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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Letting Chargois and Randy Rosario go were bad decisions (though Chargois is in the same position as Mejia with no options and might not crack the Dodgers bullpen), but how in the world was the FO supposed to see Rodriguez emerging into a great rookie starter in 2018? He wasn't much of a prospect and his 2017 stats in AA were middling, so I understand why they let him go. On another note, I'm rather disappointed with the total inability to develop relievers the past 2-3 years. We've seen bullpen prospects like Michael Tonkin, Tyler Duffey, Alan Busenitz, and John Curtiss flounder, guys like Hildenberger and Moya struggle, and then gave up quickly on Chargois and Rosario. Not good.
  2. Hildy needs to prove he belongs, certainly not a given, especially with Molly gone (he seemed to trust Hildy a lot). I’d like a spot for Mejia in case he can’t crack the rotation, as I don’t want to lose him on waivers.
  3. I like Decalsco a lot and he might come cheap. I don’t like Galvis’ numbers. LeMahieu isn’t that great of a hitter for a 2B, signing him looks like a trap to me unless you get him cheap.
  4. Never heard of Sands or Widdell before. But it’s nice to see an alternative list from a fresh perspective... also funny to see Granite on the list.
  5. Great article, I really liked the format. This reminded me of the 2018 Midseason evaluation I did a few months back. I did a very similar WAR comparison, and your final results seem pretty similar to mine. Some thoughts: - Losing Castro really hurt this team, especially defensively. It helped that Garver's defense improved, but trotting Bobby Wilson out there so often hurt this team. We really needed Castro's top 10 defense + the .240 w/ 10 HR bat that he had, even as mediocre as that sounds. - Unfortunately, the 1B, 2B, 3B, DH, and CF situations all continued to decline from their 2017 spots. At the moment, the only hope we have for those positions are to cross our fingers for Sano & Buxton and hope Tyler Austin kicks things into gear. They need as much help as they can get there. - Jake Odorizzi's WAR looks too high, especially compared to Gibson's. Just by the eye test and my recent memory, Gibson was a way better starter and chewed up a lot more innings than Jake did. - The Twins need to figure out how to develop relievers in the minors better. It seems year in and out they find their best guys by either one year deals or through dumpster dives. Why can't one of Busenitz/Hildenberger/Moya/Curtiss/Duffey figure things out? They need to try moving more starters to the bullpen, that strategy seems to work more often than not.
  6. I don’t quite see why this would be bad for Astudillo specifically. He has three options and can be shuffled to AAA when needed. If Chirinos is signed, maybe that means Castro will be traded? They might not be counting on him for the 2019 season.
  7. Buxton’s floor is being constantly injured and hitting .170 which is a pretty low floor even with the defense he brings.
  8. Looking over the numbers for these guys, I can see why many would like the Twins to nab Iglesias. He should be able to back up his glove with a decent bat. I thought I would like Freddy Galvis as a sneaky candidate for SS/2B, but yikes, not that great of a bat and comes with lots of strikeouts. But I did find my "sneaky" candidate, and that's Daniel Descalso. His numbers are trending the right way and he's one of those guys who should be able to keep playing well through his early 30s. He'd make for a fine super utility guy, too.
  9. I like most of the moves, but A) Corbin at $120M looks like a trap and B: I don't think the Reds trade Iglesias for just Cave and Gonsalves. I don't think they trade two years of a very good closer for a 4th OF and a probable AAAA starter. If they were going to trade Gonsalves, last year was the year to do it. I'd love to see the trio of Donaldson, J. Iglesias, and Gonzalez sign here, but that's basically 3 out of the top of the hitters group outside of a few big names. I highly, highly doubt they would be able to ink all three. I think including another trade for a hitter would make more sense.
  10. Right, I'd more more concerned about regression like this rather than worry about a guy who will be a DH-only. Don't want to sign the next Logan Morrison...
  11. It was a joke about the ancient language of Latin. Unless we have some time traveling Romans on the roster in 2019...
  12. The Field claiming does seem a bit dumb by the Cubs, but claiming Drake makes a lot of sense because of his recent numbers. Is it possible they might be trying to sneak these guys (or just Field) through waivers soon afterwards?
  13. I don't see why they bothered to give Drake so many innings if they were just going to waive him. He pitched pretty well and still couldn't stick... wouldn't have they have better off giving the opportunities to somebody like Jake Reed?
  14. He may be a AAAA player, but he's 26 and coming off of a fantastic season at AAA. Seems like a fine depth move as a back-end of the roster pickup to me. He should basically take Zack Granite's roster spot, at least on the 40 man.
  15. I wonder if the Twins could trade for Sonny Gray on the cheap and use him as a reliever, potentially a closer, maybe? I think that could be a sneaky good move. Don’t want Machado. We aren’t one player away from contention and I doubt he wants to play in Minnesota.
  16. That almost seemed too easy for Boston. It was a disappointing series in my opinion, but Boston was just much better. Hopefully they won't be so good next year.
  17. Well, the Dodgers bullpen was intent on losing this one... don't think there's any hope left for LA.
  18. Well, I certainly didn't suspect the Dodgers would blow that 4 run lead so quickly. Roberts probably went to the bullpen a bit early, but who knows, Hill could have started to fall apart. Starters usually aren't as good when facing the lineup for the 3rd time in a game...
  19. And Nunez gets the 3 run HR that should ensure the victory!
  20. Wow, I think 3 years $21M is quite the deal for the D-Backs, but Escobar must have really enjoyed his time there. I would have given him that deal in a heartbeat. Methinks he would have made $10M per year from someone on the FA market.
  21. I don't really see what Counsell did wrong... the Dodgers pitchers were simply better. Chacin giving up 2 runs sealed the game, and the offense was the problem, at least for game 7. I guess I'll be cheering for the Dodgers to win over the Red Sox just because of Dozier... but I would have preferred seeing the Brewers in the WS.
  22. Kepler has done everything right... he's taking more walks, striking out less, getting better defensively, staying healthy for three straight seasons, but he's been a liability at the plate. I think the 2.6 WAR stat overrates him, as most of the value comes from his defense, which I don't think is worth as much as others do. It's so frustrating, because Max should be hitting better and he's had everything trend the right direction - I think they just have to wait another season and see if it all clicks. Between him, Sano, and Buxton, he'd be the most obvious candidate to break out due to the reasons I stated above. If he continues to stagnate around a .720 OPS, I think I'd rather see him platoon (if he regresses to the norm against LHPs) as the 4th OF and try somebody else in RF. Also, I fully agree with Vanimal, the low BABIP is becoming a trend. He hits weak flyballs that are easy to catch - that's going to keep the BABIP low.
  23. Gonna be honest here, when it comes to 1B, I really don't think defense should be much of a factor. The Twins badly needed somebody to power the offense from that spot and Morrison couldn't do it... plus with below-average bats like Buxton's and Kepler's in the lineup who are very good defensively, they could use a position to skimp on defense but pick up gains on offense. We haven't seen Sano much at 1B, how can we say for sure that he's "much better" at 3B? He grades below average according to most defensive metrics I've seen, so he'd have to be pretty terrible at every other position.
  24. Ironically he's the only one with an RBI so far with the rest of the Dodgers club being pretty terrible in these RISP situations.
  25. Interesting, I wonder if we will see Raley with the Twins next year. We already have some other young OFs like Cave and Wade, but maybe Raley could crack the 2019 roster at some point.
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