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AaronRendahl

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Everything posted by AaronRendahl

  1. AaronRendahl
    I'm ambivalent about most of the satire here, but I liked this one -- I didn't read it about Mauer though, I read it as saying that a change in ownership behavior is needed so much that even Joe Mauer would go to such lengths. The satire works only because we all know Joe wouldn't actually act like this. To be fair to your comment though, I'm often ambivalent about the satire because I often find it unclear what it's actually satirizing. So the fact that we read this differently means that this one is unclear too.
  2. AaronRendahl
    Unfortunately can't make it this year. Excited for the season to start, though -- I just finished putting together my preferred version of the schedule for posting by our family calendar, and thought perhaps others might find it helpful.
  3. AaronRendahl
    For a scorekeeper, batting around is when you have to move to the next column. :)
  4. AaronRendahl
    This is what it's about for me too. Winning is nice, but for me the most important thing is if the team is enjoying playing baseball -- that's contagious for everyone both on and off the field! I have more fun watching a team that is having fun -- and I really believe that leads to better outcomes on the field too. I've supported Rocco when people want him to "show emotion" because they usually mean "get angry or upset", and I don't think that really helps most players play better. But there's no passion or joy coming across to the audience right now! And it's not just because of the losing, even bad teams can find joy in the little things, even simply being on a baseball field on a beautiful summer day! Without that, there's not much reason for me to watch them.
  5. AaronRendahl
    While I agree that a large number of double plays aren't necessarily as bad as the OP suggested, I'm afraid this list is full of selection bias. These are hitters who DID have hits "go through the infield and over the infielders as line drives," or somehow made up for their double plays in other ways, and so had long careers as a result (and therefore their count of DP is high). You list doesn't have players who also hit into lots of double plays but DIDN'T also have the corresponding successful hits, and so had shorter careers and their count of DP is lower and they're not on this list. This season, anyway, Correa is unfortunately in the second group. :( So I'll be glad if Correa ends up on this list too -- but if he does, that'll be because he does have successful hits in addition to the double plays and has a long career. (Though I suppose he could also make the list because the FO/manager keeps playing him anyway, which is entirely too plausible...)
  6. AaronRendahl
    Yes, didn't mean to disagree with your analysis, only to say that the expected (average) runs is not really the right stat to look at to make that case.
  7. AaronRendahl
    Only replying here to your math (and recognizing it wasn't your main issue) as it's important to remember when looking at run expectancy that the average value is not usually sufficient for making the decision, the spread also really matters. To take something to an extreme, a situation where you're guaranteed exactly one run has exactly the same expectation as a situation where you get zero runs half the time and exactly two runs half the time. I suspect bunting is more likely to get at least one, though less likely to get two or more, while swinging is probably more likely to get both zero and two or more. That is, swinging likely leads to a more variable outcome, even though the average expectation is similar. To build on your comment about the game situation mattering, if runs are scarce, it's easy to see that bunting would be the better play, while if you're down by a couple, swinging away would be the better play. So this isn't a situation where data isn't useful, but it is a situation where you need to make sure you're looking at the right data.
  8. AaronRendahl
    This seems a good place to post my more-readable version of the 2023 schedule... perhaps others will find it helpful!
  9. AaronRendahl
    I have a subscription to The Athletic (assuming Atlantic was a typo) and you're absolutely right, it's just a recap of the winter meetings and there's nothing new here.
  10. AaronRendahl
    Well that'll make a difference for stealing second!
  11. AaronRendahl
    So I think Dick Bremer just said they were moving second base in as well -- did I hear that right, and if so, is he right? I heard they tried this last year in the minors, putting second base inside the diamond, the way first and third are, but didn't think this was part of the changes for the majors.
  12. AaronRendahl
    No mention of the national anthem? I was proud to be part of the chorus that sang the anthem on Sunday, as well as God Bless America and Take Me Out to the Ballgame during the seventh inning. We are all members of various local choruses in the Barbershop Harmony Society. It was a great experience to be on the field for the anthem! And I'll mention too that if anyone is interested in joining a chorus, most of our local choruses don't require any experience and we're always looking for new members. It's a great hobby, and next year you could get the chance to sing the anthem too! See http://northstarchorus.org/, http://minneapoliscommodores.org/, and https://loldistrict.org/regions-chapters for more info!
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