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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Parmelee is hitting? Yeah, his May was decent (.750 OPS), and much better than his April, but he's off to slow start in June again. He needs to AVERAGE a .750 OPS monthly, and so far, that's looking like his peak. If health allows, I'd throw Arcia into center and leave Parmelee alone in right, but I can't say Parmelee has really locked anything down.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Dan Barreiro was mocking the Twins on KFAN for hyping Buxton like this while the big league club stuggles. I was willing to give them the benefit of the doubt, because I just wanted to see some Twins affiliated minor league baseball, but it sounds like they are making this a Buxton hype-fest. Which does seem a little weird, definitely jumping the gun, I'd say.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    I love the idea of this, and not just for Buxton hype -- it's cool to watch minor league baseball in general, and FSN's schedule is pretty bare most of the time anyway. But yeah, the execution seems a little off. The studio hosts and split screen are a little much. Just show the game!
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Arcia got a similarly timed promotion from Ft. Myers in 2012 and debuted in MLB in early 2013. He was also a year older than Sano at the time, though, and was basically repeating A+. I highly doubt Sano opens 2014 in MLB, but it would be exciting to see him continue dominating and make a quick debut. Definitely impressive that he forced a promotion to AA already. I don't think the Cabrera stat line is of much value in comparison. Superstars rarely follow a "linear" development path -- they often make huge adjustments at the MLB level to get where they are. That said, if I had to indulge in a highly speculative minor league comparison for Sano, it might be Giancarlo Stanton. Sano is again tracking a year later in age, but the performances and promotions have some similarity so far. Stanton was promoted to MLB straight from AA around age 20 and a half, which would also mean early 2014 for Sano. But the Marlins are very agressive in that regard.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Are you using the stock Android browser? You could try Chrome or Firefox instead, might be a little better browser anyway. I know my older stock Android browser did a lot of weird page caching -- I generally have to go back to the forum via bookmark.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, according to the numbers in the article, he has a slightly HIGHER walk rate in his wins than in his losses/no-decisions. Strikeout rate is similar too. And he's only allowed 3 HR all year. Hit rate is the only real difference, which obviously leads to more runs and losses. And you will see similar splits for just about any player -- for example, Justin Verlander this year has a 2.82 ERA in his wins and a 6.55 ERA is his losses. Joe Mauer hits a lot better in Twins wins than Twins losses too. It's a pretty meaningless split when viewed in the aggregate. I guess the frequency of wins (or win-quality games) is probably more important, and to Gibson's credit, 4 of his last 5 starts have been wins, with 2 or fewer runs allowed in each win. Not sure what happened with the 5 walks, but his BB/9 rate is still just 2.9.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I doubt Plouffe has much trade value -- outside of his HR binge last year he hasn't done much nor has he stayed healthy -- although perhaps you could fetch a guy in a similar situation at a different position? Might not be one available that fits for the Twins, though. Plus, Plouffe is basically a 3B defensively by default right now. Romero and Sano have big question marks in the field too. And we're on track to have a spot at 1B opening up after the season (doesn't seem like Parmelee is staking a claim to anything right now).
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm guessing they'd like to see a bit more extended AAA performance from Romero -- his minor league career was pretty dismal prior to a solid campaign repeating AA last year at age 25, but they've held onto him for a long time so obviously they like him (or liked his potential). A call-up at some point this season should be in the cards, though, before we can lose him again in the offseason. He arguably should have been up over Colabello recently, definitely a better roster fit as a 3B while Plouffe is out. If Plouffe comes back soon, they may have to shoe in Romero as a DH/1B if he keeps producing at AAA. By the way, why was Colabello activated for the doubleheader instead of a pitcher? With all the hand-wringing about bullpen overuse, seems like an extra pitcher would have been warranted -- indeed, wasn't that the point of the added 26th roster spot for doubleheaders?
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Gleeman says Harden is basically starting from scratch again, doubts he will see any MLB action in 2013: Rich Harden?s latest comeback isn?t going so well | HardballTalk
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Just don't let him work out with Rich Harden. EDIT: Coke to 70charger. Should have read the darn thread first, but I just had to get that joke in.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    From a quick Google search for Brian Navaretto: Bench-clearing brawl, racial slurs mar high school baseball game (Video) - USA TODAY High School Sports
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Finally, a little more context: Turner's University of Mississippi program has turned out a number of notable MLB players over the years, while Butera is only Central Florida guy to get more than a cup of coffee.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Interestingly, the leading hitter on Turner's LSU Eunice teams was Dalton Herrington, who did not adapt well to NCAA baseball in 2013 at Louisiana-Monroe, in perhaps a less talented conference than Turner's too: ULM - Season Statistics Meanwhile, Turner basically replicated his junior college season at the NCAA level and was the leading hitter on his Mississippi team. Also, Butera was NOT the leading hitter on his college team, but there were a number of players drafted from it, suggesting good team/conference quality.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    I know this is a worthless exercise -- the only thing worse than college stats might be college stats without context -- but I checked anyway, and very similar age-21 college seasons for these two: Stuart Turner Baseball Statistics Drew Butera Baseball Statistics (2003-2013) Turner: .381/.452/.533 with 5 HR (.152 isolated power) Butera: .325/.434/.481 with 5 HR (.156 isolated power) Similar K/BB ratios too. In Turner's defense, he posted similar stat lines in his age-19 and age-20 seasons, albeit at junior college, whereas Butera was more or less a zero power guy before his age-21 season: 2012 LSU Eunice stats 2011 LSU Eunice stats
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Tyler Robertson's dad works in the Nationals front office (and is also a former scout for the Twins): Tyler Robertson, son of Nationals special assistant, acquired off waivers from Twins http://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Jay_Robertson
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    What was Jason Bartlett's "urgency" score on the 20-to-80 scale again? Also, didn't he leave off "consistency"?
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    No way Moses should be on this list. He was a bust, sure, but he was picked in the latter half of the first round. Those guys wash out all the time. The Twins have picked high enough, often enough that there are plenty of top picks with high expectations to choose from. How about Bryan Oelkers, picked just ahead of Dwight Gooden at 3rd overall in 1982? How about Tim Belcher, picked first overall in 1983 but did not sign (one of only two players to hold that distinction)? Or Willie Banks, 3rd overall pick?
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, those defensive stats are very opportunity-dependent. Also, of the 12 teams in the Florida State League, it looks like only about 7 of them have had a regular third baseman all season. And I think Sano leads those in games played too, so he should be expected to fare well in counting stats like chances, putouts, and assists.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    (Also, SoCal, don't know if you'll get in trouble, but I recall that the site admins here didn't want the "Article:" prefix on any thread titles for articles published outside Twins Daily. I myself saw this title in the forum sidebar, and immediately looked up and down the front page for the original article to no avail -- probably one of the situations they are trying to avoid.)
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    I feel like the Twins are still "committed" in some way to Mastroianni, which is probably silly at this point because he was a fairly marginal guy to begin with (although cheap with potential to be average), and with his injury and surgery, I would not be surprised if he does not return at 100% this season (or maybe ever). Yet the Twins have thus far refused to put another CF on the ML roster, and actually dropped the only other one besides Hicks (Benson) on the 40-man. I'm not saying we should release Mastro, but we probably shouldn't count on him for anything at this point. So holding on to other CFs, maybe even getting one some MLB playing time in a backup role, might be a good thing.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    12 games. He's got 6 doubles in that span, but otherwise it's pretty empty as far as hitting streaks go (.775 OPS): Levi Michael Minor League Gamelogs & Splits - Baseball-Reference.com He's got a .691 OPS on the season, in a league he's repeating after posting a .649 last year.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know how they do that either (at the milb.com site). The better measure will be opponent's OPS, which is part of the awesome new B-Ref minor league splits: Logan Darnell 2013 Minor League Gamelogs & Splits - Baseball-Reference.com Darnell's at .545 vs LHB, and .735 vs RHB. His league's total OPS is .723.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Does it matter that it's the AAA DL and the not the MLB disabled list? I heard that's why he can't go to the 60-day DL -- maybe it affects his DFA status too?
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting semi-related issue today: the Vance Worley article on the front page says it has 74 comments, but since it was apparently merged with an existing forum post, it only displays 69 comments, dropping the 5 that came prior to the article's post date/time. (I noticed it because the first posts under the article were quoting other posters/posts which weren't there.) Navigating to the forum thread displays all the comments properly. I love that the article and thread comments got merged -- I wonder if it would work to "back-date" the article somehow to capture those earlier comments for its display?
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    It seems like this strategy would really depend on who was available at #43, which is not only out of the Twins control, but with the hard slotting system, it seems unlikely that significantly better "signability" guys are going to fall to that point, or that an extra $750k will make a difference for them. Get the best guy you can with each pick. If you try to get cute around that, you can save money but you're not going to get better talent.
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