipeline had Gordon 5, Nola 6 and Turner 14. And our new backup catch Alex Jackson 4. Man that HS class was bad at the top. Three HS pitching busts, including the top 2 picks
  3. SaberNerd
    The big miss on Gordon is everyone thought he was a plus SS and he became a LF.
  4. SaberNerd
    He's going to be 38, and he wasn't good his last year in STL. I'll pass on someone his age becoming the player he was 3 years ago
  5. SaberNerd
    Twins traded the pick for a prospect rather than cash (my guess is SF is paying the draft fee). Org can't be too strapped for cash if they choose that
  6. SaberNerd
    Twins weren't going to pick anybody, so they auctioned the pick to the highest bidder. Giants paid to move up so he didn't get taken. You aren't allowed to trade draft picks, but you can immediately trade the player after picking. It's pretty common in the Rule 5
  7. SaberNerd
    Currently, they only have 1 projection updated for 2026, and they will add a few more once those people run their numbers so this will change. Looking at the players, they love Keaschall, have Lewis bounce back and have Lee being an average player. On the pitching side, Zebby, Bradley, and SWR are all solid starters, and they have Festa as our best reliever with Sands close behind. We are going to live or die by our youth this year.
  8. SaberNerd
    Chances for the Twins to have each pick rounded: 1: 22.3%, 2: 20.8%, 3: 18.4%, 4: 14.8%, 5: 10.6%, 6: 6.7%, 7: 6.2%, 8: 0.2%
  9. SaberNerd
    Don't see any reason to look at trading Lee and/or Lewis this offseason. We are a rebuilding team and those are the type of players we want next year. If they aren't good enough to play here, why would someone else give up a good player for them?
  10. SaberNerd
    Abel added a sweeper already. It looks like a legit strikeout pitch and should help him get RHH out; he's been better against LHH even though he's a righty.
  11. SaberNerd
    Jacob Wilson (6th) has been really good for the A's. Rhett Lowder (7th) looked good last year, but injuries have limited him to 7IP in 25. Blake Mitchell (8th) has been strikeout prone in the low minors but is still a solid prospect. Chase Dollander (9th) is struggling pitching in COL. Noble Meyer (10th) is showing why teams don't like to take HS pitchers high. Definitely was the right move to just take Jenkins. Would rather have Wilson right now, but those 5 players were all viewed as roughly the same caliber at the time so nowhere near a safe bet we would have taken Wilson.
  12. SaberNerd
    Still time left. Skenes wasn't even the top college pitcher a year before he was drafted and wasn't a sure fire top 5 pick
  13. SaberNerd
    Mostly what I want out of remaining games. Buxton/Keaschall/Lee/Martin looked good, and then a bullpen scrub(s) that is getting sent to the shadow realm at the end of the season blows the game to help the tank. Just wish SWR would have been better.
  14. SaberNerd
    In these shorter stints, Raya has been able to increase his spinrate on both the breaking pitches and fastball, but hasn't had a velo increase. Hopefully he's in the MLB bullpen come September, wonder how the numbers would look in just an inning.
  15. SaberNerd
    Morris and Raya both didn't throw many pitches their last start, and it looks like that was planned. Wonder if they are looking at bringing them up for a September bullpen arm?
  16. SaberNerd
    I like the idea of a 4th pitch, but with a guy who gets >3000RPM on the slider, curveball should be the first thought and consider a sweeper.
  17. SaberNerd
    Agree on the Ks, but he was at 27% the first week and 17% the next. Part of the rationale of sending top college guys to A ball is to let them get the rust off and used to playing every day.
  18. SaberNerd
    Think there is a good chance Abel's next start is in the majors, especially with Adams getting sent down. Looking back at Joe Ryan, he made 2 starts with us in the minors before getting the call.
  19. SaberNerd
    That almost certainly doesn't win with Skubal/Crochet in the 2.4s, but he could legitimately get 3rd place. Could even rise to 2nd if one of them blows up.
  20. SaberNerd
    When you suggest that the Twins could move to Montreal, I can't take you at all seriously. How did the last team there work out?
  21. SaberNerd
    Rojas has been rocky, but there is plenty to like there. Fastball/slider/changeup all miss bats, but I think he needs to add a slower pitch with more movement. He's only 22 with 14IP in AAA and 18.2 in AA, so he's probably spending at least the first half of next year at AAA before he gets a taste of the majors.
  22. SaberNerd
    This FO has drafted guys who could hit and worked on catching rather than the other way around. Worked with Jeffers, who most had as a 1B out of college
  23. SaberNerd
    Abel threw some sweepers today, which he hadn't thrown in a game in AAA or the majors. Threw that and the changeup for 10% of his pitches each, and didn't have control of either. Guessing they are keeping him down to work on those, as he wasn't using his curve as much which is his best secondary and maybe best pitch.
  24. SaberNerd
    Did Rocco forget to tell Keaschall we are tanking?
  25. SaberNerd
    An extension could turn out bad, but if he works out is extremely valuable. Doing it now significantly lowers the cost, as he isn't sure that he'll make it either. I want the Twins to make these moves because they are generally team friendly deals. Not sure that Keaschall would turn down a 40M guaranteed contract, even with giving up options for his peak years
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