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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    It only cost a 2nd because it required giving him a massive deal. They probably fetch a 1st + more if they didn't have to pay up like that. He's still behind Dak Prescott's $60M. Allen already had 4 years under contract so I'm not sure if those $55M seasons are coming way down the road or if it's actually a pay raise for the next 4 years.
  2. Danchat
    I don't think he will get that chance here, I believe the front office sees him as a AAAA player who could be an easy DFA to make room on the 40 man at some point in the year. I'd love to see him defy the odds, but I've seen this song and dance with other fringe prospects who looked good at AAA.
  3. Danchat
    That's a lot of money for a guy who turns 31 this year. That's more guarantees than Josh Jacobs got in a 4 year deal with the Packers and it makes him the 6th highest paid RB in the league. NFL cap inflation is gonna be a thing that we will witness the next few days, but I'm still not a fan of this move. They have to pair him with a RB2 or he will break down again by the end of the season - if not quicker now that he's older.
  4. Danchat
    Looks like Tonkin could be starting on the IL, so there is a path to keep Castellano to start with. I could see Blewett cracking the roster. I don't know about Miranda, Lee, and Julien all being on the roster with France solidified as the starting 1B. I would send Lee to AAA to get consistent PAs every day in this scenario.
  5. Danchat
    Tonkin and Topa with shoulder injuries? Yikes. Looks like Tonkin will not be on the Opening Day roster, and Topa's health just isn't holding up. Good to hear that Zebby is in good shape. I don't know much about hip flexors but I know a pitcher would much rather to be injured there than in the arm or shoulder.
  6. Danchat
    It's actually 1/$31M, I saw that 25M figure earlier tonight on Spotrac but then it updated to 31M. And the Raiders are now negotiating an extension for him that is expected to be in the $40-45M range... yikes. I think this is a bad move for them. Geno's a middle of the road QB, who was fine as a $25M per year QB, not in the 40s! I'm fairly confident that Seattle is going to land Darnold now, I doubt they make this move without having a clear idea of how to replace Geno. He's also a good fit in new OC Klint Kubiak's system. My guess is he gets 3/$105M (35 per year).
  7. Danchat
    The notable thing on Theo Jackson is that it's a "2 year extension through 2027", meaning that they must have given him a (probably low) RFA tender for 2025 and put 2/$12M on top of that. Once we see the contract details, it's going to look more reasonable and will be a bargain if he can be a solid starter, of which I think he can absolutely be.
  8. Danchat
    I was surprised to see Lewis at #9, but then scanning the rest of the list, I get it. Feels like there is a big drop-off after the top 8. Part of this is because of the number of prospects who graduated (or flunked out) last year. I am tempted to say the farm system looks weak on talent, but there are ebbs and flows.
  9. Danchat
    Alcala's numbers look similar, if not a bit better, but the Yankees wouldn't have DFA'd Tonkin if he was really pitching that well. Not to mention the Twins usage of the two made it abundantly clear that Alcala is more trusted, he was consistently pitching in games within 3 runs usually around the 6th and 7th inning, whereas Tonkin was a mop-up man, with 54% of his appearances coming in games winning or losing by 4+ runs. Alcala pitched in those situations 17% of the time.
  10. Danchat
    I disagree, break camp with the best roster possible - Winning games in April is every bit as important as winning games in August/September. If Castellano isn't going to be a viable option in the pen, either work out a trade for his rights or send him back. And I don't get the fascination with Tonkin, we will be able to find a AAAA reliever like him on the waiver wire at any point in the season.
  11. Danchat
    I would have preferred to stick with the backups they had on the roster, Quessenberry has been a fine backup in the past and had been the swing tackle for the past two years. I understand that wouldn't have been a popular move, but Cam Robinson is an overrated player whom Jacksonville had benched for Walker Little and it would have been hard for Quessenberry to be worse in those final two games (Robinson gave up 21 pressures against the Lions/Rams!). Another move that was thrown around was Brandel to LT and Risner to his natural position of LG.
  12. Danchat
    I forgot about the 7th, but the conditions were most likely hit to make it a 4th round pick: Robinson only missed about 60 snaps against the Bears and then played the entire rest of the season, so in all likelihood the Jags got our 2026 4th. So in both trades the other team got a future 4th - one for a pedestrian LT and one for a still very good LG.
  13. Danchat
    It frustrates me to see Thuney go for exactly what we got for half a season of a mediocre LT in Cam Robinson, who was every bit as bad as Darnold those final two games.
  14. Danchat
    The last stand may be over, now that he's sidelined with a shoulder injury. A while back I called Canterino the "new Nick Burdi" based on his injury history, but I think he has redefined that role. Here's hoping Prielipp can avoid this fate.
  15. Danchat
    The past few years, the "fringe" 40 man prospects usually get a full season on the roster and then get removed after the season is over (see Yunior Severino, Blayne Enlow). I don't think they flippantly put him on the roster. Fernando Romero had legitimately great stuff, not sure what exactly went wrong there. IIRC some of it was off-the-mound issues.
  16. Danchat
    Now we got Nick doing satire? Soon Twins Daily will be 100% satire... RandBalls Stu's takeover continues!
  17. Danchat
    If Varland and Alcala continue to deal, I hope the likes of Tonkin and Castellano don't stand in their way. I find it very doubtful that Tonkin lasts half the season on the roster like the other middling vets we tried last year (Jay Jackson, Staumont, Okert). Alcala has nothing left to gain pitching in the minors anyways.
  18. Danchat
    I wouldn't be surprised if they went down to 3 catchers on the 40 man roster, and I wonder about what the team thinks of Camargo the way they avoided using him in the majors last year. I don't think Gasper is going to be a factor as a catcher. If he was going to push for a backup catcher role, he's gotta convert to being a full-time (if not most-time) catcher. Until that happens I don't see it.
  19. Danchat
    The way some folks (mainly those writing articles here) talk about France act as if we won a bidding war to sign him whereas his contract guarantees him nothing. Now it's evident he'll be on the team and for at least the start of the year will get a lot of PAs, but it's essentially a minor league contract, implying that other teams didn't see him as other of being on a major league roster. This has shades of Logan Morrison, who was also 30 at the time of signing...
  20. Danchat
    While SWR did run out of gas at the end of the year and I am leery of his stuff holding up... well, you can say the same and worse about Paddack, who has only been healthy enough to cross enough 100 innings twice in his career, and he has very hittable (10.4 hits/9, 1.4 HR/9). What would there be to gain to start SWR in AAA? He should be locked in the rotation to start the year.
  21. Danchat
    While I don't find moving on from Rooker to be a big blunder on our front office compared to others, I'm down for giving Julien more chances to see if he can rebound rather than France can get back to being a replacement level player to maybe a little more. The situations are different too as Rooker couldn't shift to 1B/DH with Sano/Cruz filling those and he was a butcher in the outfield and actively hurt the team when he was out there. Meanwhile the current competition at 2B and 1B is very lackluster and there is absolutely going to be PAs for Julien to prove himself if they let him.
  22. Danchat
    Let's put this to the test, going back to 2019 let's look at our top prospects: Royce Lewis - Hit Alex Kirilloff - Miss Brusdar Graterol - Mixed bag as he has been an above average reliever Trevor Larnach - Mixed bag so far Austin Martin - Poor debut Brooks Lee - Rough debut Eduard Julien - Great rookie year, terrible sophomore year Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez - TBD Looks like a mix of good and bad to me. In hindsight perhaps, but few here had that opinion. He was Twins Daily's #1 prospect in 2022...
  23. Danchat
    Here's what Fangraphs has: Basically nothing at 1B...
  24. Danchat
    We went through the same thing last year with Santana where some where claiming that he'd have to compete with Kirilloff to be the starting 1B... it's France's job to lose.
  25. Danchat
    Sonny Gray's 2 years before becoming a Twin: 5.16 innings pitched per game Gray's Twins career: 5.75 innings per start Gray with the Cardinals: 5.94 innings per start Jose Berrios last 3.5 years with the Twins: 6.01 innings per start Berrios' career as a Blue Jay: 5.78 innings per start Pablo Lopez previous 3 years in Miami: 5.4 innings per start Lopez as a Twin: 5.93 innings per start Rocco doesn't pull his starters any quicker than other managers in baseball, it may seem like it but when he has his better starters in the game he keeps them pitching at a similar rate to the rest of the league. Innings pitched are going down league-wide, that's just a reality, likely one that will continue once Rocco is done managing this team.
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