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The Wise One

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Everything posted by The Wise One

  1. If he can't make it as a starter the same issue would follow him to the bullpen and hence the same results
  2. Santiago regresses to his career average for ERA. Hughes is no longer injured, Dufrey reverts closer to his 2015 form, That takes care of most of your issues as you ignore the simple fact and the lion's share of IP that contributed to the problem, Nolasco, Albers, Millone, Dean, and Meyer, are no longer with the team.
  3. The word could is not the same as would. Meyer might not beat out Bud Norris . So far this spring he is not missing as many bats when he actually gets the ball over the plate. That he could be better than Santiago at this point is more wishful thinking based on what is becoming mythical upside Slegers or Wheeler at this time would appear more likely to be an asset than Meyer.
  4. Many a great college pitcher had a year in the bullpen before starting for a year or two. So why should it become a big deal that the change happens after their third year of college.
  5. As yet, Rosario has not a single walk this spring. Hitting .375 is better than walks
  6. 10 years? First two years were minimal exposure to big leagues, 2011 and 17 were injury years. It has been argued by some smart people that 2015 Hughes could have been affected by TOS. In the six full seasons that he has played, four of them he has put up good WAR numbers. In the last 7 years he had an ERA of 4.24. FIP of 4.04. It all depends on what cherries you want to pick. Unfortunately, I still have yet to see even cherry picked numbers that say going from starting to relieving blows out arms and interferes with development. In the end Mays had some bad luck with the arm. Fraying of UCL in the past has been an overuse for that person phenomenon. There has been enough for traits to emerge. If it is as some say an overuse injury, then pitching less innings will not cause the injury. If the cause is because of increased rotation of the forearm, again bullpen time does not cause the injury.
  7. Sale pitched a year and a half in the bullpen. No weirder than your non statistical analysis that it hurts pitchers going from starter to bullpen. Considering that Hughes has had 4 seasons where he has pitched to a 2.4 WAR or better and those 4 years he would be a top 50 pitcher I can only assume that by your definition then there are almost no good pitchers out there. Since there are almost no good pitchers out there by your definition it really doesn't matter if they are bounced from the rotation to the bullpen, they are all going to be poor to mediocre pitchers anyways. .
  8. How are they a major source of income in a short season with most people involved with the club making a poverty wage? As near as I can find for estimates, season attendance is 25,000 giver or take a few people.
  9. Cris Sale, John Schmoltz, , Samardzija, Hughes, Lance Lynn all say hello
  10. There would be a relationship between launch angle, backspin, exit velocity, and the spot on the ball contact is made
  11. You know, I would really love to say something intelligent about this subject, but my physics classes were long ago. http://baseball.physics.illinois.edu/AJP-Nov03.pdf If somebody could translate, it would be appreciated
  12. The 2012 Padres were ranked as the second best farm system that year. Alonso, Grandal, Rymer Liriano, Gyorko, Erlin, Wieland and Sampson were their touted prospects that earned them their rating. Gyorko moght be the only above average player in that bunch. Rankings do not mean that much. Now the Mets that year were 15th. Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler, and Familia. Now granted arm injuries have not been kind, but a healthy Wheeler, Harvey and Familia is better for a team than what San Diego produced. Houston, ranked 25 that year had Singleton, Springer, Cosart , and Vilar among others. The end product was not that much different than the number 2 team
  13. Average starting pitcher WAR/team was 11. Ervin, Hughes and Gibson are all capable of putting up 2.5 WAR seasons . Plenty here think May would be another. There would need to be only one mediocre pitcher to have a league average staff. That would be ok if all the team wants is a league average record. It seems like the better teams have 2-3 pitchers who can get to the 4 and above level. Hughes did it once. Berrios might be that kind of pitcher in a couple years. Jay, Romero Gonsalves might be that kind of pitcher. 3-4 more years, maybe there will be an answer. It took Porcello a long time to get there. 2020 is a long ways away for seeing what they have
  14. The Twins have Kirilloff, Diaz, Blankenhorn, Javier, Ynoa, Thorpe and Rortvedt all under 20. High or medium ceilings but a long ways off. These players do not show up on the hot 100 being so far from the majors. There is talent in the pipeline, just not close. The Twins prospect ranking for those who worry about such things, would be much worse if they had drafted Trea Turner instead of Gordon.
  15. Nolasco now gets love from Twins Daily
  16. Ruesse has always been a pot-stirrer. That there are so few comments is an indictment of Ruesse's ability to still stir a pot
  17. A fact for evidence, or a complete sentence might be a good place to start to make a case.
  18. Polanco's shortcomings and short has nothing to do with him not playing short in AAA. It is not like he never played the position. It is not like it is so complex he would forget. The only bungle may be that they did not trade him before other teams figured out he is not a top shortstop.
  19. No I am not comparing them to anything. It is a simple declarative statement without any reason for the opinion. The reason could have nothing to do with my opinion of their relative talents but other factors. Saying that players will be claimed if designated for assignment means nothing more than that. It does not mean I think they should be, or should not have been DFA. Simply a statement that players would be claimed
  20. Dozier is the only player to start over 150 games for the last three years. Sano will not play 3b every game, like it or not.
  21. That is funny. What an alternative truth. The Twins starting rotation might be Hughes, May, Gibson and Santiago. By your logic, I just compared them. Funny logic.
  22. Depends on DH. If it is rotating between Vargas, Mauer Dozier, Polanco and Sano/ Vargas plays against lefthanders , That leaves about 3/4 of the games for Polamco
  23. Light will be claimed. . Chargois would be claimed. Any Twin on the 40 man not named Danny Santana will be claimed when designated for assignment That statement does not compare the 2 pitchers. Light being traded for cash means the brain wizards in Pittsburg thought he would be claimed by a team that finished worse than they did. There is no marginal to be claimed.
  24. I guess the FO followed your logic as it was Walker who was dropped, not Palka. What better arguments can there be for the average fan but the last pitcher in the bullpen, the 5th outfielder/infielder, or the makeup of the 38, 39, or 40th spot on the 40 man
  25. In the end, someone did want Light. If he becomes a useful player it is not the Twins FO that loses sleeps, or have the coulda woulda shoulda postings. That would be the Twins fans.
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