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TwinsDr2021

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  1. TwinsDr2021
    Cuddyer going into his age 25 season had played 84 games and yes had a .5 WAR, Lee has played 189 games and has a -1 WAR (mostly defensive) .has 19 HR and 6 SB, Cuddyer after 199 games had 20 HR and 10SB. Is that really the definition of showing more? In his age 25 season he had a WAR of .1 and age 26 .7 WAR. For a site that loves the Twins minor league guys that are older than Lee (Keirsey, McCusker, Eeles, Fedko and others) it sure seems weird to to call a guy that played in the majors at age 23 a late bloomer. Yes I get Lee has to do more (much more) but lets not forget Cuddyer going into his age 27 season only had a WAR of 1.5 total
  2. TwinsDr2021
    From age 23 - 27 (at time when lots of people on here think a guy should be figuring out how to play baseball in the minors league) Gall hit 151 homers, 22 SB, had a OBP of over .333, a SLG of over .500 and had 14.6 WAR with two all star games and two gold gloves. And for bad as he was from ages 28 - 30 he never put up a negative WAR. I was against his signing and the Twins running him out there for 111 games but to think it would be horrible for any Twin prospect to end up being Gallo is ridiculous. Combined Larnach and Wallner have 103 total homers and 20 SB over 9 major league seasons. (just for comparison sake)
  3. TwinsDr2021
    At what cost? people keep throwing out Ryan should be extended, but they leave out numbers, What if Ryan says sure I would love to stay in a Twins and sign an extension and the number is 5/140 are you doing it?
  4. TwinsDr2021
    What does a extension look like for Lopez and Ryan? The Twins have have Lopez for the next two seasons at 43.5 million and will be a Free Agent at age 32. Lets say they extend him to the FA contract signed, 3/75, Is that what people are thinking? As for Joe Ryan the Twins also have him for the next two season at around 20 million or so and will be a Free Agent at age 32. Would he accept 3/75 or buy out his last two years at 5/100. Is that what mid market teams should be doing with guys 32 and older?
  5. TwinsDr2021
    The Twins have rotation depth? IMO they have two (Pablo and Ryan), probably a third (SWR), and a questionable 4th( Ober after last year), and a bunch of good arms and hope. Matthews and Festa are or will be soon on the wrong side of 26, have 25 and 23 starts both with ERA's over 5 and one close to 6. Bradley has been in the majors for three years and has a career ERA of 4.86 (Will be 25 shortly), Abel will be 24 most of the season and a type of guy the Twins love to have in AAA (Ober, Varland), and I like Morris age, but what has he really done to deserve the title "Part of MLB pitching depth" People seem to be making this harder than it should be, in reality if Ober is healthy you have one spot open, and that goes Bradley because of experience with Abel, Matthews and Morris next man up (Festa likely in the pen), If Ober isn't back to himself Matthews or Abel gets a shot. The Twins shouldn't trade anybody unless it is for prospects or somebody that is absolutely better than the guy penciled in start the season at a position. and doesn't block Jenkins, Erod, Culpepper (Trading Larnach for something is a must). None of the guys except Pablo or Ryan get that done. For the Twins to compete this year and the next few years, Wallner, Lewis, Lee, Keaschall, Jenkins, Erod, Culpepper and/or a couple of other offensive prospects need to step up and be real major league starter type players or better. There really is no reason to guys like Clemens and Bell should be anything more than minor bit players because they don't really help you get over the hump.
  6. TwinsDr2021
    Just about any trade proposal is ridiculous because this FO has backed themselves into a hole. They have so many guys near ready or trying to prove they are something; it makes no sense to block them, but the back half of the 40 man is so bad it makes no sense to keep them.
  7. TwinsDr2021
    @Matt Braun you are better than this. Garcia is 25 (26 in March), coming off of years were he played 123, 157, 160 games and last year was an all star, gold glove and MVP candidate with a WAR of 5.8. MN Twins 40 man with guys younger than him (or his age), Abel, Adams, Bradley, Festa, Klein, Matthews, Morris, Prielipp, Raya, Rojas, SWR, Keaschall, Lee, Gonzalez, Mendez, EROD. Bradley, SWR and Lee are the only two are still young and have some real major league experience. None of those players have accomplished anything near what Garcia has, even just in the amount of games played. (440 major league games the last three year), closest Twin Jeffers (337), Buxton (313), Larnach (312). As for the guys that are no longer young the only teams that can afford to extend players into their mid 30's are big market teams and last time I checked (actually every time I have ever checked) the Twins don't swim in the deep end with those teams. and for those of you talking about Sands, they Twins have him locked up though the 2028 season and age 31, who locks up a slightly above average middle relief pitcher after age 31? If a article is needed on who the Twins should extend the conversation starts and end with Jenkins and Keaschall at this point in time.
  8. TwinsDr2021
    I will add what made the Bader signing better was the Twins outfield prospects were a year or so away, so signing him made some sense, and having somebody to back up Buxton was smart. signing a bad first basemen/DH just takes at bats away from other younger guys. Now if the thought is him or Gasper or him or Julien, or him or Kreidler, then I guess I take Bell.
  9. TwinsDr2021
    IMO, the thing that makes the move defensible is how bad the offensive side of the 40 man looks, which really isn't a good reason to sign a player probably not good enough to make most teams 26 man roster. As of now I would think the 13 guys on the 26 man are, Jeffers, another catcher, Lewis, Lee, Keaschall, Clemens, Fitzgerald, Buxton, Larnach, Wallner, Martin, Bell and Roden, Outman or Julien. With Bell or without Bell, that isn't good, remove Larnach (which they should) and it doesn't make it look any better. Because that leaves the likes of Gasper, Julien, Kreidler and Roden or Outman getting at bats ahead of Jenkins, GG, Erod, or Mendez.
  10. TwinsDr2021
    What is worse the signing or people liking the signing? It is a bad signing no matter how well Bell does. Best case scenario is he does well and you trade him. Cost 7 million. Worst case, he plays like Josh Bell and is forced to the bench or cut. Cost 7 million. IMO, 7 million to not improve your team is reason 9980 that Falvey should be fired. It almost feels like they are trying to drive the fans away from Target Field.
  11. TwinsDr2021
    I am shocked I say shocked that no Twins prospects were selected. There was so much hang wringing from fans that the would lose the likes of Lewis, Culpepper, Fedko, Rosario or others. I guess prospects with huge red flags (age, injuries, control, terrible defense for examples) really aren't that coveted. I am not a fan of this front office, but if you can get some sucker I mean other team to give up a lottery ticket prospect for a rule 5 draft pick that is win in my opinion.
  12. TwinsDr2021
    Another guy that succeeded on his second team and got hurt in his second year, so not a good comparison for the Twins. Kopech, Lopez, Holmes, Hicks, Pallante are a few others off the top of my head.
  13. TwinsDr2021
    another guy in the majors at age 21, so no comparison again, who pitched a grand total of 12 innings in the minors (6 in AA and AAA)
  14. TwinsDr2021
    Never said he couldn't be or won't be, I said his comparison to Santana wasn't the close to being the same as Prielipp. What you saying is possible, it just is rare, and so many people on this site think every Twins prospect is the exception to the rule (which has been proven wrong over and over again). Prielipp with his stuff and history hopefully his career is closer to the DeGrom's career path than just about every other pitcher in history that has went the path of Prielipp so far.
  15. TwinsDr2021
    I never said it couldn't be done or shouldn't be done. Lugo is similar to Prielipp, Lugo was a late pick, didn't play a game in the minors until his age 23 season (Low A and A) 66 innings, age 24 A+ for 105 innings, age 25 AA and AAA for 136 innings , then spent the next seven seasons as a pretty decent relief pitcher (16 saves, 62 holds and 15 blown saves) Then moved onto SD than KC. Not really sure that is the comparison you meant to make, I think we all hope Prielipp is better than that before he moves onto a another team.
  16. TwinsDr2021
    I am not saying it can't or shouldn't be done, and that it doesn't happen. I am saying there is a huge difference between a guy doing it between the ages of 21-24 and guy that has never played in the majors at age 25.
  17. TwinsDr2021
    Johan's first 4 years were age 21, 22,23,24. Pitched 86 innings at age 21, 133.1 at age 22, 157, age 24 158, age 25 228, Nobody in the Twins minor league compares to him.
  18. TwinsDr2021
    What has Julien one since 2023 that shows he has proven that at the big league level? Sure he did well in Sept 23 (.838 OPS), August was (.654), was amazing in 65 at bats in July, and was pretty good in 110 or so at bats before that. In 448 since he has been terrible. Him getting at bats prior to a injury or some young guy falling apart is absolutely stealing at bats from the future, the same as Clemens. I would rather see Keaschall, GG, Mendez, or just about any other prospect given a chance. Or an infield of Lewis, Culpepper, Lee and Keaschall. There is no reason to be playing established replacement level players over the future.
  19. TwinsDr2021
    Completely agree with this, the twins have done a terrible job at roster construction. They have a 40 man loaded with guys that didn't debut until their mid 20's or later; that isn't how to build a roster it is the way to supplement it. It is no surprise that the Twins best players/core are Buxton, Lopez, and Jeffers, Guys like by SWR, Keaschall, Lewis and Lee are following up. Guys brought up later either need to be traded quickly or moved on from, generally speaking guys like Gordon, Julien, Miranda, Martin, Keirsey, McCusker, Roden and the rest don't have a long shelf life, you roll them though and move them out for a proven player or prospect, you don't wait around for them, because most won't ever turn out as you hoped, of course a small percentage will but they need to be supplement players not full time starters, otherwise you end up with a team of average or below replacement level players. Most teams have a guy or two playing an important role (starting or bench) that came up at 25 or later, but not a roster full of them. It is important for a mid market team to have those really good players that come up early and succeed and the mid 20 something players that help for a few years (because they never really cost you anything, but you have to enough you can move on from them quickly when they don't pan out)
  20. TwinsDr2021
    There is no reason to have Gasper anywhere near the Twins (St. Paul is very close), because you know he is going to destroy AAA like he has the last two years and with this FO you know if they need somebody he will be the guy they bring up over an actual prospect. So for Falvey's own good Gasper needs to go. Having Gasper on the 40 man is Falvey saying he is smarter than everybody else, he shouldn't be on any teams 40 man and he should be in Japan becoming a cult hero with that mustache.
  21. TwinsDr2021
    Here is an idea, lets run out the same team that collapsed in 2024 and won 70 games in 25 and say 26 could be different. Besides the relief pitchers that are gone the rest of the roster is exactly that with a bunch of other guys that are either fairly old, not good or both on the 40. So if somebody sees something in Lewis, Lee, or Wallner and the return is good to great pull the trigger.
  22. TwinsDr2021
    If he truly doesn't know, he should be actively looking to trade Pablo for a young controllable right handed outfielder. and Plan on the following Lewis, Culpepper, Lee. Keaschall infield, and outfield of Buxton, they guy they get for Lopez, one of Erod/GG/Jenkins in the outfield, Jeffers catching, Wallner DH's, and a bench of Fitzgerald, Clemens, Roden. and a back up catcher. Ryan/Ober/SWR/ and two of (Abel/Bradley/Matthews), and the rest of the pen all the other pitching prospects. With Erod/GG/Jenkins ready to replace anybody if needed. If the Payroll gets decided later, you can spend the money later, or looks to trade prospects for player that makes too much and fills a need.
  23. TwinsDr2021
    He hit 3 homers in a game in September, 2 the rest of September 2 in 77 AB, he hit 2 in August in 92 at bats (.536 OPS), July hit 3 (.805) June 4 (.625), May hit 5 (.985), (ended the month 4/22 if the would have cut him right there, that would have been right move), Instead he is now the starting 1B? What a joke!
  24. TwinsDr2021
    💯agree, the path requires about 25% of the current 40 man removed, trading pieces, and spending in FA. and I only see one of those as a real option.
  25. TwinsDr2021
    Why would the Twins or Twins fans want Larnach back next year? to block Erod, GG, Jenkins, or even Martin or Roden, Larnach makes absolutely no sense on the Twins next year. The Twins need better than just better than Kepler, hopefully one of GG, Erod, Jenks is that guy. But keeping them three blocked by Larnach, Outman, Keirsay, Martin, Roden is a terrible plan.
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