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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    And this is why I didn’t participate in the “where is Gonzalez going to play” debate. Injuries ( and inexplicable ones too) are going to happen, so I’m glad Adrizana isn’t locked in as the 3B now.
  2. Danchat
    BBref had him at 4.7 WAR last year, and he’s making $8M in 2019. That seems like a fair price to pay even if he regresses.
  3. Danchat
    That's right, I forgot Odorizzi was last year's opener, but that was due to Berrios being set up to pitch a game in Costa Rica. Hopefully this will be the first of many more Opening Day starts for him.
  4. Danchat
    Addison could barely crack 90 MPH, you say? It looks like he's still toast. Knowing how the Twins operate, he'll get about 8-10 innings and put up a 7/8 ERA and then finally get DL'd for a good chunk of the season. Why have we only added Blake Parker to the bullpen? It looks like Matt Magill is probably going to end up on the roster for most the season.... Meanwhile, can someone remind me why Duffey still has a 40 man roster spot? I think he's been given enough chances in the majors to see that he isn't MLB caliber.
  5. Danchat
    I commented that because there was some buzz in 2017 about Granite becoming a MLB regular. I even remember Darren Wolfson talking about how much the Twins FO liked him and he hypothesized trading Rosario to make room for Granite to come up. Plus according to various sources, Granite was supposed to be the 4th OF last season before the shoulder injury happened. So my comment should be noted with the context that some were overhyping a 13th rounder, but also just some frustration to see another young guy flame out with the Twins, even if he was a longshot.
  6. Danchat
    Another Twins prospect bites the dust...
  7. Danchat
    Jake Reed gave up a 2 run HR to Kurt Suzuki and Thorpe gave up a grand slam... yikes!
  8. Danchat
    It's just as I've heard, Pineda is a big boy. Yowza. How do you pronounce "Ryne"? Names that don't have obvious pronunciations bug me. And looking over his stats, he put up a 5.19 ERA in 26 AAA innings at age 29... I'll give the guy credit for sticking around in the minors, but I can't say I like his chances of cracking an MLB roster.
  9. Danchat
    Hmmmm... I'm not sure about this deal... I don't think it's awful. It'll be great for the Phillies for about the next 5-7 years, as $25M a year is about what I think Harper is worth. Of course, the next 5-7 years after that probably aren't going to be worth it. I do think it's a great deal for Harper to get $330M total over 13 years instead of just 10 years. So I guess I like this deal a bit better than Machado's, but who knows what the MLB situation will be in 7+ years?
  10. Danchat
    We all saw the difference for Ervin Santana when his speed dropped into the upper 80s compared to around 93 MPH before his finger surgery. I think a similar principle could apply to Gonsalves - just a little more speed could induce some more swings and misses, and a few more MPH in difference between his fastball and his off-speed pitches could be huge for him. I'm feeling a little more hopeful about Gonsalves now.
  11. Danchat
    Y'know, if this is going to be Kiriloff's position going forward, then this short term fix is fine with me. I was really thinking that they were going to go with Cron & Austin, but with Gonzalez's addition, it's looking like Austin will have to squeeze through waivers to get to AAA, which I don't think the Twins will get him through. Most people are down on it because he was DFA'd by the Rays and the fact that Logan Morrison was a thing last year. I think if we try to ignore those factors, the Twins acquired a pretty good hitter who was a big help to the Rays last season. BTW, just as they DFA'd Cron, the Rays DFA'd Corey Dickerson over the 2018 offseason, a 28 year old LF coming off of a .815 OPS season. Dickerson went on to hit .300 for the Pirates in 2018 with .805 OPS, 3.8 WAR, and a Gold Glove. Just because the Rays are perceived as a smart team doesn't mean they don't make mistakes, like letting Dickerson go. Cron ain't winning a Gold Glove here, but he certainly could hit over .800 OPS, which would be an improvement from Mauer.
  12. Danchat
    Wow, that’s a ton of money for Arenado, but he’s worth it. That’s more on average than Machado got in FA! Meanwhile, Forscythe got a minor deal with Texas. Remember when we discussed bringing him back as our 2B? I’m much happier with Schoop and Gonzalez.
  13. Danchat
    It makes sense to sneak him through waivers now while he has just one option left and coming off a year where he hit .210 at AAA. Though I’m unsure of the plan with Reed, as he will have to clear waivers if he doesn’t make the team.
  14. Danchat
    Iglesias on a minor league deal would be nice, but I'll pass on crossing my fingers hoping for Ervin to gain his velocity. I mean, I really don't like Martin Perez as a starter, but there's better options out there. Like trading for Sonny Gray or getting a vet like Gio Gonzalez/Kuechel/Buchholz.
  15. Danchat
    2 HRs from Kepler and and RBI double from Wade? Good show!
  16. Danchat
    I feel like Astudillo should be on this list, but is he ineligible because he hit .355 last fall in 97 PAs? Because his popularity could easily win him this award this Spring Training. Whoops, my bad, just read the article again fully. I'll bet on Jake Reed to win the award but inexplicably not make the team because nobody wants.
  17. Danchat
    Good point, I did hear from Reusse that he thinks Adrianza is going to start the year on the DL, and reading this, I can see why...
  18. Danchat
    Just thought I'd drop some notes on Gonzalez's fielding: (all 2018 season) (I'm comparing Gonzalez to all other players who played 100+ innings at the position) 1B (176 innings) UZR: 30th / 76 DRS: 23rd / 76 RNGR (range): 38th / 76 2B (183 innings) UZR: 45th / 82 DRS: 32nd / 82 RNGR: 48th / 82 SS (269.2 innings) UZR: 62nd / 68 DRS: 55th / 68 RNGR: 58th / 68 LF (533 innings) UZR: 14th / 97 DRS: 9th / 97 RNGR: 25th / 97 Gonzalez barely played any 3B last year, so here's his 2017 numbers: (138.2 innings) UZR: 59th / 76 DRS: 40th / 76 RNGR: 53th / 76 So in summary, according to these stats, Gonzalez is a good defensively at LF & 1B, average at 2B, below average at 3B, and relatively bad at SS. I'm starting to think Adrianza might be safer than I originally thought, and I didn't realize he was graded so well in the outfield. Definitely bad news for Tyler Austin, though.
  19. Danchat
    I can see why a Rosario trade would make sense, but I'd leave that for the 2019-2020 offseason. Or maybe if we're doing terribly at the trade deadline again. But certainly not now.
  20. Danchat
    Decent signing, I like the added depth Marwin brings, he’s a great backup plan for Sano. For those who said the Cron claiming prevented Cruz and Gonzalez from signing... looks like you were proven wrong. I’m unsure who’s getting booted off the roster. With Gonzalez’s ability to play 1B and OF, it seems like bad news for Austin. Not sure if he’s good enough at SS to replace Adrianza... i don’t think this will affect Cave. For the 40 man roster, I’ll DFA Granite. I’ll bet he can make it through waivers.
  21. Danchat
    First off, the Twins have plenty of money to spend, so dropping $7M on Schoop even if Gonzalez takes his job isn't so bad, now you have a pretty good bench bat. Second off, all indications are that Schoop is going to be the starting 2B, but it's only a one year deal, so Gonzalez would provide depth in the 2020-2021 seasons. They won't be losing a lot pushing Adrianza off the roster.
  22. Danchat
    I understand Molitor was put in a tough situation and forced to use his favorites in the bullpen time after time, but the overuse of certain relievers was simply blatant. Add that to the times relievers went missing (Matt Magill was hidden better than Waldo at one point), and I hope that Rocco will be able to preserve the bullpen better. I am worried about the depth, both for high leverage and AAA depth. I don't think putting Parker and Hildenberger into high leverage situations is a good idea, and we don't have a ton of reinforcements at AAA that I see becoming viable relievers. There's only so much Rocco's going to be able to do with this weak bullpen.
  23. Danchat
    Right now my prediction is that Machado will get traded in about 3 years' time because the Padres will be slashing payroll and he'll want to play for somebody better but hasn't reach his opt-out yes. And yes, there's precedent for this - Giancarlo Stanton got traded 3 years into his 13 year $325M deal with the Marlins. I do hope San Diego can be good for the first time... I've never seen them make the playoffs!
  24. Danchat
    A desire to make headlines? You mean like Preller’s disastrous 2014 offseason? The Twins made headlines with last year’s signings and would have made even more with Darvish. I’m frustrated with the lack of moves too, but making moves just to be splashy isn’t going to make this team better.
  25. Danchat
    Well, we got what we wanted - one team finally caved in and overpaid him. They had better start gearing up to win soon and not spend the rest of his prime on a bad roster. They did lose 96 games last year... I’ll assume Harper will demand more, and he’ll probably get it, but I’m not sure who will pay him it.
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