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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    "sure they'd hope and plan for" was the line that confused me from your post. I think they were planning enough, and less reliant on just hope, that they probably don't trade Pressly if they think he can continue pitching great.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Technically, the pick doesn't go directly to the Red Sox anymore. The signing team forfeits a pick in one spot, and the other team gains a pick in a different spot.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Nitpick, but I wonder if the Baylor and Hrbek HRs from 1987 Game 6 deserve a bit more love in these rankings.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    So they'd plan for competing... but trade Pressly without a replacement? That doesn't make sense. And I don't think "pie in the sky" is an accurate way to frame our 2019 odds -- I know we were pretty much out of the 2018 race at the trade deadline last year, but only by a couple games, and nothing about our roster suggested a crash was imminent (if anything, we probably stood a good chance of gaining a couple wins through positive regression). Obviously we weren't anyone's WS favorites, but we were 100% aiming to compete in 2019 in such a way that Pressly had clear value to us in that effort. I still think that trade was more of a bet on Pressly being unable to maintain his great performance than anything else.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    You're missing a year, as Archer is controlled through 2021. Stroman is through 2020. Also, you're discounting on quality across the board. I'd guess the Pirates preferred discount, should they even view it that way, would be a discount on quantity (i.e. i.e. lopping off the third prospect, but still aiming for similar quality in the top 2). Again, quality over quantity. If Archer is performing better than he was last summer, that could offset any potential discount too. I admit Javier is a bit of a wild card -- if he can come back soon and start raking while playing up the middle, he'd be an interesting asset. The others? I don't know. They're not bad, but they're also not special enough to think a team couldn't get comparable offers from a number of other teams, either at this deadline, this offseason, or at the 2020 deadline. Even if the Pirates or Jays saw an urgency to make a deal this summer, that package might be one of 5 or more similar ones.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Of course, the Rays have played another 5 games against the defending champ Red Sox. While they are struggling so far, I don't know if it's quite fair to lump Boston in with all the other sub-.500 teams!
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Yup. It doesn't appear that Fangraphs has altered their Cleveland projection yet since that news -- they still have Kluber projected to pitch another 160 innings this year: https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=5
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think so. The Rays got quite a bit for Archer just last summer -- a recent top 10-20, MLB ready SP prospect (Glasnow), a top-50, MLB ready OF prospect (Meadows), and the 12th overall pick from 1 year before, another SP who had also been on top 100 lists already (Baz). The Twins have a deep system, but they don't quite have assets like that yet outside of Lewis/Kirilloff/Graterol. Now, perhaps the Pirates made a questionable trade and you can't necessarily use it as a baseline, but I don't see them moving on from Archer this season without getting a considerable return. And that likely means quality over quantity. Likewise for the Jays and Stroman -- if they're not getting a great return, something to immediately jump start their rebuild around Vlad Jr., they can hold on to him for the offseason or even the 2020 deadline. If Lewis/Kirilloff/Graterol are really untouchable, the best you can probably hope for in 2019 is Bumgarner (and that might depend on how Bumgarner pitches and what kind of bidding war emerges for him).
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    No need. De Jong is already off the 40-man roster (again). They can DL IL him in the minors, or demote him in the minors, as desired the rest of the season, with no serious roster implications (beyond each affiliate's roster size, of course). (And even when he was on the 40-man, he still had an option year remaining.)
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Stroman and Archer both have team control beyond this season too, so they could be notably more expensive than Bumgarner.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    That's probably the only type of player who's available for reasonable cost right now -- a contract that another team would like to shed while they can. Although even the Shields trade netted Tatis Jr. for the Padres...
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Littell certainly hasn't been inspiring the last year, but Ynoa hasn't really distinguished himself either. Ynoa is taking a 40-man spot now too. Probably a wash? https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=ynoa--000hua
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    1. Yes, you have to be on the 40-man to be the 26th man. 2. Once you are on the 40-man, spending 20+ days in the minors will burn an option year. It doesn't really matter how many times you are added or removed from the 25-man during that season. The only thing different about being the 26th man, as opposed to a regular transaction, is it ignores the "10 day minimum" minor league stay for optioned players. (The 26th man could be someone you optioned less than 10 days before, or you could recall the same player again less than 10 days after -- serving as the 26th man doesn't reset the 10 day clock.)
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Any chance it could just be backflip related?
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    They actually avoided the second miss pretty well -- Aiken didn't sign (after the Astros cut their bonus offer to him) and they got Bergman the next year with the makeup pick. And they did manage to flip Appel in trade too.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    HOU Lineup G Springer (R) DH J Altuve (R) 2B A Bregman (R) SS M Brantley (L) LF Y Gurriel (R) 1B J Reddick (L) RF A Díaz (R) 3B R Chirinos (R) C T Kemp (L) CF B Peacock (R) P MIN Lineup M Kepler (L) RF J Polanco (S) SS N Cruz (R) DH E Rosario (L) LF C Cron (R) 1B M Gonzalez (S) 3B J Schoop (R) 2B J Castro (L) C B Buxton (R) CF J Berrios (R) P
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    I wouldn't go that far. Marwin obviously has a 29 OPS+ and Cron only has a 86 OPS+. Pineda was effectively signed as a 2019 free agent, and he has a 6.21 ERA and is averaging less than 5 IP per start. Still plenty of time for those guys to contribute more, of course, but it would be wrong to say they've been "much better" than we figured.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    I think I speak for all Twins fans when I say: let's see that bullpen! The more relievers, the better!
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    And Marwin's down in the SIXTH inning...
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    And Marwin's up in the SIXTH inning!
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Answering myself, B-Ref lists that pronunciation: mahr-TEEN PAIR-ehz
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Isn't that correct? His name is technically Martín Pérez. I think that should be pronounced differently than Perez (with no accent marks).
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Too many? ...or not enough? (Chief: Yes.)
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    The Tinkerbell effect! Let's bring Marwin's season back to life by believing in the power of El Numero Seis!
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    6 letters in Marwin. It's his uniform number 9 upside down. Lots of reasons.
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