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TwinsDr2021

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Everything posted by TwinsDr2021

  1. TwinsDr2021
    agree wiith @Mahoning what the Twins have is Buxton, a left handed platoon/DH (Wallner), a couple of prospects and bunch of replacement level players.
  2. TwinsDr2021
    Rocco was a bad manager with good players and bad players. While 2019 was happening I would tell anybody that would listen the Twins are winning despite Rocco, so I don't give him credit or blame, the Twins were never going to really win with him, I give him credit that he did get better over time. I think if somebody else gives him a chance he will do much better his second time around.
  3. TwinsDr2021
    Martin turns 27 in March and Roden turns 26 in December that should tell you what the Twins have in them (role/bit players at best) these are the type of players you don't prioritize over skilled players much younger, they fill role roles and if they succeed at them you give them more time. If it comes down to starting Roden or Erod in the outfield, the answer should be easy, give it to Erod. If the question is Culpepper at SS and Lee at 2B, or Lee at SS and Martin at 2b, the answer should be Culpepper/Lee. The Twins have spent the last few years trying to figure out what the have with mid 20's guys and it hasn't worked.
  4. TwinsDr2021
    In 22 Wallner played 18 games in the majors, after playing 128 in AA (OPS of 1.033) and AAA (839), there was no reason he couldn't or shouldn't have been brought up earlier.
  5. TwinsDr2021
    Not disagreeing, but it could be genius? Trade away all payroll, stock pile prospects and when the work stoppage ends you are sitting on stud players and the ability to spend on free agency (assuming some sort of salary type cap is put in place)? Now I have No, none, zero, zelch faith in this FO/Ownership, so it is likely they are just trying to figure out if they want Ham or Turkey for thanksgiving or possibly both, then actually improving the Twins going forward.
  6. TwinsDr2021
    What? Buxton was up at 21 and struggled (46 games), age 22 put up 1.7 WAR in 92 games, .714 OPS, not great but decent, at age 23 was 18th in the MVP, age 24 was a wash out, and has been pretty darn good (when healthy since), I would rather see the Twins do what the Tigers did with Castro, give the guy an actual shot when he is young and if it isn't what you hoped let them go before paying them as opposed to the likes of Miranda and Julien (and a list of players people think are the solution to the twins issues) who spend extra time proving themselves and then wasting 3 to 4 years in their prime trying to figure out what they are. I would rather see Culpepper (and for that matter EROD) start up, struggle get send down and comeback up, then wasting the year having them try to prove something that can't be defined or having a role player get hot and block them (you know somebody like Clemens or Martin)
  7. TwinsDr2021
    I would say Lee established that he has the skills to a be a major league player, at what position and at what level a player is still to be determined, but for a rookie I wouldn't say it was terrible but for sure not as good as we hoped for. I would also say having him in the majors doing what he did, was better than wasting another year in the minors. Now I am not for having rookies all over the diamond, but with Lewis at 3B, Lee at 2B, Keachall at first/second/left field, Buxton, Jeffers, Wallner, Martin, there is room for a rookie or two to get significant playing time this year.
  8. TwinsDr2021
    Why? Aren't rookies on winning teams every year? Now I don't think the Twins will be winning team next year, but if you can't expect a 23 year old first round pick to be a league average player or slightly better that at age 22 in AA had a slash line of .285/.367/.460/.827, who can you ever expect? Rookie and young guys are brought up at this age all the time. If mean if we thought this than Keaschall shouldn't have been brought up and shouldn't have played as well as he did.
  9. TwinsDr2021
    Exactly and guys like Keirsay, Fedko and Eeles (and every other non prospect on the wrong side of 25, remember when people were clamoring for Chris Williams?)are the solution. All older and have no where near the talent Lee has.
  10. TwinsDr2021
    Culpepper turn 23 next month and was the 21st overall pick, if he can't be counted on to get experience next year, he was just another wasted pick by a terrible front office. He may fail or struggle next year but we have seen that having guys in the majors until 24 or 25 hasn't been a successful strategy.
  11. TwinsDr2021
    Fedko is 26 years old with a career minor league OPS of .765, At 25 he put up an OPS of.868 in AA (not really very impressive) nothing says mediocre like a guy his age doing decent (Not great) in the minors. If some team wants to roster him in the majors all year, let them have him, because if he ever players more than a bit role for the Twins things have gone horribly wrong once again. Legit major league teams don't worry about losing a non prospect like Fedko, they are a dime a dozen in the minors, and yes GG is easy, he is 22 (in January) playing in AAA and is a easy keep.
  12. TwinsDr2021
    Not what I said, I said the last two years were the downward start and if those guys you listed and more don't pan out, it will continue. I do have faith in Keaschall and Jenkins, hope for Culpepper, and no idea what will happen with Abel.
  13. TwinsDr2021
    Create? I would argue the last two years was the start, and if the next wave of prospects end up the last the spiral will continue. But if the next wave is really good, and Lewis, Lee, and Wallner get back to where they have been, then you can spend to fill holes again and make a run. (Now I have little to no faith in this FO, so I am not expecting much)
  14. TwinsDr2021
    So like a week ago there was an article on who the Twins should add to the 40 man. Currently there is 14 pitchers, I believe Morris, Prielipp, Rojas were agreed on that needed to be added, and Klein, Culpepper were also in the mix, if all of those are added that gives 19 pitchers, so room for one more. People they can't keep everybody. Sure there is Topa, Ohl, and Adams that could go, but still not a lot of room for pitchers.
  15. TwinsDr2021
    Isn't Klein one of the guys the Twins decided was the new way to develop pitchers, keep them protected in short outings more often? So IMO it is not surprise his numbers should be pretty f'n good? But IMO the protecting or not protecting of Klein isn't really the issue, it more how poor of roster construction this FO has done. From a really quick look around the minor leagues, it seems to be abundant with John Klein types, big body, throws fairly fast (94-96), old 23 to young 25 year old relief type pitchers. If the Twins lose Klein to the rule 5, they should have more than a few guys in the minors that can be the next Klein. (Now if you tell him he throw 97-99 and is still a bit wild, I would be saying you have to protect him. ) With that said, with the current 40 man, I would protect him, why the hell not, I mean like 30% of it should be cleared out anyway.
  16. TwinsDr2021
    That we even are talking about a guy like Klein, just shows what a bang up job Falvey and the Front Office has done with this roster construction. For the most part I would laugh at an article about the importance of adding or not adding a Klein type pitcher on the 40 man, but with the current 40 man, why the heck not, It has been a minutes since I have seen a Twins 40 man look this bad.
  17. TwinsDr2021
    Talk about disconnect? Wallner has less than 1000 plate appearances and you are comparing to guys that did it with 5924. 7137, and 6880. You realized Jullien after 408 his OPS+ was 130, right? Or Royce Lewis's was even better after 300 plus at bats. What was Bobby Kielty after 400 plus at bats? I want Wallner to be who he was in 23 and 24 for full seasons over the next 8-12 years, But can we stop comparing him to MVP type players when he has played a fraction of games as them?
  18. TwinsDr2021
    AK played 35 games at first in AA in 2019 and 14 in AAA in 2022, and 9 more at AAA in 2023. I am pretty sure that means he wasn't developed to play 1B, and him playing 1B was due to other reasons. I mean he played 116 games in the outfield and 134 at 1B in the majors.
  19. TwinsDr2021
    If you look who has been playing AA and AAA the last three years its Aaron Sabato and collection of (Chris Williams, Dennis Ortega, Alex Isola, Seth Gray, Jake Rucker, Andrew Cossetti, Nate Baez, Mike Ford, Severino, Kyle Garlick, Curtis Terry, and Roy Morales) (guys that have played more than 20 games at 1B in a year.) Hard to believe they are trying, For as long as they have been here the best 1B prospect has been Sabato, and he has never really looked like a major league player and was drafted in the first round. IMO if they were trying to develop they would have been trying Larnach or Wallner three years ago when everybody else realized having both of them starting in the outfield together might not be the best idea. It looks like they think they can sign any Ty, Carlos, Donovan, or Joey off the street to fill the role, and any of failed infield prospect (defensively failed). And it wouldn't be a bad way to deal with the position if they actually could develop guys that can actually hit in other positions.
  20. TwinsDr2021
    what you are missing here is in the last three years there has been 486 major league games played by each team. Rooker has played in 444 (91% of the games) and zero minor league games, and Wallner 255 (52% of the games) and 140 minor league games. So it isn't 3 out of 4 pitchers that take the mound, because Wallner's OPS or any numbers are 0 for 48% of the games compared to 9% for Rooker. In those three years Rooker has 1939 plate appearances compared to Wallner's 907, and yes that is leap and bounds. If you want to say (and I would as well) when Wallner has been put in position to succeed (or been healthy)he is basically the same hitter as Rooker I would agree, but there is a reason Wallner has played in darn near 200 less games over the last three years and that has to be part of the conversation. People have been using projections for how good Wallner has been, and projections only work on what might happen going forward, not what happened in the past, the past is the past. So IMO comparing a player that has averaged 148 games the last three years to somebody that averaged 85 is kind of silly. I mean there is a reason that over that time Rooker has a WAR of 9.9 and Wallner's is 4.9 (which is pretty great for a part time player) And that is why I posted their splits in the first place; Rooker has always (in the last three years) been a much better than average hitter against both right and left handed pitchers, were Wallner was close to unplayable in his two great yet limited years against left handed pitchers.
  21. TwinsDr2021
    Just to clarify Wallner will be 28 next season, and the Twins traded Rooker before his age 27 season, and was an all star for the A's at age 28. Wallner is way more of an established player than Rooker ever was, so they really aren't comparable unless you are comparing defense and strikeouts. Last year Wallner was missing hit-able pitches and then would get visibly frustrated and most of those at bats ended up badly, can he reverse that this year is the question I have for him.
  22. TwinsDr2021
    The biggest difference between Rooker and Wallner. OPS vs RHP - .881 OPS vs LHP - .641 OPS vs RHP - .820 OPS vs LHP - .853 I agree some have been over the top on Wallner, but pointing out how bad Wallner was last year isn't hate, it is just pointing out the obvious. IMO he likely will get back to 23 and 24 stats (even though those two years were very limited (only 254 and 261 PS), I also think to start the year he should be protected from facing too many left handed pitchers)
  23. TwinsDr2021
    To me it seems pretty obvious, if some team comes calling for Wallner, and you like the trade, you do it. Otherwise he starts off the year as the left handed DH and depth in RF, if who ever ends up playing there stumbles or gets hurt (fingers crossed that is Erod or Jenkins) He turns 28 in December so he is closer to the end of his prime than the beginning, so if things start out slow and the Twins are actually decent you move on to the next player, if they aren't decent you give him a chance to improve while putting him in situations to secede. As for last year, I don't care what his OPS or SLG was it was one of the hollowest I have ever seen by a Twins. He beat up bad pitchers at times (most) when it didn't matter. Congrats!
  24. TwinsDr2021
    My question mark was I couldn't figure out what you were trying to say. "So you are saying you son’s know what a major league starter hits, " The best I could come up with was my son knows what a major league starter hits? What does this have to do with my son, or what a major league starter hits? And you are 100% correct player development isn't linear or about age. Because usually good/great players are pretty much like that from the start (group 1), others take a little time (group 2), and others take longer (group 3), but what we know or should know is that that the best, most consistent, longest tenure players come from groups 1 and 2. And yes you can rattle off the Brian Dozier's of the world, who was not good until age 26 (majors at age 25) and was basically done at age 30, but for every Dozier there are hundreds if not thousands of Keirsey, Gasper and Mike Ford's of the world. And ignoring that reality is well
  25. TwinsDr2021
    I bet you and others said the same thing in 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 and you would have been correct 20%.
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