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The Wise One

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Everything posted by The Wise One

  1. 10/3.5 does not equal 2.3. ERA last year was closer to 3 than 4. If you are going to chastise me for looking at what happened in the past, you really ought to not do it yourself. Gonsalves and Mejia are not anywhere near the same as prospects. A pitcher with 2 pitches still needing polishing. Mejia with the weight/suspension issues is not anywhere near Gonsalves for a prospect. Mejia was received for a utility player having a career year. Santana should fetch more than that. Like Dozier, a team that would trade for Santana is a win in the next couple of years mode.
  2. My sentiment towards Santana has not changed. He has been, is, and likely for his contract will be a solid starter. In regards with fangraphs projections, what has been their accuracy? About like the weatherman's?
  3. Yup, every player is going to age, skills diminish. At what point is individual differences. At what level a currently 29 year old player will decline has many factors. Teams pick up veterans for short term. There is no reason to think Dozier will decline in the near future. Considering what the Red Sox gave up for Sale, the Twins would not get enough in trade for Dozier to get Archer without giving up Sano.
  4. last year only 20 pitcher pitched every 5th game for the whole season. That Santana was a worthless bum and pitched in a mediocre number of games (30) should not be held against him since only 45 starting pitchers did better than his measly 30 games.
  5. If you are talking about a player that peaks as less than a top 100 player, why would you want to take a player that has a low chance for success for a player who has been fairly consistent about having some success who really does not cost much?
  6. Did the alleged source say what was being offered? If so, did it resemble a bunch of low upside prospects. The few tradeable assets the Twins have should not be wasted on getting a pile of low ceiling prospects. Their system already has those. Rightfully, the Twins ought to be holding up the deal. Quality for quality. For the people saying that being over 30 is a negative, Jaromir Jagr says hello. For those that bother to look, the aging curve is not a line but a swath. Power does not age as quickly as speed. Nobody ever accused Dozier of being a speedburner
  7. the drafting players as a bad source of talent as you portray in your numbers would require an explanation of where the traded players, free agents and minor league free agents come from but the between 70-80% of players that were drafted players. you need to have consistent drafting
  8. Urias has probably pitched enough in the majors to not be considered a prospect. Offering more veterans is not going to get Urias. Now if you were offering Sano and Dozier for Urias and prospects, the Dodgers might consider it.
  9. LA Times states that the Twins are not terribly motivated to trade Dozier. Elsewhere in the same article they say the Twins would have to be blown away by the offer..
  10. 100 mph balls far out of the zone are of no use. Nor are pitches that have little movement.
  11. You have never lead a group of people, have you? You have no idea in a group of inexperience what a difference a vocal leader can be.
  12. To compare Hunter's situation in Detroit to the situation he was in when he joined Minnesota is as funny as the Angels comment.
  13. Yes, Milwaukee added him in the last couple of weeks, now he is an Oriole. So it would appear that you can outright off the 40 man players just added.
  14. Hunter was not a leader on any of those teams, nor was he brought in to be one. One player having a 20+ games in the standings is a hyperbole argument. Trout is the only non juiced current player to score a WAR over 10. Correlating the fall of the Angels to Hunter is funny. I guess he caused the pitching to go haywire on the Angels because he was loose and they wanted to be uptight
  15. Adam Brett Walker says that they waived him so you are incorrect.
  16. 2013 was a decent year. It is odd how quick people forget that he was well thought of as a prospect, bypassed AAA, and had an All Star Season (likely everyone else in the Brewers lineup was bad or suspended)
  17. The McCann and Martin contracts say that the Castro free agent contract is more than team reasonable. Last year 24 players signed contracts for more than 24 million Last year about 30 players got free agent contracts worth more than 8 million a year. His number is not outlandish. When teams are done signing players Castro will not be a big splash.
  18. Nolasco pitching like he did for the Angels might be a good candidate considering how he pitched here. It is not like the players were blowing holes in their garage walls with guns. Most of the players seemed to play up to their capabilities.
  19. It is not the number of balls called strikes that is important here. How quick the people here have forgotten Doumit and pinto behind the plate and having anything that was not a straight fastball down the middle be called a ball as often as a strike. If the pitcher thinks they have to pitch to a postage stamp sized strike zone, nothing good will happen. Suzuki was a little above average at just below 15 % Castro was among the best. If you look at the best pitch framers getting 8-10 % of the balls called strikes thinking that would be a good thing, consider this, if it expands the strike zone in the pitcher's mind they end up throwing more balls than strikes due to trying to get a strike. The analysis I can't seem to find is do pitchers end up throwing more balls where it is tougher for the hitter to hit hoping to get a strike call with a pitch framing catcher. Stealing pitch totals are nice, but does it have an effect on the pitcher? Quotes by a few pitchers on bad catchers leads me to think the strikes not being balls is very important to the pitcher. Can't find out if the other scenario holds or not. Jack would probably know, but since he has not been fired, probably can't say.
  20. I can't see how it is a bad thing to bring back players who had long careers in the major league through hard work that maximized their talents. All had struggles yet reached great heights as players. I have no clue if they would be great coaches, but they sure would be great resources. When someone who has talked to them about how to play baseball shares that conversation there can be an informed opinion on them as coaches. They would certainly have a clue about the game as they never got by on talent alone.
  21. No scouting site has put him in the top 100 ranking. Sickels did not have him in his 2017 top 20. Longshot is most any minor league player Any prospect outside of a top 20 as their highest ranking is a longshot to be a significant player. The odds look better because you remember the successes, not the failures. For every Dozier who became good as a never top 100 player there are thousands of cup of coffee or less players. Walker needs to have some good luck as the Brewers have added a lot of potential with their trades.
  22. If he is not listening to coaching and having a spectacular failure rate striking out so much the better for moving on from him.
  23. Waiver pickups seem to go by leagues when the players are waived even during the off season. Minor leagues are not aligned by major league teams so the reason wouldn't be familiarity.
  24. Pretty limiting on trades for Walker. If waivers go through AL teams first, nobody wanted him. 5 NL teams also in need of power and players passed.
  25. 500 or more AB at every level. for quite a few levels. 500 AB really ought to be enough to get attuned to the pitching. Likely he will get to see a lot of AAA pitching
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