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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Possibly, but probably not this early in the year. Perez is going to be the 5th starter when we need one.
  2. I don't think there was a thread because most of us talked about him when he originally officially decided to retire last year. I'm not sure if it was worth returning to that discussion just for the 2 games he came back for this year.
  3. It's kinda insane what Tampa was able to do inside this division last year and I hope they can keep it up. They have a bullpen full of no-names that gets outs, they've gone with a bunch of young position players and DFA'd the bigger name players, and it somehow works. They trade their best guys away (Chris Archer) and they make things work somehow. I really want to see this team make an unlikely playoff run.
  4. I'm guess you meant WHIP instead of BABIP, but your point stands. Magill and Odorizzi have had awful spring trainings, but nobody bats an eye, they're on the team. Romero has a couple bad outings? Nope, time to ship him to AAA. Plus, Addison Reed, if healthy, would be in the bullpen no matter how poorly his spring went. The veteran will always get more rope in the Twins system, that's just how it goes.
  5. I'm not too concerned about his bat, but it does seem like he's going to be a poor 3B defensively. Let's see how Adrianza did in his 223 innings at 3B last year: (min 200 innings) UZR: 24th/56 DPR: 30th/56 Range: 15th/56 Looks like Adrianza is the better bet defensively at 3B.
  6. With Granite and Reed out of the way, Cave should have the 4th OF job locked down. This also clears out room for LaMonte Wade to be the obvious next OF coming up from the minors.
  7. So... is the bullpen going to be May, Parker, Hildenberger, Rogers, Mejia, Magill, and Perez (for a week and half)? Yikes, that's not good. Oh, and let's not pretend Matt Magill has had a good Spring Training either, as he's posted a solid 9.53 ERA. I guess Harper and Morin will have shots at the 8th spot in the bullpen too, but that's not going to make a huge difference. I wonder if Harper might be the guy who gets the call up as he'll have 3 option years, while Morin would be yet another guy with no options. (Outside of Harper, only Hildenberger and Rogers have options.) I don't understand Falvey/Levine's plan of fixing the lineup with several good positional players, but then adding a single pitcher to a MLB deal. It seems like, once again, we're partially competing and partially trying not to win.
  8. Really, it is? The way Pressly was pitching, he's worth way more than $17.5M over 2 years. For me there isn't much of a difference between being paid as the closer and being paid to throw high leverage innings.
  9. I don't think this just applies to the Twins, any team that wants to compete is going to need to develop their own stars or try and trade for them (whether that be acquiring prospects or trading prospects for a proven player).
  10. I'll guess that May and Parker will get the first chances at closing, with Rogers being used as the "lethal weapon" or whatever we're calling the Josh Hader role. With the way Hildenberger pitched in 2018, I think he's a dangerous bet to be throwing out there in high leverage situations in the 9th (but it's clear that he will be throwing in those types of games, thanks to the roster construction). I'm also happy to be done with locking a reliever to the 9th inning. It bugged me how Molitor would always go to the same guy, even on short rest or after a really shaky outing (lookin' at you, Rodney!). But I don't like the bullpen options this year, and it won't take much for the pen to fall apart this year.
  11. I don't remember DFA talk about Pressly that much, and BTW I've been a big supporter of his. The big difference between the two is that Reed had a mysterious drop in velocity that coincided with his effective plummeting. I'm aware he's had a great career, but I don't believe he was averaging 89 MPH during it. On the other side of things, Pressly was touching 96-97 and was healthy. Ervin Santana has also had a great MLB career, but when his velocity dropped, he was a shell of himself...
  12. Wow, that's quite the team friendly extension! Hopefully the Twins can develop the prospects they got for him and make it a worthwhile trade... but it's looking like a great move for the Astros.
  13. Reed can’t have much trade value owed $8M while averaging 89 mph and coming off a poor season. But I guess it’s a better idea to keep him in the Twins bullpen and wait until his ERA balloons to 7.00 or so and finally DL him.
  14. I was thinking it was a sign that Harper has risen to the top of the reserves, and not that he was going to be put into high leverage situations immediately. Hopefully he's passed Magill and Duffey on the totem pole by this point.
  15. It was interesting to see Harper throw the 9th inning... we might be seeing him in the majors at some point.
  16. Nice article, Matt, I loved the personality you injected into this piece. I don't want to see retreads like A. Reed (unless his speed ticks back up), Duffey, or Magill in the bullpen... I would be fine cycling through some of the somewhat intriguing AAA depth (guys like Eades, Nicolino, J Reed) and see if anything sticks. I'd rather try out the guys with small chances to succeed rather than the guys we know that most likely won't succeed.
  17. Wow, these are some huge changes and some big surprises too. No more August waiver trades, only 2 extra roster spots in September... and most shocking of all, the 3 batter minimum. I always thought that was more of a fantasy, but next year it’ll be a reality.
  18. Here’s hoping for good AAA campaigns for Wade and Gordon so they can get themselves up to the majors soon. I think Wade is getting close.
  19. Yep, this seems right, as it's exactly what my 25 man projection was, including having Reed on the DL. This seems like a good bet to how the roster will start the season.
  20. Wait, so Cabrera and Adrianza embraced, and then only a minute later Cabrera pulled the hidden ball trick on him? Wow, that's cruel.
  21. Sign me up, our outfield defense is very good defensively (much better than infield).
  22. The Dodgers are DFA'ing Josh Fields, owner of a 2.20 ERA last season, which was backed up by a 0.95 WHIP and good control (2.4 BB/9) and decent whiff capacity (7.2 K/9) and also had a really good 2017 season as well. The Twins should absolutely make a waiver claim, but I'd rather have them throw a lottery ticket at this guy in a trade. With Addison Reed looking like his career is toast and potentially having poor pitchers like Magill and Duffey slated for innings, I'd much rather bring Fields in and have him help maintain this bullpen.
  23. This article took up the entire sports section of today’s WSJ with a big picture of Astudillo running his butt off. That made my day.
  24. I'm not sure about this... just because we have higher picks doesn't mean that we should promote guys faster. I know a lot of high Twins draft picks have been high schoolers, who I don't think you can rush quite as fast. There's a handful of players they've babied and probably could have developed faster, but there's also been a few that they rushed (Hicks/Buxton). It did seem like Nick Gordon and Gonsalves were unnecessarily playing in AA last year after they proved themselves the prior year, but I think we can see why they were babied... Gordon wasn't ready for AAA pitching and Gonsalves was not ready for the majors. I specifically remember that the new FO was slow-cooking Gonsalves so that he could work on his off-speed pitches because they were worried that his fastball wasn't going to be good enough, and after seeing him pitch, I fully understand why that was.
  25. This was a fun exercise, I wonder how other players on other teams affect their teams' W-L ratios... time to go do some experiments of my own.
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