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TNtwins85

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  1. TNtwins85
    I’ve never got the logic that trading in the off-season nets more than at the deadline. Yes there are more teams. Yes teams are trying to head in certain directions. The trade deadline represents more desperation and desperation forces the hand when you’re having to beat the deals of 2-3 other desperate teams though. Also, teams at the deadline know what they want. The season has been played and teams know their weaknesses. What do all desperate teams need? Pitching. I think the Twins are banking on desperation come July because I can barely see a playoff bound team in this group. The big questions are A) do these 3 guys have good enough half seasons to garner a haul? B) are they healthy to be traded? It’s a big gamble with the injury histories of these 3.
  2. TNtwins85
    “Dream Team!” lol! As each day goes by with the Twins doing nothing I am starting to think this is their dream team. One day at a time I believe you are right on that. If that is the case then Tom Pohlads quote of no half measures leaves one scratching their head because I think this team as is is the epitome of one large half measure.
  3. TNtwins85
    He had very encouraging numbers in the minors for sure and held his own as an everyday player last year. I’d want more than Shaw though for Ryan or Lopez. Ballesteros and Shaw for Ryan and another throw in or you hang up the phone if you’re the Twins. If you’re trading either of those guys it’s gotta be for a Juan Soto esque haul! “If” they’re trying to compete this year which isn’t looking that way as of yet.
  4. TNtwins85
    I think you’re right and Ryan or Lopez are the only names that start a conversation. If that’s the case I want to look at all the names as there’s a couple of prospects that I’d like more than Shaw. If Ryan or Lopez are of the Cubs desire then it all starts with Ballesteros. If they’re looking to unload Shaw then you’re starting with Ober or SWR and working from there.
  5. TNtwins85
    Same. Yet the fact of the matter has been that the last 2 years he’s been so much younger relative to the leagues he’s been in and simply held his own. No numbers he’s put up have been eye popping to say but they’ve been pretty consistent. That’s all there is really. Watching him play though you can see why.
  6. TNtwins85
    Add to it that he held his own substantially as a middle of the order bat on a team that had several college aged guys and made the playoffs. He also held his own behind the plate providing a backstop that looked solid beyond his years at high A as a 18-19 year old. I watched a quite few games and he showed some signs of his age at that level but they were few and far between. They were more like quick snippets. Other than that he looked like the other 20-21 year olds in that league instead of looking like the 18-19 year old that he was. Does he start at high A or at AA. Either way he’s an exciting player that looks like he can stick at catcher
  7. TNtwins85
    Although it is silly to say baseball has the most parity it is also silly to say that there’s more parity in the NBA and NFL based on one season. Looking through all the measurements of parity between the leagues based on different metrics over 5-6 years there’s not much difference at all if you simply eliminate the 3-4 historically worst teams of each league. They’re all basically the same despite the different league structures, how the rules of each game apply, divisional structures etc. not as cut and dry as most assume.
  8. TNtwins85
    According to data of what different teams make the playoffs each year the NFL has the most parity but it’s more based on a shorter schedule and more divisions that offer more teams the opportunity to take a close division since it comes down to 1 game or a tie breaker based on head to head. In the NFL 28 of 32 teams have qualified in the last 5 years. 23/30 in MLB and 25/30 in the NBA. The NFL and MLB are more quality roster driven where as the NBA is more star driven per team despite a larger field. The NBA typically ranks lowest in parity (star-driven dynasties limit spread), while NHL and MLB are close contenders depending on the timeframe. Parity debates vary by metric (e.g., championships favor NFL/NHL; regular-season win spreads favor MLB), but playoff appearances point to the NFL. Despite the massive differences in leagues there’s no clear cut overall winner in the parity question. This was but one metric and each favors a different league. Really though, if you take out the 3-4 worst year over year historically bad teams from each league it’s probably a wash.
  9. TNtwins85
    Well, if he hits a buck eighty he probably won’t be the best SS in the majors. If the twins development system doesn’t mess with him like Martin to try to squeeze out 3 more HR’s out of his swing over a season I think his floor can be at least a utility INF. That’s not bad if you take the gleeman rule that a positive and realistic outcome of a top pick is a Cuddyer outcome. Which is 5-8 years of average dependable production as a 2WAR player. That’s really all that should be asked for at minimum. I put Lee in that category as well. If he can be a 2WAR SS that makes most of the plays that’s success when being realistic about any of these former top picks.
  10. TNtwins85
    “We” are not “richer” than the Yankees. Jim Pohlad and Hal Steinbrenner have the same net worth. Not the Minnesota Twins vs the New York Yankees. The Yankees “brand” as a franchise are valued roughly $8.2B. The Twins “brand” is valued at $1.5B. A lot of different factors go into that. I don’t agree with how they operate this franchise one bit but to simply cherry pick this guy vs that guy is disingenuous as to create a real argument as far as how a team should operate. In 2024 it was reported as the Twins having operating revenue of $292-324M. $50-70M of that being revenue sharing. If that’s the case how does a team operating a $160M or less team payroll possibly lose $500M in the time they did? Poor money management or pushing other debts in the Twins franchise. Basically leveraging their most profitable asset. Plain and simple. If you manage the franchise as the Pohlads families bank the Twins will never be “competitive” in the sense the Dodgers or Yankees are competitive. Has nothing to do with how rich the owner is, a salary floor or salary cap or anything like that. The Twins simply have a family of owners that see the team as a leverageable asset and not the state of Minnesota’s baseball team. That can’t be fixed until a new and more importantly invested in winning owner takes over the team. Until then the Twins will always do Pohladian Twins things. Simple as that.
  11. TNtwins85
    Throw DFA/waiver claims and NRI guys at the wall and see what sticks. Maybe you get a few relievers out of the deal.
  12. TNtwins85
    Exactly, a reliever who has just one year of good production provides so much value when you’re only paying them a million dollars at most as a waiver claim. Worth the risk for sure
  13. TNtwins85
    The Twins got 2.9WAR in 77 innings for a couple million dollars total in Stewart. Worth the waiver claim? Absolutely! Reliable? Not so much.
  14. TNtwins85
    Right! Most teams are expected to compete but a couple bad outcomes and you’re done. If Lee is a 1.25WAR player this year that’s great as well. I see him taking a big step forward this year. I think he knows how the league is attacking him now and he’s a very smart player and strives to be better. I hope to see his bat improve a lot. Maybe a poor man’s Ian Kinsler type? Probably never gonna be a 5-6 WAR player at Kinslers peak but the 3-4 WAR player would be amazing and I think he can be that. A 265/325/460 type guy with average D at SS. If Lewis provides 2.5-3.5 WAR? Wallner in the 2-2.5 range. I can see a glimpse then.
  15. TNtwins85
    I say they need all 3! Phillips is your wild card mid season and Dominguez and Leclerc are your veteran depth to start the season. That is if they are truly “competing” which I’m not yet convinced they’re trying to do yet.
  16. TNtwins85
    Agreed. If he went down in May when does he come back? June/July at the earliest?Probably a good flyer to take on a 2yr deal or even a cheap 1yr prove it but they need guys in April and May.
  17. TNtwins85
    That’s what I see as well. It’s becoming plain as day now. To what length do they give this current core a runway? As in do they make another mid range move via trade or FA or do they run this group as is and supplement the back end of the depth? If the latter is the case they’re expecting Buxton to have another monster year. Jeffers to go to another level playing for a big contract. Lewis to be closer to an MVP we’ve seen glimpses of instead of a 1-1 flop. Lee to be a solid 2-2.5WARstarting SS. Wallner to provide pop and not be an automatic K. Lopez, Ryan, Ober to be themselves and SWR to simply be average but still improving. As far as the bullpen… I guess out of the prospects and whoever doesn’t make the rotation you find a couple inconsistent yet electric shutdown guys in Festa/Matthews/Bradley, Adams and Ohl take a step forward and you find a Brock Stewart or 2 with your NRI guys this spring. I see a glimpse of “compete”, but it’s not a slam dunk and a lot of “If’s”.
  18. TNtwins85
    Agreed. The guy could barely throw coming off of TJ which he hadn’t even finished his throwing program when he broke his arm. Judging from his quick call up after not really hitting good at AAA the Twins were desperate to save the season when he was called up and they thought his dynamic play could boost the team. He didn’t get the call cause he forced his way at all. The scouting on him simply thought that he wouldn’t flop in MLB. In reality if the team was going good he doesn’t get called up until September of last year. He got thrown to the wolves and succeeded. With a fully healed arm and legit time at 2B this spring I believe he’ll be fine there. I do expect him to struggle a bit though. I don’t expect him to be a 4.5WAR player which is what you could extrapolate his season to over a full year. But a 2.5-3WAR player and plays a serviceable 2B would be great.
  19. TNtwins85
    Going for 1B depth!
  20. TNtwins85
    Oh they’re going home. First pulling the wool over the common fans eyes and then pulling the rug out come end of July and selling the wool and the rug for top dollar. Then going home.
  21. TNtwins85
    I hate it. I’m more of a no half measure guy. Either trade them all this off-season or contend and see what shakes out next offseason. But unless there’s a miracle this move points to all things make it look like an attempt to contend. I give it the end of January. If there’s no big moves by then that’s the plan.
  22. TNtwins85
    You shouldn’t be confused at all. They’re making it look like they’re attempting to roster build but more and more I see a trade deadline sell off round 2 coming. The FO is leaving breadcrumbs to a rebuild. Unless a big move is made via trade to shake things up this month that’s my assumption now with this move.
  23. TNtwins85
    He will serve as a platoon partner for Clemons and Bell at 1B/DH. This move may signify that they’re not gonna go after another bat. If that’s the case I anticipate a few low wattage RP moves and this is the team they’ll go in with. By August 1st the Twins will have sold everyone worth a decent prospect again and they’ll be in full rebuild mode. I hope I’m wrong but the picture becomes more clear day by day with low wattage moves or no rumors at all on trades or FA’s.
  24. TNtwins85
    Oh ok. So all the complaining is just in my head and I’m not reading anything correctly? I must be looking at the wrong site and can’t find where the VAST majority are posting the rational and realistic comments at I guess. I’ll have to keep looking I suppose. My bad.
  25. TNtwins85
    Really? Where have you been? A lot were awfully excited for the Donaldson and Correa contracts. The Twins got out of those contracts miraculously. A lot around here are constantly crying about how the Twins can’t spend like the Dodgers and Yankees. All the people around here advocating for a salary cap and floor. That all leads to what I said. Doesn’t happen to all players but it’s closer to the norm. Most players signed to those contracts begin declining in their early 30’s. In which case you’re stuck paying a guy $25-35M a year for very sub standard production. The same as paying a below average player as the original comment posted.
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